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Bill White Reveals Timeline in Switch to Gubernatorial Race on Inside Politics


by: Todd Hill

Sun Dec 06, 2009 at 04:27 PM CST


This morning on WFAA's Inside Politics in the Dallas/Fort-Worth media market, Houston Mayor and Democratic gubernatorial candidate Bill White, revealed he was considering a ballot switch as early the day prior to Farouk Shami's entrance into the race on November 19th.  

When Mayor White was asked by Brad Watson, How much of a challenge will it be to run against Farouk Shami?  White answered:  

He can pour some millions into the race.  In fact, I know Farouk and met with him the night before he announced and told him I was reconsidering my decision, so I'm not sure where that comes from.

White's answer is the first real glimpse of internal campaign deliberations where he was contemplating a switch to the gubernatorial race even days before meeting with Tom Schieffer.  The meeting with the former ambassador in which Schieffer offered to abandon his gubernatorial race if White would enter might have been the deciding factor---that and the positive responses from thousands of Texans.    

Brad Watson and Gromer Jeffers continued to press White as to whether he was worried about Shami's ability to self-fund his campaign; therefore forcing White to spend his sizeable financial war chest in the primary versus the general election:    

I don't know, I'm not the political guru, but I have deep broad support from both within my own Party and outside of my Party.  And when people who don't know me get to know the sort of business experience I bring to the job and the results that we've been able to get in Houston, then people are willing to help.  We have hundreds of volunteers-thousands really across the state, and I'm blessed to have a lot of public support.
 

Ideally you would like for the field to be cleared for White, but I have far more confidence in White's ability to not only raise money without federal limits, but also resonate quickly with primary voters in a manner that will make it difficult on Shami to gain much traction in this race.  The field continues to clear enough to where a runoff is unlikely and White's entry into the race solidifies Hutchison's inability to attract un-energized, disenchanted Democrats into a GOP primary.  That all translates to more energized Democrats voting in the Democratic primary.    

Given Hutchison's fate, the question of whether White would prefer to run against Hutchison or Perry was an easy softball for the Clinton-era Deputy Secretary of Energy:  

What Texans have said who have e-mailed me, and you can see some of those at www.billwhitefortexas.com and they have said they can't afford another four years of Rick Perry and I agree with that.

On the heels of Friday's gubernatorial launch, Mayor Bill White has enjoyed rather positive press coverage throughout the weekend and gives his campaign an energy boost leading into a new week in a new race.  

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Think you're giving too much weight to Schieffer (0.00 / 0)
Bill White was going to do what he decided to do regardless of what Schieffer was doing. Had Schieffer decided to stay in, White would have easily defeated him.

just accelleration (3.00 / 1)
I don't think Todd's post necessarily gives much CREDIT to Schieffer, besides realizing that he was very much part of the process of getting to where we are today.

Which Schieffer definitely did take part.  If nothing else, I think he accelerated White's decision and also helped build momentum to his announcement on Friday and the apparently packed event going on in Austin right now.

"Let us tenderly and kindly cherish therefore, the means of knowledge. Let us dare to read, think, speak, and write."  -  John Adams


[ Parent ]
Agreed, Michael (3.00 / 1)
My reference to Schieffer was simply to acknowledge that I think he helped to speed the process of White running for governor versus the senate up a bit.  Otherwise, David, I agree with you.  I believe White was going to run regardless.    

Schieffer's willingness to exit the race I think helped White to make a decision quicker.

Todd  

"You must be the change you wish to see in the world." - Mahatma Gandhi


[ Parent ]
Hold on (2.50 / 2)
Ideally you would like for the field to be cleared for White,

Who is "you", and why would they like the field to be cleared for White? What is this obsession with coronation without first asking a presumptive nominee to define themselves to the voters whose enthusiasm they will need for the fall campaign?

The field continues to clear enough to where a runoff is unlikely and White's entry into the race solidifies Hutchison's inability to attract un-energized, disenchanted Democrats into a GOP primary.  That all translates to more energized Democrats voting in the Democratic primary.

Not following the logic here. Are you saying that without a contested race at the top of our ballot, Democrats are MORE likely to come out to vote in their own primary?

White's entry "solidifies" nothing with regard to KBH. If he decides to lay low during the primary season to save $$ for the general, there's a substantial opportunity cost to be incurred. We should stop presuming that the excitement and band-wagoning of insiders and political junkies has any significant trickle-down to the rank-and-file voters, absent an actual media & ground campaign.    


But it's official... (0.00 / 0)
Marie Antoinette has declared him the opponent. Of course she can't really slam the hairdresser. She probably buys his products and gets a discount.  And of course she hopes all the Democrats go out and vote for her in the Republican primary. Which is the only way she will win the primary.

http://blogs.chron.com/texaspo...

And speaking of mayors, we apparently have a mayoral candidate in Houston who has decided he doesn't want to be mayor. And is doing everything he can to lose.

Maybe he found out Baby Snooks has all the "inside" fax numbers and the vision of all that smoke coming out of the fax machines all the time scared him off.

Texas politics is if nothing else very entertaining at times.


[ Parent ]
I think that should be "trickle-up." (0.00 / 0)
Just because I value the rank-and-file more than the insiders.

[ Parent ]
In response... (0.00 / 0)
I am Todd, and I would indeed like for the field to be cleared for Bill White; however, my words were not intended to speak for everyone.  I'm certain, as your sentiments indicate, that is not the case.  

The idea that some in our rank and file have that "primaries are a good thing," I don't always subscribe to.  I generally think they are a waste of time and money if we don't have a field of serious candidates.  If we have a field of egos, individuals with lots of money with nothing to do, individuals selling books and products, and/or individuals not capapble of raising money and/or awareness of their own campaign beyond their neighborhood block, is a waste of time and money.  In the guv race, I don't subscribe to the "primaries are a good thing" philosophy.  What is left in the field I see no real competition and real advantage to Democrats in having them run for governor.  It's a waste of time and money best spent in the general election against a well funded GOP campaign.  

As for defining themselves, Bill White has been on the campaign trail for the last year.  He has been talking about many issues, much of which affect Texans, whether as a candidate for the senate or governor.  What more you want to know?  You don't have to answer that to me, I'm positive if you ask him, or his campaign, you'll get the answer.

I'm suggesting that excitement builds and conforms around a strong, well-funded, nice resumed candidate. Which we have in Bill White.  Beyond that, I do believe we'll have a full slate of statewide candidates up and down the ballot.  I'm only suggesting that Hutchison can no longer bank on disenchanted Democrats voting for her in the GOP primary because I believe the vast majority will be quite happy with what we are capable of putting forward in the general election.  

Finally, I fully believe, and I think we've seen, White intends to run both a full media and ground campaign.  He has no choice with Shami running anyway, but it is clear that regardless of who is in the race with White, he is running a full-fledged campaign through November 2010.  

Todd

"You must be the change you wish to see in the world." - Mahatma Gandhi


[ Parent ]
Voting in Republican Primaries (0.00 / 0)
I will say one thing about Shami... I'm tired of the crap candidates receive about voting in primaries. It reminds me of similar crap Doreen Geiger received in Tarrant County when she ran against Art Brender for chair. It's a pretty lame/weak argument to say that someone is or isn't a Democrat because they voted in one Republican primary. How else are we supposed to know? .. you may ask. How about looking at who the candidate has donated to politically in the past, or what they've spent their life working on, or a past history of political campaign work? There are way too many reasons to list why a Democrat might vote in a Republican primary, or is listed as having voted in one, the least of which is it might simply be a county recordkeeping mistake... unheard of, right?  This is what REPUBLICANS do.. take a factoid out of context and spin it to mean something it doesn't. It might work on the general public, but when it comes from politicos on websites and blogs that cater to fellow politicos, it's just.. well.. crap... there's no better descriptive word I can use.

To Whom are you Referring? (0.00 / 0)
If you are referring to Shami, the problem isn't that he once voted in a Republican primary, it is that he once voted in a Republican primary and never voted in a Democratic primary...and that he apparently did not vote in the 2008 General Elections...which means he did not vote for Obama.

People were already looking at his donation history and other stuff.

Overall, I don't agree with counting one as a non-Democrat just because they voted in one or even two Republican primaries.  But it is another factor.  If their Democratic credentials are already shaky, it doesn't help.

"Let us tenderly and kindly cherish therefore, the means of knowledge. Let us dare to read, think, speak, and write."  -  John Adams


[ Parent ]
Voter history can be incorrect (0.00 / 0)
I believe he's claiming that the voting history is incorrect. My own mother's voting history is also incorrect, so it's completely plausible to me, as I have worked on campaigns using county voter data and have personally seen a disturbingly high amount of incorrect and incomplete data.

My point is though, that way too much is made out of how someone votes in primaries. With Republicans dominating state and local politics up until recently, I would think a great number of good Democrats might have voted in a Republican primary, for stragegic or other reasons.


[ Parent ]
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