Turnout Numbers
By Andrew Dobbs
I was just over at the Kerry-Edwards Texas HQ and saw some of the numbers coming in from around the state.
East Texas is a little bit slow and some stories have started to trickle in that the Tyler newspaper printed the wrong addresses for several polling places, all in Democratic precincts. Things should pickup as the day goes on, but the rain isn't too promising.
Houston is doing really well with some boxes with over 300 voters at 10 AM. Assuming that the average box gets about 900 voters and there are about 800+ precincts, that equals about 720,000 votes citywide. Plus the 419,000 or so early votes, that would be a 58.5% turnout. With that we could carry Vo and maybe even Dougherty. A little more would be nice, so let's hope I'm underguessing it.
Dallas I haven't seen numbers on. If you have info, let me know.
Bexar county is mixed- northside is supposedly doing really well and the numbers looked solid. Southside I haven't heard about but overall I suspect we might see over 60% turnout.
The K-E people are stoked, but they have a pretty big self-delusional streak. Several of them seriously believe Kerry will win Texas, which is unlikely at best. I suspect that between Harris (right at or maybe under 60%), Travis (perhaps as much as 70%), Bexar (just over 60%) and Dallas (???) counties along with rural, suburban and South Texas boxes we could see over 60% turnout statewide.
I'll post stuff as I know it- get out and vote!
Posted by Andrew Dobbs at November 2, 2004 12:29 PM
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