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April 19, 2004

Strayhorn vs. Perry: Special Special Session Edition

By Andrew Dobbs

The upper echelons of Republican "leadership" in Texas has continued its bickering today with a competing series of statements, press conferences and press releases. The day began with Strayhorn sending a letter to Perry, Craddick and Dewhurst tooting her own horn on collecting extra tax receipts but also pointing out that Perry's plan would put Texas $10 billion in the hole.

Governor Perry's proposal- announced 11 days ago- cannot even be financed on its own terms. An analysis prepared by my office indicates that in its first five years alone, the plan would accumulate an unfunded and swelling deficit of more than $10 billion even as it produces zero additional property tax rate cuts beyond the amount promised for the very first year. (Bold in Original)

Perry, of course, could not take such an attack lying down. His office responded:

From Governor's press secretary Kathy Walt, "“Constructive ideas are always welcome, but Comptroller Strayhorn's own consistency and math calculations are questionable. In addition to recommending tougher CHIP and Medicaid eligibility rules herself, the Comptroller's last major revenue estimate was wrong by a factor of 100 percent.”

You would think that these two weren't even in the same party. Fact of the matter is that Strayhorn is Perry's only really effective critic right now. At the same time, it looks like things aren't so rosy between Perry and some of the othe other statewide office holders. The San Antonio Express-News(free registration required) reports:

Early last year, Gov. Rick Perry, Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst and House Speaker Tom Craddick called reporters together to talk up legislation on home insurance.

The event went smoothly until Dewhurst edged past his colleagues and captured the limelight by forecasting a drop of up to 18 percent in insurance rates.

Perry leaned toward Craddick and whispered, "Open mouth, insert foot."

A few weeks later, Dewhurst failed to arrive for a weekly leadership breakfast with Perry, Craddick and Comptroller Carole Keeton Strayhorn. There had already been an expression of discomfort from Dewhurst over Perry's decision to invite Strayhorn to the meetings.

Perry vowed to send out state troopers to "drag his ass in here."

At the time, the asides circulated as evidence of the unsettled relationship between the leaders and a reminder that even when officials share goals and advantages — such as Republican majorities in the House and Senate — personal relationships can be slippery.

Looks like the first fissures in the GOP governing coalition are forming and Democrats need to be united to take advantage of this. Its okay to have different ideas and different interests, its not okay to work for yourself over the interest of the party as a whole. Its not okay to fight for the other side while keeping a "D" next to your name. We've purged those elements from our party and now we are ready to win. A majority of Texans have a Democrat electing them at some level of government, most of them moderate/conservative types. If we run candidates like these in 2006 and we keep our internacine battles to a minimum we can look forward to a real shot against the Republicans in that cycle.

The X-Factor, as always, is Kay Bailey Hutchison. Whatever she decides to run for, she wins. Another factor is George W. Bush. The GOP domination of Texas has really been a function of his personal popularity as much as anything else. If he is defeated this year and relegated to simple Citizen Bush status, his hold on state politics diminishes. A Kerry win coupled by a KBH retirement and continued GOP bickering could mean victory for Texas Democrats. So keep up the good work, Carole! Its just what we need to reclaim this state.

Posted by Andrew Dobbs at April 19, 2004 03:52 PM | TrackBack

Comments

I agree with you in principle, but I just don't think right now, looking at 2006, that the numbers will change for the Dems to win a few statewide offices. Maybe the Kerry election, plus Texans who live in the older suburbs around D-FW, Houston, and east Texas will wake up and realize that voting Republican has done nothing for them.

I've been looking at the state leg and the federal maps, the GOP drew these districts so well that neither party can gain or lose ground in the lege, and we know we have already lost 3 seats in the Congress; 4th, 10th, and 24th. And may lose 1 or 2 more seats.

Posted by: pc at April 19, 2004 04:18 PM

I agree that 2006 stands a good chance of shifting the political balance back towards the middle - a Democratic majority is probably out of the picture for the time being but a more balanced legislature is definitely a possibility. Last time I checked, less than half of eligible voters in Texas voted in state elections so, hypothetically speaking, anything is possible...

In the mean time, building up the infrastructure of the state party should be our number one priority. Republicans legislators are currently voting in lock step but it's very possible that conflicts between Perry, Dewhurst, Strayhorn, and Hutchinson will put an end to the team spirit in the near future. I'm curious how centrist Texans will react in that scenario...will they gravitate towards moderate Republicans or get sick of the infighting and turn to the Democrats?

Posted by: sarah at April 19, 2004 04:42 PM

Carole can't do all the work by herself.

What the Democrats need to reclaim the state are some ideas.

Kudos to Rep. Eddie Rodriguez for proposing an income tax, but the other Democrats in the lege seem content to sit back and criticize the various school finance plans being circulated by Perry, Dewhurst, et al.

While these plans are undoubtedly worthy of criticism, observers are left to wonder when the Democrats are going to offer any viable alternatives.

Even if Democratic proposals are doomed to failure in a Republican-controlled legislature, they will be crucial to any effort to rebuild the party.

Dems: Where's your plan for school finance? If you're all behind Rodriguez, say so. If not, come up with something else.

Posted by: Eduardo J. Klein at April 19, 2004 05:36 PM

I failed to mention Sen. Eliot Shapleigh (D-El Paso), who will be presenting his 21st Century Texas Education Excellence Fund plan in Austin on Thursday. No surprise that Shapleigh is taking the lead. I consider him to be one of the most thoughful and innovative Democratic legislators.

Posted by: Eduardo J. Klein at April 19, 2004 06:44 PM

Eduardo is right. Senator Shapleigh is a great Democratic Senator who has what it takes to restore rational policies in Texas. He has a lot of information about his finance plan on his website, www.shapleigh.org, that is really interesting. If you can't go to the meeting tomorrow you definitely need to check it out. I can't say enough good things about him. I'm glad he's my Senator.

Posted by: Marcus at April 19, 2004 11:27 PM

Marcus beat me to the good comments of mi senador. For those who are also going to the Texas Young Democrats State Convention and if you missed this speech, you will be in for a treat. He should become our Gov one day!

Posted by: mike at April 20, 2004 01:08 AM
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