Burnt Orange Report
News, Politics, and Fun From Deep in the Heart of Texas
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Burnt Orange ReportNews, Politics, and Fun From Deep in the Heart of Texas |
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February 17, 2004Texas State Senate District 1 ReturnsBy Byron LaMastersEarly Vote: Kevin Eltife REP 11,959 53.09% Eltife has a small early lead. Sadler has to close a 1400 vote margin. It's doable. We'll see what happens as more results come in. Update: With 51 of 313 Precincts Reporting (16.29%) Kevin Eltife REP 14,661 51.26% Sadler's closed half of the margin... down to about 700 votes... 8:12 PM: With 68 of 313 Precincts Reporting (21.73%) Kevin Eltife REP 15,532 50.15% Sadler keeps closing.... it's down to 90 votes... although the Tyler boxes (Eltife territory) aren't in yet... 8:22 PM: Sadler takes the lead.... with 80 of 313 Precincts reporting... (25.56%) Kevin Eltife REP 16,286 49.08% Good news, but neither Tyler nor Longview are in yet... Marshall just came in big for Sadler... 8:27 PM Precincts Reported 86 of 313 Precincts 27.48% Kevin Eltife REP 19,194 51.71% Eltife back up... looks like Tyler and Longview are coming in... 8:38 PM - Precincts Reported 170 of 313 Precincts 54.31% Kevin Eltife REP 30,406 51.25% Tyler and Longview are in strong for Eltife... 8:43 PM - Precincts Reported 200 of 313 Precincts 63.90% Kevin Eltife REP 32,577 51.90% Half of Tyler and half of Paris are still out. Nothing is in yet from Texarkana. Eltife looks well positioned, but a big Texarkana turnout (where Sadler beat Eltife 54-15% last month) could put Sadler over the top. 8:55 PM - Precincts Reported 237 of 313 Precincts 75.72% Kevin Eltife REP 34,558 51.46% Good news for Eltife. He seems to have pulled away. There's still 13 precincts out in Tyler and 37 (all) in Bowie Co. (Texarkana). Looks like Eltife has it wrapped up unless Texarkana comes in huge for Sadler. Titus Co. still has 19 precincts out, but I doubt Sadler will pick up more than a couple hundred votes there. Marshall has two precincts out that could deliver a few hundred votes for Sadler, but still it's unlikely that anything will be able to make up for the 13 Tyler precincts and Eltife's 2000 vote lead. 9:52 PM - Precincts Reported 275 of 313 Precincts 87.86% Kevin Eltife REP 42,373 52.35% There's two precincts out in Tyler and 36 out in Bowie County (Texarkana). Apparentally they ran out of ballots in some Bowie County precincts in some Black precincts there. I've heard that that's the reason why the Bowie returns are so late coming in. However, there's no way that Bowie can make up a 4000 vote margin for Sadler. Maybe a 2000 vote margin, but that won't be enough. As much as I hate to say, I think it's a safe bet to call the race for Eltife. 10:31 PM In the other special election run-off today for state senate district 31 between two Republicans, former Amarillo mayor Kel Seliger and former Odessa city councilman Kirk Edwards in to replace Teel Bivins, it looks like Seliger's won: Precincts Reported 210 of 220 Precincts 95.45% Kirk Edwards REP 31,476 46.33% Comments
Is Marshall where SAdler is from? Posted by: AC at February 17, 2004 08:28 PMSadler is from Henderson (Rusk County) Posted by: Byron L at February 17, 2004 08:30 PMMarshall (Harrison Co), Texarkana (Bowie Co) and Paris (Lamar Co.) are the historically Democratic towns in the district. Tyler (Smith Co.) and Longview (Gregg Co.) are heavily Republican. Expect Sadler to do well in Henderson (Rusk Co.) as well. Posted by: Byron L at February 17, 2004 08:35 PMThanks for the info. This is why the internet is great. No where on TV or radio can I get coverage of a special election for the Texas state Senate here in Missouri. I am not even sure why I , sitting here in MO, am interested in this race, but I a. I don't even care that I disagree with the POV here. Posted by: AC at February 17, 2004 08:40 PMMaybe it will teach me to type. Posted by: AC at February 17, 2004 08:41 PMFor a map of the district, to get an idea of all these places are (especially for out of state people), go here (PDF file). Posted by: Byron L at February 17, 2004 08:50 PMEltife seems to be far to the right of Ratliff. This should make the Texas Senate more conservative. It is still no where near as conservative as the House. This is all based on this result holding up. It almost seems like they have stopped the counting. Posted by: AC at February 17, 2004 09:23 PM"Thanks for the info. This is why the internet is great. No where on TV or radio can I get coverage of a special election for the Texas state Senate here in Missouri. I am not even sure why I , sitting here in MO, am interested in this race, but I a. I don't even care that I disagree with the POV here." I'll second that. Disagreements over politics aside, you at the BOR do a wonderful job of covering Texas state politics, and I appreciate it. Sherk Posted by: Sherk at February 17, 2004 10:15 PMPost a comment
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