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Primary Mapping

Primary Mapping: 167th District Court Democratic Primary


by: Karl-Thomas Musselman

Thu Aug 23, 2012 at 06:59 PM CDT

David WahlbergToday's map in our primary mapping series is that of the 167th District Court race between David Wahlberg and Efrain De La Fuente

The color scale divides the % share of the vote into six categories from dark orange to dark purple for the winning and losing candidates respectively, leaving three color densities for each candidate based on the share of the vote they received in the precinct. The breaks denote every 1/6th of the vote or 17%, 33%, 50%, 67%, and 83% to reflect not only the winner of a precinct but also the margin so as to highlight voting patterns across the county more easily. Precincts in red indicate no votes cast- most of these are fragmented precincts from congressional redistricting.

Takeaways: The most contested of the races we have previewed so far, neither David Wahlberg or Efrain De La Fuente were able to run up their margins to the extent that other Democrats did this spring. De La Fuente's best showing was in the traditionally Hispanic neighborhoods just north of the river in East Austin where his campaign was headquartered. He was able to score victories in South, Southeast, Northeast, and some far northern precincts. Wahlberg made his move West of Mopac while successfully winning most of the central city (absent the UT Campus box). South Austin was more hotly contested but it wasn't enough to offset Wahlberg in Central-West which allowed him to take the victory.

Click here to see more maps in this series.

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Primary Mapping: Congressional District 10, Travis County (D)


by: Karl-Thomas Musselman

Mon Aug 20, 2012 at 04:22 PM CDT

Tawana CadienToday's map in our primary mapping series is a partial map, that of the 10th Congressional District that is inside Travis County. This race featured Tawana Cadien and William "Bill" Miller, Jr.

The color scale divides the % share of the vote into six categories from dark orange to dark purple for the winning and losing candidates respectively, leaving three color densities for each candidate based on the share of the vote they received in the precinct. The breaks denote every 1/6th of the vote or 17%, 33%, 50%, 67%, and 83% to reflect not only the winner of a precinct but also the margin so as to highlight voting patterns across the county more easily. Precincts in red indicate no votes cast- most of these are fragmented precincts from congressional redistricting.

Takeaways: Tawana Cadien won the entirety of the 10th District by a 57-43 margin and her win in Travis County helped propel her to the nomination. The 10th District, which still stretches from Austin to Houston, crossed the northern parts of Travis County. Miller won 3 precincts in Travis County for a net gain of 7 votes, with 1 tied county, and the rest lost to Cadien. Cadien's strongest support was in the mostly Anglo liberal north-central neighborhoods of Austin as well as northeastern precincts, though she successfully won across a broad spectrum of precincts. She now faces incumbent GOP Congressman McCaul.

Click here to see more maps in this series.

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Primary Mapping: Travis County Tax Assessor-Collector (D)


by: Karl-Thomas Musselman

Fri Aug 17, 2012 at 06:49 PM CDT

Yesterday, we began our mapping series with the Travis County District Attorney's race in the Democratic Primary. We continue today with another countywide office, that of Tax-Assessor Collector. This was an open seat after the retirement of longtime incumbent Nelda Wells Spears who resigned at the end of 2011.

The color scale divides the % share of the vote into six categories from dark orange to dark purple, leaving three color densities for each candidate based on the share of the vote they received in the precinct. The breaks denote every 1/6th of the vote or 17%, 33%, 50%, 67%, and 83% to reflect not only the winner of a precinct but also the margin so as to highlight voting patterns across the county more easily. Precincts in red indicate no votes cast- most of these are fragmented precincts from congressional redistricting.

Takeaways: It is clear that Bruce Elfant's strongest base of support comes from the area that he currently represents as Constable in Precinct 5. If you check out the lines of his current district, you'll see that's where Elfant ran up margins in excess of 80% of the vote. Stan Wilson's only area of electoral refuge was in some of the more heavily African American precincts in East Austin.

Disclosure: I worked on Bruce Elfant's campaign.

To see other Travis County maps in this series, click here.

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Primary Mapping: Travis County District Attorney (D)


by: Karl-Thomas Musselman

Thu Aug 16, 2012 at 07:35 PM CDT

Inspired by Greg Wythe's return to mapping the results of this year's primary elections in Harris County, I decided to go ahead and map interesting races from the Travis County primaries (and run-offs). This will be a new series on BOR with more being released each day. We begin this series with the Travis County District Attorney's primary on the Democratic side between Rosemary Lehmberg and Charlie Baird as seen below.

The color scale divides the % share of the vote into six categories from dark orange to dark purple, leaving three color densities for each candidate based on the share of the vote they received in the precinct. The breaks denote every 1/6th of the vote or 17%, 33%, 50%, 67%, and 83% to reflect not only the winner of a precinct but also the margin so as to highlight voting patterns across the county more easily. Precincts in red indicate no votes cast- most of these are fragmented precincts from congressional redistricting.

Takeaways: Incumbent Rosemary Lehmberg stormed to victory rolling up margins everywhere in Travis County. Charlie Baird won a total of 4 precincts which gave him a net margin of 5 votes.

Much hay was made about how the East Side of Austin would come down in the final vote. While this was still Baird's best area (home to 2 precinct wins), Lehmberg still won most of the traditional African American precincts with over 55% of the vote. In all the traditionally Hispanic precincts south of the river and east of I-35, Lehmberg won with no less than 60% of the vote in all but one precinct. Lehmberg ran up the score in Central-West and NW Austin with over a dozen precincts reporting in at over 83% of the vote.

To see other Travis County maps in this series, click here. Coming next, Tax-Assessor Collector!

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