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HD 97

HD 97: Democrat Barrett to Runoff Against Craddick Supporter


by: Phillip Martin, Progress Texas

Tue Nov 06, 2007 at 10:33 PM CST

Democrat Dan Barrett led in all voting for the race to replace Rep. Anna Mowery in House District 97. You can see the full numbers from my post on the race, and I've reproduced the important results below:
 

Candidate                     Early Vote    
Percent    

Total Votes   

Percent    

Dan Barrett (D) 

1918 32.48%
557531.54%
Mark M. Shelton (R)
1138 
19.27%
4047
22.89%
Bob Leonard (R)1287
21.8%
329418.63%

Craig Goldman (R)

956 16.19% 294716.67%
     
Total Votes Cast 5905  17678 

Given those results, let's look at the "price per vote" based on the 8-day out report -- therefore not even counting the cash-on-hand that was spent in the final days, the $25,000 contribution to Leonard in the final days, or the $50,000 Shelton loaned to his own campaign:

Candidate Total Votes
Expenditures
Average "Price-per-vote"
Dan Barrett (D)
5575 $35,877 $6.44
Mark M. Shelton (R) 4047 $37,096 $9.17 
Bob Leonard (R) 3294 $83,096 $25.23 
Craig Goldman (R) 2947 $107,327
$36.42
Totals 15368$263,396
$17.14

Democrat Dan Barrett got almost twice as many votes as Craddick's top candidate, Craig Goldman, and he did so by only spending 17.7% as much per vote. IMAGINE what can be done with a well-funded campaign!

Barrett leads going into the runoff, and that's with spending the least amount of cash of any competitor. Now that he's proved he can compete, Barrett is sure to get the attention of Democrats across the state. And who knows what will happen in the run-off, especially given the stakes.

Barrett is on the right side of many of the issues, too. He's an unquestionable supporter of CHIP, and is opposed to the expanding boondoggle that is the Trans-Texas Corridor. And, perhaps most importantly, he is clearly opposed to Speaker Craddick -- successfully using Craddick in the "6 pawns" direct mail piece. And running against Craddick, as the numbers showed us tonight, is a successfuly strategy.

Craig Goldman, who finished fourth, was strongly backed by Speaker Craddick and Texans for Fiscal Responsibility. Craddick even showed up and hosted a fundraiser for Goldman in Austin. And what did Craddick's support earn him? Fourth place. Craddick's support automatically taints any candidate it touches -- actually harming candidates in the process.

This very well could prove the different for Barrett, and allow him to win the special election. Shelton, who is heading for the run-off, is also a strong supporter of Craddick. Is he just as doomed to meet his fate? Only time will tell, but a year out from one of the most important election cycles in the history of the Texas House, the Republican Speaker is performing terribly.

Meanwhile, donate to Barrett's campaign, and let's add another Democrat to our numbers in the Texas House.

Discuss :: (20 Comments)

HD 97: 6 R's vs. 1 D


by: Matt Glazer

Sat Sep 01, 2007 at 02:41 PM CDT

Yesterday was the filling deadline for the open seat in House District 97.  Anna Mowery resigned from the seat early August and  the specials election is set for November.

Todd Hill had this to say back on August 15:

the first declared Democrat candidate for the open HD 97 seat vacated by Anna Mowery is 2006 candidate Dan Barrett.  Dan declared, to approving applause, "a Democrat is going to win District 97!".

Dan's a great candidate, excellent lawyer, and gave Mowery a good fight in 2006 picking up 41% of the vote in a strong Republican district.  If we can avoid a multiple candidate battle in this November special election you can expect that any and all resources throughout the county will descend upon 97.  By the way, Dan's performance marked the strongest by a Democrat against Mowery, who traditionally won by 60% or more, but only managed 55% in 2006.

Looking at the Secretary of State's site today, it seems like the Democrats in HD 97 agree that Dan Barrett is a solid candidate and excitingly he is the only Democrat in the race.

Because of the 6 vs. 1 nature of this race, the race is likely to have a runoff and the Democrat has a great chance of being in that runoff. With a December runoff, turnout will be incredibly low, and anything is possible if Democrats can stay motivated and turnout.

The real trick is going to see how bad the Republicans attack each other, and I bet it gets ugly.

Discuss :: (6 Comments)

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