| The Burnt Orange Political Report has two purposes: to provide a central hub for news and resources for all the major Texas races, and to provide accurate predictions for the most competitive races in Texas. Without further ado, here are our official predictions with three weeks to go until the election: To go to the home page for each individual race, click on the hyperlink for each race. Federal Races - U.S. Senate & Congressional Races Not too many real surprises here. Noriega is going to do well with the recent fundraising from the Clintons, but he's still one major game-changer away from pulling the race within close striking distance. In the Congressional races, we start Lampson off conservatively, though his ground game in the district will probably put him over the top. Both Doherty and Skelley are within striking distance, though -- and if the Harris Democratic Party County Coordinated Campaign comes through like we think it might, then the TX-07 race could get real close, real fast. State Senate Races
Bell is in excellent position -- between his strong name ID and campaign and the Republican implosion in that district -- to pick up a Senate seat. Same with Davis; Brimer is already making plans to lose. While either race could easily swing to "toss-up" -- because Republicans aren't giving up those seats without a heck of a fight -- we believe an honest assessment of the State of the Senate Races would have to put those two in the D's column for now. I'm going to do a separate post for State House races. Check back soon! |
