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DeLay Resignation to Spur Special Election?


by: Karl-Thomas Musselman

Mon Apr 03, 2006 at 10:19 PM CDT


Ed. note: Now's as good a time as any: donate to Nick Lampson.

From Quorum Report we have what has been bouncing around in the Texas bloggers list.

Here is what we hear from independent Texas sources. Tom DeLay will resign, probably by the end of the week in order to allow Gov. Rick Perry to call a special election. The presumptive favorite is David Wallace, mayor of Sugar Land. ABC confirms to QR that DeLay will give up his Texas residency and move to the DC area. The story broke through a Time interview.

And an update.

In Washington, there has been some speculation whether DeLay can remove himself from the ballot in Congressional District 22 at all, post-primary. Typically, under Texas law, the only way a candidate would be taken off the ballot is either to lie or to move out of state. The question, legally, is whether the ballot has been certified, and whether this timing – between the primary and run-off – is a loophole that gives the Republican Party a chance to offer up another candidate in Congressional District 22.

When contacted, the Texas Secretary of State's Office withheld comment pending legal review tomorrow morning. If the Governor can call a special election to replace Mr. Delay, it is not far fetched to believe that he can be placed on the ballot.

And the best quote from the Lone Star Project (sadly) is...

Matt Angle, former chief of US Rep. Martin Frost, runs the Lone Star Project out of Washington, DC. Angle says DeLay’s mission is now complete.

"Tom DeLay has managed to remove every single leader in the Texas delegation, including himself," Angle said. "He’s removed three ranking members, a key whip and now the majority leader of the House."

Off the Kuff brings up a great point about Texas Elections...

Pop quiz, boys and girls: In what way will that special election differ from the November election, which will take place with a different Republican nominee regradless of the outcome of that special election? That's right - it takes a majority vote to win a special election for an unexpired term of Congress. With Steve Stockman and a Libertarian Party candidate on the November ballot, it was not at all farfetched for Nick Lampson to win the seat with a plurality of the vote. That won't cut it in a special - there will be a runoff if no one gets a majority. My guess is that DeLay thinks it'll be harder for Lampson to get a majority as a challenger than a simple plurality. Plus, he now has to win two elections.

The Houston Chronicle says that if the resignation (in whatever form that may be) come, it will trigger a special election in which case Kuff's commentary comes into play...

Former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay, who was touched by a lobbying scandal that ensnared some of his former top aides and cost the Republican his leadership post, won't seek re-election to Congress, officials said today.

They said DeLay also is likely to resign his seat and leave Congress by the end of May or mid-June. That would trigger a special election for his replacement.

DeLay v. The World blog reports an interesting scenario too.

I'm pretty confident, however, that DeLay can be replaced on the general election ballot by the State Republican Executive Committee.

If that's true, and if there ends up being a special election, then it's conceivably possible that SREC could nominate someone other than the winner of a special election to fill DeLay's spot vs. Lampson

Oh heaven help us.

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Don't forget about Nick Lampson through all of this (0.00 / 0)
Drop by his website and give him a few bucks. 

https://secure.ga3.org/03/lampson06


Republicans: Happy to spend my tax dollars for their political games (0.00 / 0)
What's the tally on how much special elections have cost us so far by Republicans bailing early?

And when do I get a flier with the figures in the mail from the Ds?

It feels like kids overturning the Monopoly board because they didn't like the way the game was turning out....


DeLay Wins? (0.00 / 0)
So DeLay goes and gets rich in DC, Ronnie Earle is neutered, and the Repubs keep the seat?

Got to love... (0.00 / 0)
...new users. Welcome aboard!

Delay may go get rich in D.C, depending on how his trial goes. I'd imagine they got something on him - whether or not he'll go to jail may still be in question.

Ronnie Earle neutered? Hardly. Besides, he's the DA for Travis County, not someone running for office.

The R's probably won't keep the seat. Lampson is a great candidate -- whether or not he's running against Delay. He's got a tremendous amount of money and support, and Republicans know that...

Whatever happens - the fact that one of the most corrupt members of Congress is no longer abusing power is a win, not just for Democrats, but for the country.

Now, a very great man once said that some people rob you with a fountain pen.


[ Parent ]
Nope (0.00 / 0)
Not a new user, been reading for years, user id not needed back then.

Actually, I think you'll find that all three of the items I mentioned will come true.  DeLay getting rich in DC is a given.

Earle's goal all along was to drag out court proceedings to prevent DeLay's re-election.  The charges are exceedingly weak, as evidenced by his having trouble getting even Travis County grand juries to indict.  DeLay will walk.

Wallace is a strong candidate, and this is a Republican district (64% Bush in 04).

DeLay withdrawing is devastating for Lampson.  He's lost his punching bag, fundraising will dry up, and he'll lose by at least 55-45.

No, I'm not a Republican, just a realist.  Take comfort in getting DeLay out of Congress, but I think you'll find he's not going away.


[ Parent ]
Actually (0.00 / 0)
I think the district is polling at more like 55% republican, remember people are much less happy with the republicans in general today than they were 2 years ago.

I agree, this makes Lampsons race in all likelyhood more difficult,
but due to that fact, I think it will not hurt and could even help his abillity to fundraise

now his basis for f.r. will not be get rid of Delay, but don't let Delay and company pull another fast one on the people of Texas. I can see him f.r. on the basis of an end to Rep. dirty tricks and manipulating elections.

Prisoner of hope.


[ Parent ]
Well, maybe... (0.00 / 0)
I mean, no one knows. But, why would he have stepped down now if he wasn't about to be convicted of something? Up until two weeks ago, he's been talking tough, telling everyone how he'll win...

Delay's ego is too big to step down for "the good of the party." I just can't imagine he would have done this if he wasn't going to be convicted of something.

But, we'll just have to wait and see.

Now, a very great man once said that some people rob you with a fountain pen.


[ Parent ]
I agree with you about Tom's Ego (0.00 / 0)
but for one important point.

Remember how controlled the Republican Party is, a member can be threatened with a lack of support if they don't do the party's bidding, and without the party's support, a Republican is left twisting in the wind, and is not "long for".

I don't think this was all his idea, I think the REAL party leadership helped him along in this decision.

Prisoner of hope.


[ Parent ]
Timing is all (0.00 / 0)
I suspect he will resign sooner than May and his "replacement" will be in Washington prior to the August recess which will give him, or her, an advantage in running against Lampson.

Who will win depends on the partisan demographics of the 22nd but I suspect this is nothing but good news for Lampson and for Democrats in general.


His replacement... (0.00 / 0)
...could be Lampson. It depends on how the special election shakes out. If Lampson wins, I'm not sure if he could have an advantage running against himself...

Now, a very great man once said that some people rob you with a fountain pen.

[ Parent ]
In answer to Kuff's statement about winning a majority (0.00 / 0)
in the special.

If I were Nick, I would not really concern myself at this point with winning the special, I would put my name on the ballot, but continue "campaigning as usual" for the general in Nov. I wouldn't waste a great deal of time and resources on the special.

A 6 month incumbancy won't help the winner That much, only somewhat in terms of money. And because it will be harder to get a majority than the plurality required to win the general, I think the best strategy is to just keep on keepin on with the plan at hand.

Prisoner of hope.


Plus, let's be honest... (0.00 / 0)
How many times can you vote in six months about something terrible? "Lampson voted for cannibalism, and against America" (I'm only slightly exaggerating) will not look good on a mail piece in CD-22...

Now, a very great man once said that some people rob you with a fountain pen.

[ Parent ]
Excellent POint (0.00 / 0)
In our race up here in 19, i think one of the best things we have going for us is our candidate has NO RECORD to attack.

It makes the republicans job all that much more difficult, you can't even spin something that does not exist

Prisoner of hope.


[ Parent ]
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