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Fri Jun 06, 2008 at 02:57 PM CDT
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On 6/3, I polled 489 likely voters in District 52. The results mirror the 2006 election numbers, with the Republican Bryan Daniel leading Democrat Diana Maldonado by 6.3 points. The 2006 election was a 6.2 point victory for the Republican Mike Krusee. The Libertarian candidate pulled 5.3% in that election, and while I did not specifically name the Libertarian candidate this time, 7% chose the 'vote third party or not vote' option which is higher than I typically see and higher than the same option got in the presidential and senate matchups from the same poll. If the option is interpreted as 'not vote' rather than 'vote third party', the margin increases to 6.8 points. Probably somewhere in the middle.
489 likely voters polled 6/3/2008, margin of error 4.4%
Daniel 48.0%
Maldonado 41.7%
Third part/not vote 6.9%
Undecided 2.9%
Excluding third party/not vote
Daniel 51.6%
Maldonado 44.8%
Undecided 3.1% |
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| Which of the following do you think will win in November? |
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Results
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