9:15pm by KT - Clinton picked up a state superdelegate- Sabine County Chair.
8:00pm by KT - While there aren't really any county updates, some refinement of the vote. We removed Pecos County from the totals as it was under-reported and we can't verify. Additionally, the max number of delegates has dropped by 6. Four of those are due to counties that have reported having no county conventions; since they reported none, we removed their delegates but counted them as 'reported'. The two additional drops are for Roberts and Armstrong Counties which lack County Chairs. The McClennan county chair was incorrectly marked as for Clinton when he is neutral which is now reflected.
4:15pm by Phillip - Updated 2 counties, and fixed some numbers that were backwards. Still 37-30. Of the 493 delegates not reported, around 280 of them are "state superdelegates." Just a heads up.
2:25pm by Phillip - We had a little hiccup with an update, but we're all set again. As you should notice, we know have 70% of counties reporting. I was able to track down about 20-25 additional small counties over the last hour or so (check the county-by-county spreadsheet for the latest updates). Surprisingly, though Clinton did have some good numbers, Obama also won some, too. The only thing is that even a 4-3 or 12-9 win for Obama in these smaller counties is lesser than a 56-44% win, which is keeping him in the 55% threshhold and thus --- as we reported earlier --- is still likely to lead to a 37-30 delegate split when we have all the numbers in.
But at 93%, we're getting pretty close -- so a delegate win looks pretty solid for Obama. I'll add that I tried to verify some numbers out of Bexar County, but they won't be releasing those until Friday...so we have to go with what we got until then.
11:45am by Phillip - The Houston Chronicle reported a 58-0 win for Obama in Fort Bend SD 13, so we adjusted our totals from earlier. In the interest of fairness, this increase barely (by about 5 delegates) would make Obama's projected lead 38-29; however, we still project that with many of the small counties out still, and the "state Superdelegates" still out, that it will be 37-30 Obama. Stay tuned.
9:55am by KT - Crockett 2-0 for Clinton. It appears that 1/4th of the remaining ~100 conventions had only 1 delegate and nearly half had 2 or less. The largest unreported counties at this time are Guadalupe (28), Navarro & Polk (16 each), Caldwell, Cherokee, and Van Zandt (14 each), Upshur (12), and San Jacinto & Titus (10).
8:50am by KT- Collin County has reported giving Obama a 117-62 win (with 1 undetermined). Hunt reported an 11-11 split. Colorado broke 5-2 for Obama with Anderson reporting 9-5 in Obama's favor. Lampasas split 2-2 with one uncommitted. Both Clinton and Obama gained a state superdelegate but Clinton lost 1 superdelegate due to the removal of a county chair who was defeated in the primary.
Over 3/5th of County Conventions have now reported representing over 90% of state convention delegates. Of the remaining ~700 delegates, nearly 276 are uncommitted state superdelegates. We hope to ID many of these as we push to get the vote from the 100 or so small counties which haven't reported. The chair of Hudspeth County (1 delegate) wrote in and report they had no county convention.
2:15am by KT - Reports from folks in Collin say it may be another 1-3 hours. As an aside, why is it that most of the counties that being with the letter C haven't reported?
12:10am - Phillip - Still waiting on Collin County...
11:25pm by Phillip - Updated. Fixed a typo. Sorry, late nights.
10:25pm by Phillip - We updated one "state Superdelegate" for Obama. Other than that, I wanted to let everyone know that prelimiary (not final) reports from Collin County are that Obama won 117 delegates to 63. We'll wait up for final go, but if that's accurate (or anywhere close), as large a win as that is for Obama, it only increases his % lead by three-tenths, only then with 90% reporting. In other words -- even with those Collin County numbers -- what you see above is going to be pretty darn close to the final split, give or take a few tenths of a percentage point.
9:00pm by Phillip - Two counties came in, 1 delegate each for Obama and Clinton. From our comments section about Collin County (180 delegates), time-stamped about 20 minutes ago:
We have started the convention but we've been waiting hours for the tabulation of the percentages for at-large delegates. Still waiting.
We are watching a really good Republican movie about how they think and how we should react/teach to them.
We have only got as far as reading the rules. I'll report back as soon as we get to some significant step.
7:20 pm by Michael - Tom Green came in 21-3 for Clinton.
6:45 pm by KT - Walker came in 11-3 for Obama.
6:00pm by KT - Not a lot more to report. I'm about to send out some emails to outlying chairs to garner additional data. Collin County has not yet reported.
4:40pm by KT - Some people had pointed out the % of delegates reported seemed to be off by a couple tenths of a percent. The % was right but in correcting the total number of delegates counties and superdelegates are sending to the state convention, the state delegate total increased by 17 to 7,666. They should be in sync now.
3:18pm by Phillip - SD 7 in from Harris went 124 Obama, 72 Clinton. We're now at 86% of delegates in, with at least 4% of the remaining delegates coming from the "state Superdelegates." The remaining 124 county conventions will only account for 10% of the delegates -- and Collin County, which convened today, will be a significant portion of that. Time to start analyzing the results...
1:10pm by Phillip - Two more counties, nothing large. We're going to have to start calling County Chairs, so don't expect large updates for several hours (until we can track down SD 7 in Harris and until Collin comes in later). Plus, the UT basketball game is about to start. Best help you can do for us -- help us maintain the current superdelegate breakdown on our spreadsheet by e-mailing us (firstname.lastname@example.org) any missing assignments on that sheet.
12:10pm - Phillip - Angelina County (Obama 24, Clinton 13) the only large county to report. But here's what I realized: one of the largest blocks of votes left is the "state Superdelegates" -- they account for 285 remaining delegates, or approximately 4% of the remaining delegates. You can track the current superdelegate breakdown on our spreadsheet -- if you're a County Chair or SDEC member and don't see your name there, e-mail us at email@example.com. The "state superdelegates" -- along with Collin County and SD 7 in Harris County -- is the largest block of votes out there.
11:10am - Phillip - Morning! Lots of new numbers. The big ones I added were Tarrant SD 10 (Obama 208, Clinton 104) and Jefferson SD 4 (Obama 52, Clinton 26). Tarrant finished at 4am, as did Bexar SD 25 and several others. We also added about a dozen smaller counties, which broke largely for Clinton (Bee was 14-0, Clinton). In fact, Clinton had so many small counties go her way, that despite Obama's large wins in Tarrant and Jefferson, his lead only changed by one-hundredth of a percentage point. For what it's worth. You can read the county-by-county breakdown for the most detailed results.
MIDNIGHT - FINAL UPDATE OF NIGHT - We're all heading to bed at midnight, but here's some numbers to consider:
- The Associated Press had around 1,800 delegates reported tonight. We've brought you three times that amount, documented it all, and have over 72% of the delegate totals across the state. That's the value of a people-powered movement.
- Just today, we had 197,643 visits, and 221,185 page views -- by far the most traffic our site has ever seen in a single day. That's also the power of a people-powered movement.
- Senator Obama is still ahead, but we won't project anything. Our latest report was from Tarrant County, SD 12(108 Obama, 84 Clinton), but there is still more from Tarrant and Collin County out, not to mention half of the state (albeit mostly smaller counties).
- We expect that the next 10% of Counties that report will get us to around 90% of total delegates. Then, tomorrow, we'll start calling County Chairs and SDEC members to get the rest of the numbers.
Thanks for being a part of this wonderful process tonight. We'll be back strong tomorrow, with more numbers, tons of analysis, and lots of stories from the conventions across the state. Click below the thread to read our analysis throughout the night.
Good night, and remember -- Texas plays Memphis tomorrow in the Elite Eight. Hook 'em Horns!
--The Staff of Burnt Orange Report
11:35pm by Phillip - We adjusted SD 13 slightly, adding 17 delegates to account for the "at-large" portion. I used the numbers from the Houston Chronicle. What's really funny is that, despite the massive amount of documentation we provided here tonight, they still use the AP's numbers --- which show a relative split between Obama and Clinton at 933 (Clinton) and 937 (Obama). That means the Associated Press is only 3,700 delegates behind us! Show some love to us bloggers for better reporting, and donate to TexBlog PAC!
11:30pm by KT- The largest remaining conventions are Senate Districts 10 & 12 in Tarrant County (504 delegates) which lean Obama, Bexar District 26 (210), Harris District 7 (196), Collin District 8 (163), and Jefferson (78).
10:25pm by Phillip - El Paso just came in huge for Clinton. In SD 19 she won 7-0, but in SD 29 Senator Clinton won 157-18. Huge pick-up for her and her campaign. Also, KT (our publisher) called the McLennan County Chair, and our official report is 47-34, Obama.
10:10pm by David - We have a suprising change in McLennan. The nominations chair has reported the final tally is Clinton 41 - Obama 40.
9:50pm by Phillip - Dallas came in: SD 23 went 306-67 for Obama, and SD 16 went 150-105 for Obama. Lots, lots of more county updates -- keep checking out our spreadsheet for the latest county-by-county results!
9:31 pm by Michael - We have 100 reported conventions! The 100th was Fort Bend SD13, where Obama won 41-17.
9:14 pm by Michael - We just updated the numbers and we have 97 conventions reported. Also, thanks to those who told us about our spreadsheet error in the Fort Bend part of SD17.
8:34 pm by Matt - Our numbers: 121,206 hits today, 138,836 page views, 7 new donors to TexBlog PAC, $415 raised. Feel free to donate to help us win the 5 seats needed to take back the Texas House and keep checking for more updates.
8:33pm by Phillip - Just updated the numbers, which include SD 17 in Fort Bend (thanks Martha!) where Obama won 44-20. I'm going to take a dinner break -- keep checking in, because as some of the large conventions end and other folks in rural areas start reporting and e-mailing us, we should have a lot more results in. Stay tuned!
8:01pm by Phillip - New numbers -- Obama had a huge jump with some Dallas and Harris County conventions reporting (check the spreadsheet). We'll see what happens here on out...
8:00pm by Phillip - AHH THE SITE CRASHED. :) Sorry! In case that happens again, just leave for 10 minutes -- it'll fix itself faster than if everyone re-loads.
7:57pm by David - I just received word that Obama failed to meet the threshold in the SD27 portion of Hidalgo and had 18% of the signins in the SD20 portion.
7:05pm by Phillip - Lots of counties in (check the spreadsheet), but the big one is Travis -- 313 for Obama, 144 for Clinton.
6:25pm by Phillip - Two Dallas County SDs reported (8&9). Trying to get some more official numbers from some that have been reported online, and will update again when we do.
6:12 p.m. by Matt- We have 78 donors online to TexBlog PAC. Want to make it 80?
6:03pm by David - Duval is Clinton 12 - Obama 0 and Maverick is Clinton 12 - Obama 1.
5:50pm by Phillip - The Texas Observer blog has a good post about what's going on in Tarrant County right now. The DMN blog has 4-5 writers constantly complaining about how they can't wait to go home -- this is the same DMN that wrote an editorial complaining that the caucus process took too long on March 4. You know, because we're not doing anything important, like, oh, I don't know -- choosing the next President. (Slaps forehead).
5:45pm by Phillip - Sorry -- sometimes a couple of us are updating posts at the same time, so "updates" get lost. As Michael said earlier, the part of Dallas County that contains SD 8 just came in big for Obama, 51-36.
5:38 p.m. by Matt- With about 18% reporting, we are still waiting for the state's largest counties to verify the results. That means we are waiting for Tarrant, Travis, most of Harris and others. That means we have between 10 to 12 counties with more than 200 delegates out standing. In addition, we are waiting for El Paso and Hidalgo with 170 and 115 delegates respectively. We are in for a long night.
5:30 p.m. Update by Matt- Here is a traffic report for everyone to enjoy. as of 5:32 p.m. we have had 64,061 hits and 76,548 page views. Wow!
5:17pm Update by Michael - Harvey Rice of the Houston Chronicle reports that Harris SD11's convention voted for Obama with percentages of 51.7% to 48.3%. This convention sends 89 delegates to the state convention. As with Hays County, if anyone has the specific state convention delegate numbers, that would be great.
4:45pm Update by Phillip - Nueces County just came in big for Clinton (81-35).
4:40pm Update by David - Orange has just reported Clinton 21 - Obama 9.
4:25pm Update by Phillip - Bowie (Obama 18, Clinton 14) and Haskell (Clinton 2, Obama 1) and Llano (Clinton 5, Obama 2) just came in. I actually wanted to take a minute to thank our donor -- $100! -- to the TexBlog PAC. If you like our reporting, please --- donate so we can help take back Texas for Democrats! Read about our PAC to learn more.
4:10pm Update by Phillip - Kauffman, Kendall, Mason, Lee, Hamilton, and all of Smith Counties now added. See totals in the spreadsheet.
4:00pm Update by Phillip - Galveston County just came in, where in terms of delegates to the state convention SD 11 went 57-37 for Obama and SD 17 went 9-8 for Obama.
3:50pm Update by Phil - Harris County, Senate District 15 just reported. Huge for Obama -- of the 1,431 in attendance, 1,056 for Obama, and 375 for Clinton. With 217 delegates to split, that means Obama got 160 to 57 over Clinton in Harris County, SD 15.
3:30 Update by Matt- Some of you may notice a lag when the page loads, please be patient with us. We are seeing a bit of lag due to the high traffic today. In the past hour we have had over 10,000 hits and 12,000 page views, and our server is dragging a little bit. Like election day, we may see a site crash momentarily. If that happens, we will get back up as fast as possible. Please resist the temptation to hit refesh again and again and again. Please hold off on calling one of us or e-mailing us, this will only delay us from getting the problem fixed....
Thank you for your patience and thank you for reporting your results to us. Y'all are showing how strong our community is today. Oh, and by the way, today over 6 million people have seen Burnt Orange Report since we moved over to SoapBlox. That is simply incredible!
3:15pm Update by Phillip - Put the county-by-county link back up -- sorry, don't know why that went down. Again, we'll update that frequently. Harris County SD 15 has around 4,000 people in it, and they should be reporting in about an hour or so. Travis County has 10,000 people at the convention, and they're still chugging along. As we said originally -- lots of numbers to still come in, and we may spend some time tomorrow tracking down numbers from rural counties.
2:58pm Update by Michael - (Clinton-Obama): Palo Pinto (8-1) and Smith SD1 (4-20).
2:32pm Update by David - (Clinton-Obama): Starr (23-0),
Grayson (9-29) Grayson (21-17), Grimes (6-2), Bowie (14-18), Hartley (1-0).
2:07pm Update by Phillip - Here are the conventions in so far (Clinton - Obama split): Blanco (2-2), Brazoria SD 17 (9-13), Brooks (4-0), Dimmit (5-0), Donley (1-0), Ector (10-5), Edwards (1-0), Gonzales (3-2), Hopkins (7-6), Kenedy (1-0), Moore (1-1), San Augustine (2-3), Terrell (0-1), Tyler (6-2), Webb (51-0), Wheeler (1-0).
1:50pm Update by David - Clinton has swept Webb County 51-0. In Ector County, where the precint caucus results were C 55, O 45, Clinton has picked up 10 delegates to 5 for Obama.
1:15pm Update by David - In Webb County, it appears that Obama has not met the threshold and Clinton could carry all 51 delegates. While Clinton had expectations to do very well in Webb, a complete shut out would come as a surprise.
12:45pm Update by Phillip - So far, the only counties that have reported are San Augustine, Moore, and Edwards -- with a whopping 4-4 split of Obama and Clinton delegates. They are still signing in delegates in Harris and Travis County, I've been told.