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Some Republicans See it Coming in November


by: Justice

Sun Mar 02, 2008 at 11:40 AM CST


(Great time to be a Democrat in Texas - promoted by Matt Glazer)

Here's an interesting statment from the Quorum Report by Royal Masset, long-time Republican analyst here in Austin.  He looked at the voter turnout statewide inspired, in part, by Barack Obama, with all-time disparity between Republican and Democratic turnout.

He warns that even Repubs (like in Williamson County) who won their past elections by 60% could still be in big trouble this November.  He thinks that the mean rightwing dogma of his Party is driving potential allies (he focused on the Hispanic community, as an example)compared to the coalition that Ronald Reagan achieved for the Repubs.  He says the Repubs' immigration stand for example is anti-liberty and anti-family values, particularly offending Hispanic families in Texas.

Masset says:

"I'm not feeling optimistic," he said. "This just shows we are a bankrupt party. Who would have ever imagined that the next Ronald Reagan would be a black Democrat?"

Some of the Republicans are looking down the road to November and see that they are like a bug flying right at a big flat windshield of the Democrats' 18-wheeler barreling down the highway.

Don't ya love it?  

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Yes, I do love it! (3.00 / 4)
It's time for Texans to take care of Texans, not corporations and insurance companies.  It's time for justice in Texas to mean justice, not the execution and incarceration of the poor and mentally, not the upholding of a corporate mission over the law.  It's time to focus on true Texas values, not parroted party lines.    

This is great news! (0.00 / 0)
Check out this poll of Harris County.  I know it's by Zogby and his track record is spotty at best lately, but here's the data:

New Poll puts Engelhart in the Lead!  Really!
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

A new Zogby poll conducted for the Houston Chronicle Wednesday and Thursday, February 27 and 28 had some incredible findings!

Respondents were asked about the Harris County judicial races.  The question was posed as pitting generic Democratic judicial candidates against generic Republican judicial candidates.  Here are the results:

Harris County Judicial Candidates
Dem  41%
Rep   37%

In other words, WE'RE WINNING!  Mike Engelhart, your favorite Democratic judicial candidate is in the lead by 4 points with only 8 months remaining until the November 4, 2008 election!  I would have been ecstatic to have seen this result after Labor Day, but to see it now is amazing.  With our communications and outreach program and your continued support and contributions, we can definitely make this happen in November!

Those number, today, translate to a 52.5/47.5 win for Democratic judicial candidates in Harris County.  That 52.5 number is enough for the appellate court candidates to win their races as well due to the large % of voters from Harris County vs. the other 9 counties in their races for the 1st and 14th Courts of Appeals.

Here's the link to the story:  http://www.chron.com/disp/stor...


Besides offending Hispanics, (0.00 / 0)
Hardcore R's have labeled any Republicans not 100% pro-life as RINOS (Republican in name only). Hopefully, the ultra left wing of the Democratic Party will not run these pro-choice R's and independants back to Sen. McCain before the General Election with their leftwing dogma.

The Democratic Pary in Texas is on a roll, try not to screw it up. If Democrats stick to their message of change and health care reform, they win in November.


that's the key (0.00 / 0)
we need to be smart enough not to overreach.  The graveyard of politics is populated by politicians who thought the public felt as strongly about their ideology as they did.  Political capital should be used to enact pragmatic legislation that benefits society, not wasted on symbolic ideological battles.

[ Parent ]
Say. Didn't McCaul get 60% last cycle? (0.00 / 0)
Oops! Snicker.

He won with 55% of the vote.

Let's hope the money and fearmongering both take a walk this time.


He'll be the first to fall (0.00 / 0)
Lets not give him more than he got.  It was 55%.  Ted Ankrum got 40 percent without having a lot of money.  If Ted had gotten some national resources McCall would have been history in '06

From the SOS web site Gen 2006
---------------------------------------
U. S. Representative District 10
Michael T. McCaul(I) REP 97,726 55.28%
Ted Ankrum DEM 71,415 40.40%
Michael Badnarik LIB 7,614 4.30%
-----------
Race Total 176,755

Sonia


[ Parent ]
It's kind of nice (3.00 / 1)
to see Texas Republicans feeling glum for a change.  Maybe our time in the wilderness is almost over.

I think that 2008 has the potential to be a big year for Texas Democrats.  It'll be a tough fight winning the state's electoral votes for whoever we end up nominating as our presidential candidate, but I think we have several factors working on our favor this time around:  

1) Repubs are hugely demoralized, and independents are pretty disgusted with the Repubs for obvious treasons - uh, I mean reasons.  Meanwhile, the Democratic base is energized like it has't been in years about the opportunity of finally ridding ourselves of George Bush.

2) Unless McCain chooses Rick Perry or Kay Bailey Hutchison to be his running mate, this could be one of the few times in recent history that a Texas Republican isn't on the ballot - a Texan has been on the ballot for the Repubs in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections.  In 1996, when the Repubs didn't have a Texan on the ballot, we only lost by 5 points (although it should be noted that Perot was on the ballot that year and took nearly 7 percent of the Texas vote).

3) If Obama is on the ballot, which he probably will be, I think his ground game is going to make a big difference in how many people show up to vote for him and the other Dems on the ballot.

4) The Latino vote is going to be a significant factor this election cycle.  Hispanics are a fast growing demographic in Texas, and Latino voters are going to be very energized by the immigration issue.  I think that they are going to break hard for the Democrats in this election cycle and show up in record numbers.

5) Further down the ballot, we're going to have a strong candidate for the Senate in Rick Noriega.  He benefits by running against a weak incumbent, and as a Latino he will undoubtedly benefit from the energized Latino turnout.  In fact, I think he may add to it, as he could become our first Latino senator.

Maybe I'm being too optimistic, but I believe that we're going to send a Democrat to the Senate, add to our numbers in the House of Representatives and at the state level, and turn Texas into a battleground state.

- 7.12, - 7.54 / Attack of the Machine Elves / My Twitter feed


Repeat after me "I'll never use the words Dream Ticket" (3.00 / 1)
After the all around thumping of the "Dream Ticket" for the Democrats in 2002 which included Tony Sanchez for Governor, Ron Kirk for Senate and a host of other qualifieds, I'm worried about taking ANYTHING for granted.

We're going to have to work every day through November (except maybe March 5th.  I'm exhausted) in order to get the voters educated and get the huge turnout to actually happen.  We can't permit ourselves to think that the existence of an excellent candidate choice** alone will do our work for us.

"I'll never use the words 'Dream Ticket'"

"I'll never use the words 'Dream Ticket'"

**have to say that I personally didn't like the Sanchez for Gov idea, however.


[ Parent ]
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