TX Primary: Early Vote Totals Through Thursday, 2/28

What do the turnout numbers look like for the Republicans? (0.00 / 0)

My speculation is that the Republican primary is more like a regular primary that appeals to mostly the activist base. I would be interested to see the turnout comparison.

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by: cbking @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 10:53:40 AM CST

Republican turnout so far (0.00 / 0)

Here it is.

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by: Scott Wood @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 11:52:15 AM CST

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broken record (0.00 / 0)

Today's Webb County ev update!!

Total thru the end of early voting: 28,909 which would place it 9th statewide (by my math). Pretty impressive for a county that isn't nearly as big as many of these top 14 counties.

Webb is proving to be a must-stop for any statewide candidate running in the primary. We've seen both Clintons since september (and we're getting HRC again). Teddy Kennedy came (but wouldn't cross the bridge). Noriega and Art Hall have been there a few times.

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by: colin @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 12:21:21 PM CST

Travis County Details here (3.00 / 1)

http://www.mikeconwell.com/Vot...

The web page was created from Microsoft Excel, so try an alternate browser if you're having problems with it.

Summary: Dems vs Republicans in Travis County, almost 10 to 1 so far.

Travis County at times has been the lone blue dot in all of Texas.  Hopefully this November, Texas will have a case of Indigo Chicken Pox and become covered with blue counties!

Apologies for citing the Red/Blue thing.  I try never to do it in ordinary life.

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by: mikeconwell @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 12:25:39 PM CST

East/West split (0.00 / 0)

The stations east of IH-35 seem to have a much lower turnout than the others. I wonder how that fits into voting models.  

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by: LSadun @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 13:22:43 PM CST

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Terrible news for Hillary (0.00 / 0)

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by: gb1437a @ Sun Mar 02, 2008 at 00:18:23 AM CST

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Question regarding the early voting locations.... (0.00 / 0)

Not familiar at all with Austin other than it is probably the only city in Texas I'd consider living in, I always hear great things about your city.  You guys are doing a great job down there for Barack, thank you!!  

Although I'd like to have a say in all of this, I don't want this to drag on until May 20th when Oregon votes.  Tuesday sounds like a much better time for this all to end.

As I look at this spreadsheet, can anyone tell me which locations are more likely heavy Obama and which (if any) of the locations might favor Clinton?  I know that Austin gets 8 delegates (very nice!) and am curious how they might split.

Thanks in advance to anyone who can interpret some of these numbers and what they might mean for Obama.

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by: RickGoDucks @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 16:12:04 PM CST

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Hard to say (0.00 / 0)

The highest turnouts are at grocery stores in North Austin and Southwest Austin, areas that don't have particularly strong ethnic or political identities.  The lowest turnouts have been in East Austin, which has the highest concentration of both black and Hispanic voters. The high turnout at the University of Texas should be good for Obama, but the rest is a mystery.

To see where the early voting locations are, see www.co.travis.tx.us/county_clerk/election/20080304/early.asp
 

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by: LSadun @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 18:28:07 PM CST

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Harris County (0.00 / 0)

Through Friday:

182k Dems, 70k Reps.  The Dem turnout alone is over 10% of registered voters.  If we conservatively go with EV's making up 40% of the total and Dem-leaners consisting of half the county, that's 50% of Dems-leaners voting in the primary.  Pretty remarkable, I'd say...

http://www.harrisvotes.com/doc...

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by: Ramo @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 12:45:11 PM CST

let this end tues (0.00 / 0)

Lord please let this end Tuesday. Go Obama

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by: nugget @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 13:55:27 PM CST

Bad data? (0.00 / 0)

Your 2004 figures are way off, according to this:

http://www.sos.state.tx.us/ele...

Travis County has 22,389 early voters in the Democratic primary, not 15,276, for example. Your numbers for all counties are off by a similar degree.

There's still been a massive turnout, even taking the correct numbers into account.

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by: vaskeli @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 17:23:50 PM CST

not bad, just different (0.00 / 0)

i think this number is through 10 days...not the total ev period referenced in your chart.

if i'm reading all of this right.

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by: colin @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 18:27:08 PM CST

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I stand corrected (0.00 / 0)

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by: vaskeli @ Sat Mar 01, 2008 at 18:47:24 PM CST

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