- About Us
- Community Guidelines

Advertising on BOR
- Advertise on BOR


We're Counting On You.

Burnt Orange Report is redeveloping our website for the first time in almost a decade.

We're counting on your support to continue providing you free and frequent coverage of progressive issues that matter to Texans.

Help us build a website that is as great as the content we publish on it.

TX exit poll: Clinton 41, Obama 38

by: PDiddie

Thu Feb 28, 2008 at 00:10 PM CST

Other 17% (presumably Edwards, Dodd, Richardson, and other presidential candidates who have suspended campaigns but remain on the Texas ballot) and Undecided 4%.
This outfit -- People Calling People/Texas Voyager (.pdf, scroll to bottom) -- used an automated interactive call to 408 respondents, self-declared Democrats who have already voted in the March 4 primary.  The MoE is 4.85%, and calls were conducted between 6 and 9 p.m. on the evenings of February 26 and 27.

So it's a dead heat.

Neither Kuffner nor BOR, the real gurus for these sorts of numbers, appear to have blogged this yet so opinions as to validity, integrity and so on I'll leave to them and similar experts as to whether or not this is good data.

It seems to contradict the supposition that the "surge x 10" of early voting is driven by the Obama campaign.  I suppose we will have to wait and see.

Copyright Burnt Orange Report, all rights reserved.
Do not republish without express written permission.

Tags: , , , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email

Other 17%? (0.00 / 0)
Any pollster that seriously thinks 17% of voters are voting for other presidential candidates is full of it. Sorry, can't take that seriously.  

I'm not offended (0.00 / 0)
It's not my work.

What's your opinion of the outfit?  They essentially do robocalls, right?

Afflicting the comfortable via...

[ Parent ]
I think so (0.00 / 0)
I mean, pollster.com is not bothering to include them so...

[ Parent ]
Phew (0.00 / 0)
Glad to hear that these folks are fly by night.  It would be interesting if a real polling outfit did some exit polls on early voting.

Rasmussen and Survey USA did (0.00 / 0)
The Feb 24 Rasmussen poll had Clinton up by 1 overall, but said that among the early voters (29% of the sample), Obama had a big lead. (They didn't say how big.) SUSA said that Obama was ahead by 4, but that the early vote (25% of the sample) favored Clinton 51-46. Today's Rasmussen poll has Obama up by 4, but doesn't discuss the early vote. Who's right is anybody's guess.  

[ Parent ]
Clarification of other = 17% (3.00 / 1)
Voters frequently decline to state their preference to pollsters--either automated or live.  Such early voters chose the "otherwise" option in our automated poll.  
-Ron Turner, People Calling People

Ron Turner



[ Parent ]
Connect With BOR

2014 Texas Elections
Follow BOR for who's in, who's out, and who's up.

Candidate Tracker:
-- Statewide Races
-- Congressional Races
-- State Senate Races
-- State Rep. Races
-- SBOE Races
-- Austin City Council

Click here for all 2014 Elections coverage


Make a New Account



Forget your username or password?

Texas Blue Pages

Texas Blue Pages
A career network for progressives.


Shared On Facebook

Burnt Orange Reporters
Editor and Publisher:
Katherine Haenschen

Senior Staff Writers:
Genevieve Cato
Joe Deshotel
Ben Sherman

Staff Writers:
Omar Araiza
Emily Cadik
Phillip Martin
Natalie San Luis
Katie Singh
Joseph Vogas

Byron LaMasters

Blogger Emeritus:
Karl-Thomas Musselman

Read staff bios here.

Traffic Ratings
- Alexa Rating
- Quantcast Ratings

Powered by: SoapBlox