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Romney Suspends Campaign


by: Matt Glazer

Thu Feb 07, 2008 at 11:55 AM CST


CNN is reporting that Mitt Romney is suspending his campaign.

Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney were campaigning as the alternative to John McCain, but unlike Huckabee, Romney's campaign never truly got the traction it needed to be competitive in the South or among the traditionally conservative Republican base.

Speculation had surround the "McCain/Huckabee" alliance that seemed to have been forged (especially after the West Virginia convention), and I would venture a guess that Huckabee will drop out soon too.  Reason? After Super Tuesday's results, Huckabee is in a prime position to be selected as the Republican veep.  No reason to destroy that chance by campaigning through March against the presumptive nominee.

Romney's exit does mean that there will be no Republican motivation to vote March 4th.  

Good news for Democrats because it will free up some TV space for ads and allow us to identify more Democrats by keeping Republican's from mobilizing.  It will also give Democrats a first run at GOTV on a large scale while keeping Republican's home.

The Republican Party has a nominee on the horizon, but Democrats are well positioned.  Romney took some punches at McCain and gave evangelical talk show hosts like Rush Limbaugh a reason to say he would take Hillary over McCain.  Democrats are well organized and building infrastructure for November while Republicans have to sit and wait before they can launch the noise machine.  It is an interesting time to be a Texas Democrat.

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Guess Mitt decided (0.00 / 0)
he should stop spending Josh, Tagg, Craig, Ben and Matt's inheritance ...

Bye bye mittens (0.00 / 0)
He's just saving himself from humiliation this year, but he's not gone for sure.  He'll be back in 2012.  

Crossover voting (0.00 / 0)
If Huckabee drops out before the TX primary, and McCain becomes the presumptive nominee, any chance we'll see a lot of republicans voting in the Dem primary so they can vote for Gene Kelly types, or, assuming they think she will be easier to beat than Obama in the general, HRC?

I think the strategy might make some sense, but I'm not sure voters will do it or will do it in numbers that will make a difference.


i would have to think yes (0.00 / 0)
i can see many folks choosing the opportunity to muddle with the dems. i wonder how it will be balanced tho by independents and moderates who actually favor obama.

as for the numbers, given that after near 15million votes the super-tuesday split was something like under 1%, it just might be enough to matter... of course thats per SD, so...

Oi, political strategery ; )

-my comments at BOR are mine, and do not represent anything official from LFT.


[ Parent ]
I actually doubt ... (0.00 / 0)
... you will have very many crossover votes. We especially won't see enough to swing an entire SD. If a Republican votes in our primary then they won't be able to participate in their own caucus, convention, etc. The people who would be motivated to "screw" with the election are also the ones who would like to participate in everyting else that requires having the Repubican stamp on their card.

But hey I've been proven wrong before.


[ Parent ]
I just don't think that type of thing happens much (0.00 / 0)
The party loyalists won't do it. They want to be a triple 'R' (as Democrats want to be a triple 'D')

Also, there is more to a primary than President and many will have other Republican candidates they will want to vote for.

Plus, who would they vote for? I've heard Obama and Clinton both called 'easier to beat'.

Combine those factors with the expected record turnout among Democrats and any crossover, spoiler vote is just an insignificant amount.


[ Parent ]
Obama (0.00 / 0)
This could benefit Obama, as independents that would have voted for McCain could vote for Obama in the Dem primary.

TX-22 (0.00 / 0)
No Republican enthusiasm, low turn out, party activists only, 10 candidates here.

Who does this help? Who gets to lose to Lampson in November?


This will help the Republicans (0.00 / 0)
Republicans will have a chance to consolidate behind McCain while Clinton and Obama are still fighting it out.

In Texas, I think the possible crossover voters voting for HRC to weaken the Democrats will be countered by GOP crossovers voting for him against Hillary.

"I love America more than any other country in this world, and, exactly for this reason, I insist on the right to criticize her perpetually."- James A. Baldwin


Two things... (3.00 / 1)
First off, so long as this race doesn't get utterly vicious, this helps us.  Free publicity and a compelling story that motivates voters to vote early/invest emotionally in the race... could we ask for more?  Plus, building up a party infastructure via this race... I LOVE it!

Republicans won't cross over to vote in our primary just to sabatoge it.  The only people who would care enough to do it won't want to disqualify themselves as registered Republicans.  Sure, some Republicans WILL vote for Obama, but that's because they agree/like him.  I LOVE the idea of IDing those voters... potential swing voters!!!


[ Parent ]
TX Poll - McCain 43 Huckabee 33 (5.00 / 1)
Did a post-Romney poll last night

http://ivrpolls.com/index.php?...


Texas Economics


thanks (0.00 / 0)
Are you planning on doing a post-Super Tuesday Democratic poll sometime soon?

[ Parent ]
thanks (0.00 / 0)
Are you planning on doing a post-Super Tuesday Democratic poll sometime soon?

[ Parent ]
Not yet - couple of weeks maybe (3.00 / 1)
Let the campaigns do their thing for awhile and then I'll see how it looks.

Texas Economics

[ Parent ]
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