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McCaul is Vulnerable Congressional Quarterly Reports


by: Texas Nate

Wed Jun 27, 2007 at 09:46 AM CDT


( - promoted by Matt Glazer)

Yeah it's not news to those of us who read Kuff  but Congressional Quarterly is picking up on the story now, which means the Texas press corps might even wake up and take notice.
Texas Republican Mike McCaul was a beneficiary of a mid-decade redistricting plan — spearheaded by Tom DeLay, the Texan who then was House majority leader — that left the GOP with six more House seats after the 2004 election than they had after 2002.

The 10th Congressional District, where McCaul ran, seemed so Republican (its voters would give President Bush 61 percent in 2004), that McCaul won that year without Democratic opposition, pulling down 79 percent to defeat a Libertarian and a write-in candidate.

But McCaul did draw a Democratic foe in 2006, and it made a difference. His challenger, former NASA employee Ted Ankrum, was not well-known in the 10th — which spans 150 miles from eastern Austin to western suburbs of Houston — and spent less than $65,000 to the incumbent’s $1.1 million. Yet the outcome was a fairly modest 55 percent to 40 percent victory for McCaul.

    There are already two serious candidates vying for the nomination, well, ok, one serious candidate and one guy who reminds me a bit too much of another media crazed egomaniac.
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Here's Kuffner's breakdown of how the various candidates on the ballot did in TX 10 in 2006. As you can see, McCaul is weak weak weak.

 



Republican  Votes  Pct  Democrat  Votes  Pct

=======================================================

Combs  107,403  63.1  Head   62,564  36.8

Abbott  107,990  62.9  Van Os  63,605  37.1

Hutchison  107,988  62.5  Radnofsky  64,818  37.5

Dewhurst  104,155  61.7  Alvarado  64,540  38.3

Patterson  97,762  58.9  Hathcox  68,328  41.1

Staples  97,273  58.1  Gilbert  70,124  41.9

McCaul  97,712  57.8  Ankrum  71,415  42.2

Ames Jones  95,750  57.7  Henry  70,112  42.3

Keller  98,243  57.3  Molina  73,136  42.7

Willett  89,899  54.4  Moody  75,343  45.6

 

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NY Times picked up the CQ story too (5.00 / 2)
And as usual, their side is in complete denial of the facts, just like their position in Iraq.

NY Times CQ article 6/26/07
’06 Dropoff by GOP Texan McCaul Has Dems Eyeing Prospects
McCaul’s camp betrays no worries about his prospects when the former U.S. attorney makes an expected bid next year for a third term. “Our confidence is high that the numbers will go up significantly, but only by campaigning positively and on the issues,” said Jack Hirshfield, a spokesman for McCaul.


Texas Nate, don't slam my friend... (5.00 / 1)
I know Larry Doherty personally.  He's colorful, but do not compare him to Kinky Friedman!  He has spent his life standing up for people who no one else would stand up for.

Let's try to attack the guy who needs attacking, Congressman Clear Channel.

Fight on!
Richard Morrison


I just heard him speak at a TED meeting tonight (0.00 / 0)
He's extremely knowledgeable about the environment.  I like him.  Plus he's already got a great campaign team already lined up.

[ Parent ]
sorry about that (5.00 / 1)
I'm just extremely leery of the show biz types after the Kinky experience.

My comments reflect my own personal opinion and not those of any client or colleague, current, former or future.

[ Parent ]
Al Franken is going to make a great Senator (0.00 / 0)
So we can't bar all show biz types.  Some people just seem to connect better with people through entertainment.  It's a good marketing skill.

I'm not saying Dan is not qualified too. And I haven't heard Dan's presentation yet.

I'm saying I'm not discounting someone simply because they come from a celebrity status.  I didn't even know the Judge Justice part until after I heard him speak.

Just my two cents.


[ Parent ]
Serious times call for serious candidates (0.00 / 0)
Texas Nate is right.  I hope lots of candidates run against McCaul.  But there's no denying that of the two in the race so far, one has a resume perfectly suited to this election and the other is... well, colorful.

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