| Big news out from Matagorda. Election Day totals came in, pushing DiNovo to 2nd place in the total vote from that county, and forcing the overall vote into a much better position. Update: It seems that half of Brazoria has reported as well into the totals listed here. So with half of Brazoria out, we have O'Day just over 50% but falling.
DiNovo ended up with near 33% of the Matagorda vote and O'Day falling to 42% of the total. Weber fell to 3rd with only 23% of the county vote.
Overall, O'Day is now just barely over 50%. In addition, DiNovo has moved forward to within 4% points of being in a runoff. The math is there and DiNovo is doing much better on Election Day. The question is, will there be enough in Brazoria to a) force O'Day under 50% which I see as quite possible and b) enough to get DiNovo over Weber and into that runoff.
A can happen without B but I see it being much harder for B to happen without A. Of course, B happening without A doesn't really mean much because while DiNovo would be 2nd, O'Day would have over 50% and the election is over. |
