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Primary Mapping: 167th District Court Democratic Primary


by: Karl-Thomas Musselman

Thu Aug 23, 2012 at 06:59 PM CDT


David WahlbergToday's map in our primary mapping series is that of the 167th District Court race between David Wahlberg and Efrain De La Fuente

The color scale divides the % share of the vote into six categories from dark orange to dark purple for the winning and losing candidates respectively, leaving three color densities for each candidate based on the share of the vote they received in the precinct. The breaks denote every 1/6th of the vote or 17%, 33%, 50%, 67%, and 83% to reflect not only the winner of a precinct but also the margin so as to highlight voting patterns across the county more easily. Precincts in red indicate no votes cast- most of these are fragmented precincts from congressional redistricting.

Takeaways: The most contested of the races we have previewed so far, neither David Wahlberg or Efrain De La Fuente were able to run up their margins to the extent that other Democrats did this spring. De La Fuente's best showing was in the traditionally Hispanic neighborhoods just north of the river in East Austin where his campaign was headquartered. He was able to score victories in South, Southeast, Northeast, and some far northern precincts. Wahlberg made his move West of Mopac while successfully winning most of the central city (absent the UT Campus box). South Austin was more hotly contested but it wasn't enough to offset Wahlberg in Central-West which allowed him to take the victory.

Click here to see more maps in this series.

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In other words, it's all about turnout (0.00 / 0)
Wahlberg and de la Fuente each carried half the city. Except that Wahlberg's half votes at a much higher rate than de la Fuente's half, especially in low-turnout elections like primaries.

Which brings us to November. Democrats will win if we can get people in the high-DPI-but-low-turnout precincts to vote. The TCDP knows this, and that's what they're concentrating on.


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