Home

About
- Who We Are
- Community Guidelines
- Right to Respond
Advertising on BOR
- Advertise on BOR
- Buy on all Texas Blogs

Advertisements

Search




Advanced Search


Follow Burnt Orange Report on Twitter (@BOR) and Facebook.

Redistricting: What They're Saying, Part 1


by: Phillip Martin

Wed Jun 28, 2006 at 03:09 PM CDT


Here's a round-up of quotes from released statements and various newspaper articles about today's U.S. Supreme Court decision about the Texas' Congressional Redistricting. I'll do another post tomorrow, which will include more reactions as well as quotes from the numerous editorials that I imagine will be written about today's decision.

From the Supreme Court ruling, authored by Justice Anthony Kennedy:

"Texas’ redrawing of District 23’s lines amounts to vote dilution violative of §2 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965…

We reject the statewide challenge to Texas redistricting as an unconstitutional political gerrymander."

From J. Gerald Hebert, a lawyer for the Democratic challengers, via Reuters:

"This case was as extreme example as one could find of raw partisan politics motivating a redistricting," Hebert said. "This decision opens the floodgates for partisan redistricting."

From State Representative Richard Raymond:

"From the very beginning, common sense told us that Laredo is one community of interest, and the only reason it was split up was to give the Republicans an unfair advantage so that they could elect another Republican to Congress from Texas -- at the expense of Hispanics, Laredo and South Texas."

From Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott, via the Statesman:

"Today, the United States Supreme Court conclusively rejected broad challenges to the Texas congressional redistricting plan," he said in a written statement. "Although one district must be partially redrawn, the overall contours of the map adopted by the Texas Legislature were affirmed by the U. S. Supreme Court."

Also from the AG's office, via the Dallas Morning News:

Though Mr. Bonilla, Mr. Raymond and others said they expect at least a few districts to be affected, a spokeswoman for Mr. Abbott said that’s “not necessarily” the case.  Abbott spokeswoman Angela Hale was asked how one district could be redrawn without affecting others.

“You’ll just have to wait and see,” she said.

For comments from MALDEF, Congressman Bonilla, TDP Chairman Boyd Richie, Rep. Jim Dunnam, the People for the American Way, and Congressional hopeful David T. Harris, click on "There's more."

ADVERTISEMENT
From the Mexican American Legal Defense and Educational Fund (MALDEF), the nation's leading Latino legal organization:

"The Texas Legislature chose to violate the integrity of the democratic process by intentionally removing 100,000 Latino voters from a district to try to control the election result," commented John Trasviña, MALDEF Interim President and General Counsel.  "Today's ruling affirms that manipulating election districts to disadvantage one race of voters violates the Voting Rights Act and undermines our democracy," continued Trasviña.

Also from the Dallas Morning News:

Mr. Bonilla predicted a “big domino effect” across South Texas as his district is redrawn, and he defended the composition of his current turf, blaming “professional minorities” and their lawyers for stirring up racial tensions in court.

“The sad part about this ruling is that people are talking race, and in Texas we are inclusive,” Mr. Bonilla told KENS-TV in San Antonio. “We have so many counties that are majority Latino and do very well in most of them…. We still believe we were right.”

Mr. Bonilla said “there might be a close election” depending on how his district ends up reshaped, but added, “we’ll be fine.”

However, Democratic state Rep. Richard Raymond said GOP map makers illegally played the race card. He said lawmakers diluted the clout of Hispanics in Laredo, his hometown, to protect Mr. Bonilla. They were spread across two adjacent congressional districts.

“You took a city that’s 95 percent Hispanic and split it right in half -- as Justice Kennedy said -- to help an incumbent politician as opposed to helping the people,” Mr. Raymond said. “You just can’t do that.”

From TDP Chairman Boyd Richie:

“Today’s Supreme Court decision is a victory for all Texans who value the rights of voters, and especially Latino voters in South Texas whose voting rights were trampled by Tom DeLay and Republican leaders in Washington and Austin in their pursuit of an unprecedented partisan redistricting scheme.  We call on the District Court to act immediately to restore the voting rights of Hispanic voters in South Texas before the 2006 elections - waiting another two years for justice should not be tolerated."

From House Democratic Leader, Rep. Jim Dunnam:

Three years ago, Texas House Democrats went to Ardmore, Oklahoma to protect the voting rights of each and every Texan from Tom DeLay’s illegal and unconstitutional redistricting plan.  Today the United States Supreme Court said we were right.  It is immoral for Republicans to push a partisan agenda in violation of the Voting Rights Act, and the District Court should act immediately to ensure each and every Texan’s vote is counted this Fall.

From Deece Eckstein, Texas and Southwest Director of People For the American Way:

"There is an ongoing right-wing campaign to disenfranchise Americans by making it harder to register, harder to vote, and harder to have your vote make a difference," said Eckstein. "Part of that campaign is the effort by Republican members of the Texas congressional delegation to block reauthorization of the Voting Rights Act. This ruling is only going to make things worse."

From David T. Harris, congressional candidate for District 6:

"A unified Texas GOP delegation continues to stall renewal of the VRA. I call on everyone to contact the Texas Delegation and demand that they allow renewal of the VRA.  Today the Supreme Court handed disenfranchised voters every where a beacon of hope that their plight is not ignored in this country.  While I was deployed to help a new foreign government in Iraq set up free and fair elections in their own country, I will not sit by and allow voters in ours to continue to be denied those same rights"
Tags: , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
Irony (0.00 / 0)
The Republicans could see a net loss of two seats out of this opinion.

How's that?

One, Bonilla's district will gain 100,000 Hispanics from Laredo and likely turn into a Dem district.

Two, Cuellar, the closeted Repub, will lose his Laredo base and the district will likely tilt toward San Antonio.  The district very likely will remain Hispanic and Democratic, but it won't have Cuellar for a congressman.

Three, while it's true that Dogget's district will likely be re-drawn, it'll be hard to make it so bad that it becomes a Repub district without messing around in other Repub districts during an election year (something those Repub congressmen won't like).

Now, if they'll just give Carter a significant number of Hispanic voters who will demonstrate to him that racial bias doesn't exist in Texas...


A net loss of three... (0.00 / 0)
If Lampson wins, considering the core of what led to Delay's demise was his push for congressional redistricting.

Now, a very great man once said that some people rob you with a fountain pen.

[ Parent ]
but (0.00 / 0)
cuellar will take bonilla's seat

[ Parent ]
so sure? (0.00 / 0)
Remember, even under the old configuration Cuellar lost 47-51. True, he's an incumbent now, but the GOP won't be stupid enough to give Bonilla Dem-leaning territory. They'll try to carve out the most Republican district they can for him that has a decent Hispanic majority.

[ Parent ]
what im saying is that (0.00 / 0)
cuellar isnt going anywhere. Laredo will be one district and it is big enough to bring him to victory, whether its against Bonilla or not

[ Parent ]
I hope you're right (0.00 / 0)
against Ciro Rodriguez, I would support Rodriguez, but against Bonilla I will enthusiastically take Cuellar!!!

So the ideal situation for Democrats is that Cuellar runs against Bonilla and wins, and a San Antonio Democrat (like Rodriguez) wins District 28.


[ Parent ]
ciro (0.00 / 0)
is fine but his time is up. Let Julian Castro or someone win it

[ Parent ]
Umm... (5.00 / 1)
Julian Castro is nowhere near CD-28.  To put Julian Castro in CD-28 would mean Charlie Gonzalez' district gets chopped up something fierce.

Or Castro moves into/near the district... and that doesn't play in the Bexar County portion of CD-28.

Besides don't you already know Castro is already asking for votes for his 2009 mayoral run?  Been doing it since at least as far back as Uresti's victory party.

Too bad he's gonna lose that one too.

thejeffersonian.blogspot.com


[ Parent ]
sorry ... (0.00 / 0)
i dont know much about san antonio politics.

Will Hardberger probably run for reelection in 09?


[ Parent ]
Don't worry about it (0.00 / 0)
My problem is that there are a whole bunch of other people in SA who are much, much better options than Julian Castro.

We re-elect our mayors here every two years.  And while there hasn't been any official indication that Hardberger will run for re-election in '07, the rumors and whispers are that he will.

And then after that he's done per our term limit ordinances.

thejeffersonian.blogspot.com


[ Parent ]
Did the AG's office just say (5.00 / 3)
that one district can be redrawn without affecting ANY OTHER district in the country?

What are these guys gonna do, annex Nuevo Laredo?

thejeffersonian.blogspot.com


hahah (0.00 / 0)
No, remember, all the border guard money? That's not really for the border guarding at all, it's just to move Hispanics in or out of TX-23 to wherever they need to be. If you can't change a line, change the population. heh.

Please read the Community Guidelines and How to Rate Comments.

[ Parent ]
Yeah (0.00 / 0)
Either that or the Bush administration is going to find the 100,000 illegals (out of the 12 mil or so) who would've voted for him in '04 even though he would've kicked them out anyways.

Move them to western Webb county.  And them make them citizens.

This is the joke du jour in San Antonio right now.

thejeffersonian.blogspot.com


[ Parent ]
sounds fishy (2.00 / 1)
I'm thinking they're going to try their best to ensure Bonilla still gets a safe district. Like maybe they give him a district that's 55% Hispanic or even 60% Hispanic but nowhere near the previous 63%.

If they reunite Webb County as Richard Raymond wants, Bonilla is severely endangered. The last time Webb County, which is 90-something % Hispanic and overwhelmingly Democratic, was all in District 23 (in 2002), Bonilla nearly lost to Henry Cuellar. It is in neither man's interest to be forced against the other. Bonilla doesn't want to lose to Cuellar and Cuellar doesn't want to lose to Bonilla. So the Leg will keep Laredo split, aiding Bonilla's reelection chances.

They'll probably just give him more of San Antonio.


[ Parent ]
Laredo United! (0.00 / 0)
If I understand it correctly, the court ruled that the splitting of Laredo was what was unconstitutional.  The remedy is to unite it in Bonilla's district.

[ Parent ]
Cuellar and Bonilla won't like that (0.00 / 0)
Both of them will lobby hard against a plan like that. Bonilla likes having a safe Republican seat and Cuellar likes having a safe Democratic seat. Neither of them wants another tough race a la 2002.

[ Parent ]
Tough (4.00 / 3)
I'm really not envisioning many scenarios where the two don't square off again, although Greg Abbott -- the man who, in official election preparation materials, said that African-Americans are more likely to cause voting irregularities than anyone else, and claims that there has been massive voter fraud in Texas when, you know, there hasn't been more than 1-2 cases of any sort of significance for years -- claims very minimum changes can be made.

We'll see.

Now, a very great man once said that some people rob you with a fountain pen.


[ Parent ]
I agree. (5.00 / 1)
From what I've read, it looks like CD23 will need to include all of Webb County, and look much more like the CD23 of the 2002 election than the CD23 of the 2004 election.

Cuellar's base is Webb County, so even if a new map creates an open CD28 (Cuellar's current district) including San Antonio and parts of south Texas, Cuellar would have a tough time in such a district if it did not include Webb County.  A new CD28 not including any of Webb County would likely favor a San Antonio Democrat (Ciro Rodriguez or someone else).

On the other hand a 60%+ Hispanic CD23 with a united Webb County would be appealing to Cuellar, although even then, a race against Bonilla would be tough.  Bonilla could find himself in a number of districts, but running in the new CD23 is likely going to be his only real option.


[ Parent ]
its not just what Richard Raymond wants (0.00 / 0)
Anthony Kennedy and the VRA want it too ... it doesnt matter if its politically inconvenient for Bonilla and Cuellar.

[ Parent ]
well, i suggest the 'maya riviera' instead (5.00 / 1)
i mean, the Rs should be able to apply a little more creativity to how they define community -- come on, get us a little something we can use!

; )

-my comments at BOR are mine, and do not represent anything official from LFT.


[ Parent ]
Yeah (3.50 / 2)
I'm not sure why the AG said that, especially because -- as Rep. Raymond pointed out -- the Court specfically noted that the 50/50 Laredo split was terrible.

Another quote from the DMN that I didn't include then, but I will include here:

The Legislature then combined nearly 100,000 Hispanic Democrats in Webb County with another heavily Hispanic district stretching from northeast San Antonio to southwest of Laredo — in effect, diluting the votes of Hispanic Democrats, a potential violation of the Voting Rights Act.

In order to compensate for the dilution, the plan created a new “Hispanic” district in a narrow, 300-mile swatch reaching from Austin to McAllen — in effect, solving an imbalance the GOP plan had created.

“It seems to me that’s an affront and an insult,” Justice Kennedy told Texas Solicitor General Ted Cruz, whose job it was to defend the Legislature’s plan, when the court heard arguments this spring.

I've just got to hand it to the DMN folks -- they've got some terrific reporting on this today.

Now, a very great man once said that some people rob you with a fountain pen.


[ Parent ]
Ripple Effect (5.00 / 1)
Here are my two cents. 

You cannot "fix" the 23rd without some MAJOR ripples (i.e.tsunami waves) across the State.

The Bonilla District will have to take in all Webb County and will look more like the pre-Re-Redistricted 23rd.  It will likely be a Bonilla-Cuelllar- Raymond matchup with the District leaning Dem.

The impact wull make the current Cuellar seat 28th look more like the old 28th represented by Ciro Gonzales, which he will win.

The impact will also affect the current 25th (Doggett) and turn it from a Fajita strip District into an Austin-based District. 

With Travis County going from a three way split to a compact District, the ripple goes further to effect the Lamar Smith seat (Bexar, Travis and some Counties in between) and the McCaul District (Austin to Katy).  From there, with Harris County in the McCaul District, the map could effect Metro Houston (slightly) and the John Carter seat (just north of Austin).

I am not sure how much the 23rd will effect far west Texas, but it will somewhat.

Looks like the District Court has its work cut out for it.


I think you're about right on... (0.00 / 0)
I think it could probably be done by only doing 4-5 districts, but we'll see.

It's also worth noting that R's don't want to mess with South Texas at all. They'd rather go north of CD-23, take away Speaker Craddick's Midland seat, and do the numbers that way. That might be the sort of changes Abbott was talking about.

Who knows -- all just rumors in the night, at this point. Fun to guess, though.

Now, a very great man once said that some people rob you with a fountain pen.


[ Parent ]
Redistricting (0.00 / 0)
The Republicans on the three Judge Panel - assuming they maintain jurisdiction - will try to make minimal changes.

The issue is how much must CD 23's Hispanic population must be increased in order to make the district constitutional.  Is it 5%?  Is it 11%?  No one knows.

But the SCOTUS clearly said they expect CD 25 to be redrawn as a consequence.

CD 28 will be impacted simply because it is impossible not to.

Webb County could end up in all of CD 28 - or a revised CD 25 which will not come this far North.  That would give Cuellar a big advantage in a new CD 25.  His home county is south of Laredo.

Richard Raymond has publicly said he will not challenge Bonilla - several times.  His target is Cuellar.

Bonilla's district could pick up Hispanic strength in Frio, Atascosa and by driving it deeper into South Bexar County - not necessarily fatal changes.

Ironically, the two victims of this could be Doggett and/or John Courage.  If Bonilla is required to shed Republican areas of Bexar County or the German belt counties of Kerr, Kendall or Bandera - those could go to Lamar Smith and make his district even stronger Republican.

Smith could be forced to shed Western Travis County precincts to McCaul, stengthening him even further.

Southeast Travis County could end up in a revised 15th district represented by Ruben Hinojosa and intended to be represented by a Hispanic.

So Doggett could be forced to choose to run in a revised 10th district or 21st district (that are even more unfriendly) or take on a fellow Democrat Incumbent - no one knows at this point.

So before everyone starts ranting - this is just speculation.  So hold your jets.  It's just important to consider all possibilities.

So everyone should proceed cautiously.  Expereince teaches us that federal courts - and federal court masters - can be very unpredictable.


The best possible scenario I see is this: (0.00 / 0)
Webb County is reunited in CD 23. Conservative San Antonio suburbs go to Lamar Smith. Cuellar runs against Bonilla and wins.

CD 28 goes back to being more San Antonio and less Laredo (obviously, since Laredo will be in CD 23). CD 28 is won by a San Antonio Democrat.

CD 25 goes back to being more Austin-centric, giving the "fajita" back to Ruben Hinojosa (who will have lost some territory already to CD 28).

That would shift the minimum possible number of districts for a fair map as espoused by the Court. CD's 10, 21, 25, 23, 28, and 15 would likely be affected. All would stay safe for the incumbent party except 23, which goes back to being a swing seat.

Of course, since Republicans will be controlling the process, they will work their butts off to make Bonilla stay safe. That means Webb County probably gets reunited in CD 28 instead (already a safe Dem district), and CD 28 sheds some rural Hispanic areas to CD 23. That would likely keep both Bonilla and Cuellar safe, and separate from each other.


[ Parent ]
Burnt Orange Reader

Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


Poll
Who would you vote for in the Democratic Primary for Ag Commission?
Kinky Friedman
Hank Gilbert

Results

Advertisement

Best of Texas Left
- (Complete Directory)
- A Capitol Blog
- As the Island Floats
- B & B
- Bay Area Houston
- Blue Bloggin
- Bluedaze
- Brains and Eggs
- Capitol Annex
- Collin County Democrats
- Collin County Observer
- Community Forum
- Dog Canyon
- Dos Centavos
- Easter Lemming Liberal
- Eye on Williamson County
- Feet to the Fire
- Greg's Opinion
- Grits for Breakfast
- Half Empty
- Houtopia
- In the Pink Texas
- Kiss My Big Blue Butt
- Letters from Texas
- McBlogger
- Mean Rachel
- Musings
- North Texas Liberal
- Off the Kuff
- Panhandle Truth Squad
- Para Justicia y Libertad!
- Pink Dome
- San Antonio Mayor
- South Texas Chisme
- StoudDemBlog
- Texas Clover Leaf
- Texas Kaos
- The Caucus Blog
- There..Already
- Three Wise Men
Best of Texas Right
- Blogs of War
- BlogHouston
- Boots and Sabers
- Lone Star Times
- Publius TX
- Rick Perry vs the World
- Safety for Dummies
- Slightly Rough
- Urban Grounds
Other Texas Reads
- Burka Blog
- D Magazine
- DOT Show
- Statesman Elections
- Strong Political Analysis
- Texas Monthly
- Texas Observer
- The Texas Blue
- Quorum Report Daily Buzz
Around Austin
- Austin Bloggers
- Austin Chronicle
- Austin Contrarian
- Austin Metblogs
- Austin on Two Wheels
- Austin Real Estate Blog
- Austin Statesman
- Austin Texas Bike Shit Stuff
- Austin Towers
- Austinist
- Capital MetroBlog
- Daily Texan
- Do512
- Downtown Austin Blog
- East Austinite
- Elise Hu
-
Flash Mob Austin
- Keep Austin Blue
- M1EK
- Travis County Democrats
- University Democrats
TX Progressive Orgs
- ACLU Legislative Blog
- Atticus Circle
- Criminal Justice Coalition
- Equality Texas
- Latinos for Texas
- NOW Texas
- PFAW Texas
- Public Citizen
- SEIU Texas
- Tejano Insider
- Texas AFT
- Texas HDCC
- Texas Watch
- TFN
- TSTA
- TSEU
- Texas Young Democrats
- United Ways of Texas
TX Elections/Returns
- TX Returns 1992-present
- TX Media/Candidate List

- Bexar County
- Collin County
- Dallas county
- Denton County
- El Paso County
- Fort Bend County
- Harris County
- Jefferson County
- Tarrant County
- Travis County

- CNN 1998 Returns
- CNN 2000 Returns
- CNN 2002 Returns
- CNN 2004 Returns
- CNN 2006 Returns
- CNN 2008 Returns
Traffic Ratings
- Alexa Rating
- Quantcast Ratings
-
Syndication

Burnt Orange Reporters
Publisher - Karl-Thomas M.
Editor-in-Chief - Matt G.
Staff Writer - David M.
Staff Writer - Katherine H.
Staff Writer - Michael H.
Staff Writer - Todd H.
Man of Mystery - Phillip M.
Founder - Byron L.

Powered by: SoapBlox