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I saw Charles's post and I haven't really had a chance to really analyse his conclusions on this. I based my conclusions on this PowerPoint presentation by Gary Fitzsimmons - who I'm pleased to say is running for Dallas County District Clerk in 2006. Gary's analysis shows that much of the success of Dallas County Democrats is due to increased performance of Democrats in the 32nd congressional district in 2004. I'm not sure if I can reconcile that with Charles's analysis, but I'll try and compare them when I have the chance - or perhaps someone else would like to.

Posted by: Byron L at August 11, 2005 10:02 AM

The good results for Valdez and the judges may be largely due to a demographic shift and the increased turnout to due particular Dem candidates (you go to the polls to vote for Valdez and then vote straight ticket for the other Dems).
Can we move the discussion of the Frost effect into 2006?
(1) Money. Frost raised 4.5M. Does Frost have any of this money left over that he could contribute to the 2006 candidates? I contributed to Frost and so did not have any money left for other candidates. If I am representative, this could have been a negative Frost effect. Would Frost consider writing his contributers requesting they donate to the 2006 candidates?
(2) Volunteers. Frost had a huge number of volunteers some of whom, if Frost had not been there, would have worked on other campaigns. Could he give Dems a list of his volunteers and personally urge them to work for current Dems?
(3) Records. Frost's campaign office compiled voter data and canvass sheets which would be invaluable for 2006.

Could some official Dem ask Frost about these 3 items?

Some other thoughts:
(1) Could we conduct exit polls in 2006 to get a sense of voting patterns? That may have answered to question of the Frost effect in 2004.
(2) I notice some Dem donors are contributing large sums to Strayhorn's primary campaign. Is there a chance she could run for gov as a Dem?
(3) Are there going to be 3 running in the Dem DA primary? We have a good chance of beating Bill Hill. I hope we are not going to beat up on each other in the primary. Is there some way to stop this and get behind one candidate?

Marie M.

Posted by: Marie Murphy at August 19, 2005 10:49 AM

News, Politics, and Fun From Deep in the Heart of Texas

August 11, 2005

Frost Effect?

By Karl-Thomas Musselman