New Hampshire
By Byron LaMasters
Well, it's looking like Kerry by a few points over Dean with Edwards and Clark duking it out for a distant third. If that's what we're looking at I see it as great for Dean (he's back, the comeback Dean? Well, maybe not, but something like that), good for Kerry (back-to-back victories make him the official frontrunner), and not so good for Clark (it looked like he might come in second ten days ago). If Edwards finishes third, that's still a boost for him, and helps him going into South Carolina (he becomes the favorite there), Oklahoma and Missouri. If Clark finishes third, then he does what he's expected to do and isn't helped or hurt. If Clark's fourth, then he's in trouble, but he has enough strength in the 2/3 states that he'll still be in the race (same for Edwards). Regardless, Joe Lieberman is finishing fifth, and it looks like his campaign will be over.
If you haven't seen the exit polls, kos has some from midday, and Drudge has 5 PM (Eastern) numbers at: 36 Kerry, 30 Dean, 12 for Edwards and Clark. The polls close in one hour, so we'll see how things shake out.
Update: Well Dean lost in double digits. It'll be hard for him to come back. Dean's not done, but he's going to have a very tough time in the Feb. 3rd states. States like Michigan, Wisconsin and Washington are more likely to go for Dean, but the Feb. 3 states come first. So, what happens? I don't know, but Dean has some tough decisions to make.
Posted by Byron LaMasters at January 27, 2004 05:57 PM
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Lieberman staying in the race can only hurt some of the more conservative candidates, probably Clark. It will be interesting to see if Clark is out after Feb. 3, (Lieberman already is - apparently he just doesn't know it yet), and who of Kerry, Dean, Edwards has the most momentum going into Super Tuesday.
Who knows, maybe Texas Democrats will have a say in the primary after all?
