Bill White Outraised Rick Perry, Kay Bailey Hutchison in 30-Day Totals

Great news! (0.00 / 0)

It's interesting to see that a new poll also has Medina taking support away from KBH.  I would have thought her support would have come from Perry.

AAS 2/3/10
Poll: Medina gains while Hutchison loses ground
Medina is tops in small donors.

A poll released Tuesday found that Gov. Rick Perry has maintained his lead in the race for the Republican nomination for governor, while Wharton activist Debra Medina appears to have cut into U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison's support.

In a Rasmussen poll of 538 Texans who say they are likely to vote in the March 2 Republican primary, 44 percent of respondents voiced support for Perry, 29 percent were for Hutchison, 16 percent backed Medina and 11 percent were undecided. The poll, conducted Monday with automated phone calls, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Either way Medina's continued gains means that runoff is more likely.

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by: sonia @ Wed Feb 03, 2010 at 17:03:16 PM UTC

How seriously do we take Rasmussen? (0.00 / 0)

Texas Tribune is reporting that a Rasmussen poll says White would lose to all three Republican candidates, if the election were held today.  

Anybody refuting that yet?

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by: anonintx @ Wed Feb 03, 2010 at 19:15:16 PM UTC

If it were held Feb. 1 (0.00 / 0)

And if the election were held Feb. 1, I actually believe that Bill White would have lost.  Remember, that was the same day he finally announced a television advertisement.  That poll was done without any Bill White tv or significant spending to show for it.

Bill White has time and money to make up ground.  Hell, the campaign has not seemed to do a whole lot towards the general election yet, besides laying the ground work.

Now, there are certainly problems with Rasmussen polling.  But it's the only polling we've got right now.

"Let us tenderly and kindly cherish therefore, the means of knowledge. Let us dare to read, think, speak, and write."  -  John Adams

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by: Michael Hurta @ Wed Feb 03, 2010 at 19:24:54 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Good point (0.00 / 0)

What I'm really wondering is, is there a chance Medina could overtake Hutchison and make the runoff with Perry?

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by: Dale Napier @ Wed Feb 03, 2010 at 20:48:14 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Probably (0.00 / 0)

I think it's unlikely, but I think the chance is actually there.

"Let us tenderly and kindly cherish therefore, the means of knowledge. Let us dare to read, think, speak, and write."  -  John Adams

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by: Michael Hurta @ Wed Feb 03, 2010 at 21:10:45 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

KBH in a tailspin (0.00 / 0)

There will not be a run-off in the GOP primary.

KBH's campaign is in full-meltdown, spiraling-down-the-drain mode.

She will be overtaken by Medina fairly soon. But I don't think it's because Medina's numbers move up to overtake Kay...but rather that Kay's numbers fall below Medina's.

And most of that support will go back to Rick Perry, who will be over 50% + 1 on March 2.

Meanwhile, I think it's much more likely that the 5-underfunded and mostly-unknown Democrat candidates who are not named White or Shami, will suck away enough votes from both of those front runners to force a run-off.

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by: Robbie @ Thu Feb 04, 2010 at 13:59:08 PM UTC

If Bill White has the money (0.00 / 0)

then he should start running a real campaign.
Obviously the guy is our best chance to win in November, but I think it's fool's gold to blow off or shuffle his way through the primary when he has a chance to both define himself to Democrats and get folks excited about his candidacy. The clown show on the GOP side is a perfect opportunity to contrast and define White as a sensible alternative. I still talk to Democrats who have little to no idea who White is or whether he's even credible, and are strongly considering crossing over to vote for KBH just to get rid of Perry. If White was campaigning more aggressively and showing the leadership of a standard-bearer, these folks might not feel so despondent about their own party.

Something to think about.  

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by: Robert Ryland @ Thu Feb 04, 2010 at 19:02:05 PM UTC