Home

About
- Who We Are
- Community Guidelines
- Right to Respond

Advertising on BOR
- Advertise on BOR
- Buy on all Texas Blogs

Advertisements

Search




Advanced Search


Lee Leffingwell (47.24%), Brewster McCracken (26.80%) Go to Runoff in Austin's Mayoral Race


by: Phillip Martin, Progress Texas

Sun May 10, 2009 at 00:09 AM CDT


Runoff is Saturday, June 13; Riley Defeats Cavazos Nearly 2:1 in Place 1

Mayoral candidates Lee Leffingwell and Brewster McCracken will be forced to go to a runoff to decide who will be the next Mayor of Austin. The runoff will be Saturday, June 13.

With 100% of precincts reporting, Lee Leffingwell finished with a commanding lead on the field of five candidates with 47.26% of the vote. He won almost the same percentage of votes through the early vote period as he did on election day. Full results can be found here:

May 2009 Austin City Council Election Results (Official from Travis County)

Election results from the Travis County Elections Division were reported throughout the night here at Burnt Orange Report through our site's new @texaselections widget. The results tally 58,630 votes cast, representing 13.01% of registered voters.

For about twenty minutes in the evening it looked like Leffingwell may tick up fast enough to reach the 50% threshold. But as more boxes came in, the returns evened out, and it became clear that a highly anticipated runoff would soon become a reality. Behind Leffingwell, Brewster McCracken won 26.8% of the vote, which will be enough to send him into a runoff. Slightly behind McCracken, once-Austin mayor and former Texas State Comptroller Carole Keeton Strayhorn finished has 21.43% of the vote, leaving her in a disappointing third place.

Burnt Orange Report writer David Mauro reported earlier in the night that in 1997, Ronney Reynolds conceded rather than face a runoff against Kirk Watson, who received 48.47% in his initial election. However, McCracken's campaign has clearly stated that McCracken will go forward for the runoff.

Rounding out the election returns for mayor, David Buttross won 3.84% of the vote, but may still be in for some exciting news. Earlier in the evening he went to the hospital for the possible birth of his second child. KXAN news is reporting Buttross and his wife were expecting a child before the night was over. Fourth place and a new child -- I'll bet he'll still be happy.

Josiah Ingalls, however, will have less to smile about. He finished in last place, with only 0.69% of the vote. Josiah has announced that he will be looking for a job on Monday -- he recently lost his position at the Hilton Hotel.


Riley Defeats Cavazos 65.52% - 34.48% in Place 1; Spellman, Martinez, & Cole Win Big

In the Austin City Council Place 1, which was expected to be the only other real contest on the ballot, Chris Riley defeated Perla Cavazos with over 65.52% of the vote. Cavazos thanked Riley for a hard-fought campaign, as Riley celebrated his victory with many supporters tonight, including Burnt Orange Report writer and Riley campaign manager, Katherine Haenschen.

In Place 2, Mike Martinez won a commanding 84.97% over Jose Quintero. Martinez' 43,630 votes were the most any candidate received in Saturday's election.

In Place 6, Sheryl Cole also won a decisive victory over Osemene Sam. Over 83.17% of voters chose Cole for the seat.

And finally, Bill Spellman won his unanimous election to Austin's Place 6 seat. Though he only needed his own, he did get 43,104 of the 58,630 voters to choose him, anyways.

To re-read Burnt Orange Report's all-night election coverage, scroll through our Twitter widget below for the recaps and updates we posted throughout the night.

ADVERTISEMENT
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
A Quick Note From the Staff (0.00 / 0)
We would like to thank everyone who followed us last night with our coverage! We also wanted to take this opportunity to let everyone know a little bit about how we covered last night's results.

Throughout the night, KT, Phillip, David and Michael were able to e-mail each other the latest news and tips. All writers had access to the site's @texaselections account, and all rotated reporting the latest results as Travis County released them. The "tweets" served as our updates to the site, since everything that we would "broadcast" over Twitter was immediately updated in the Widget (the blue/black box) on our homepage.

Though some of this was behind the scenes, the ability to update fast & immediate news like this is important. Constantly editing and posting new information to the website takes work and a lot of time. Traditionally one writer absolutely must sacrifice being out at an event (or working at the campaign headquarters) in order to sit down and write out updates in posts. Additionally, it is almost impossible for more than one writer to update a post simultaneously -- 2 people can spend 10 minutes updating the same post, and someone will lose the work and just have wasted a lot of time. The only other option is to make 10-15 posts with each update, which disrupts the continuity of a comments-discussion (though a lot of that comes later).

Last night's work through Twitter made things much easier, since:

(1) We could broadcast updates straight from mobile phones, as well as our laptops;
(2) The updates automatically went to the single BOR post;
(3) We were able to follow important updates from others -- and share them with the audience -- as those updates came across on Twitter and in our e-mails; and
(4) We could add/erase the short, non-time consuming updates with a simple click, giving us more time to research and track down new stories (like David's precinct-level analysis during the night).

For a microblogging service like Twitter to post immediate updates to our front page is important, not just for coverage but for our site as a whole. With over 716 followers on Twitter, we are expanding our brand name with every update -- and helping drive traffic back to our main site.

However, none of this matters if it doesn't work for you. Therefore, in addition to your thoughts on Saturday's election results, we'd love to hear your thoughts on our coverage. What worked, what didn't, and how do we make it better next time?

Thanks for reading. Congratulations to Chris Riley, Mike  Martinez, Bill Spellman, and Sheryl Cole for their victories. Best of luck to both Lee Leffingwell and Brewster McCracken in the runoff.

Sincerely,

--The Writers of Burnt Orange Report


Also (3.00 / 1)
I wrote this post like a TV report on purpose, without reading any other news coverage. Just saying -- when you have access to the information, it's not that hard. The only thing I'm missing was quotes from the campaign, and we'll get those via e-mail soon enough.

This is Phillip Martin, signing off for the night.

Now, a very great man once said that some people rob you with a fountain pen.


[ Parent ]
Impressive (0.00 / 0)
BOR really did a great job in so many aspects of covering the campaign (to date).

Since David is in the loop, maybe he can answer something that I don't quite understand.  Why did Garry Mauro (who endorsed Lee in February) give $350 to Carole in April (and never, that I can find, give to Lee)?


[ Parent ]
I'm not in the loop (0.00 / 0)
on this one.

I had to look it up to believe it myself and then call my Dad about it.

I was happy my Dad endorsed, had a sign up and voted for Lee but am obviously pretty disappointed he felt compelled to contribute to Strayhorn's campaign.

Props to you for having an eagle eye on the finance reports.  


[ Parent ]
Nor should you be (0.00 / 0)
First, sons and daughters should not be held accountable or questioned about their parents actions. Secondly, myself, many others, and probably David's dad saw no point in attacking Strayhorn and her supporters in the first go around since she was running third anyway. And finally, most returning Strayhorn supporters will go for Leffingwell in the runoff.

McCracken needs silver bullet issues for negative attack ads or just forget about winning the runoff election. His emphasis on subsidizing solar energy and batteries to create new jobs is not going to close this wide of a gap. Strayhorn's folks will side with maintaining current city services in the final analysis, if they can be shown it is not wasteful or extravagant.


[ Parent ]
Huh? (0.00 / 0)
Stacy, your reaction doesn't make much sense.

I asked David to help me understand the contribution. I thought it was interesting. If he didn't want to answer, he didn't have to. But I think it is fair game. I figure that David's enthusiasm for Lee was critical in Garry's endorsement.

Second, what does attacking Strayhorn have to do with why he contributed to her? Just because we leave Strayhorn alone doesn't mean that people who endorsed Lee contribute to her.

I just brought up what I thought was an interesting byline in what has been a long campaign. I intentionally did not bring it up when Strayhorn was still in the race. I figure that Ben Barnes was raising money for his old friend Carole and he hit the old Rolodex and there you have it.

 


[ Parent ]
It is fair game (0.00 / 0)
Its just before yesterday I knew less about it than you.

Feel free to email me: david@burntorangereport.com


[ Parent ]
McCracken should not force a runoff (3.00 / 1)
Brewster McCracken will save himself some embarrassment and may maintain a measure of political viability by graciously following the example of Ronney Reynolds and, more recently, Harrison Keller in his race for an ACC board slot. Forcing the expense of a runoff to garner what will almost certainly be less than 40 percent of the final vote isn't a resume building exercise.

Ted Melina Raab - Austin, TX

$700k (3.00 / 1)
is what the estimated cost of the runoff is.  Lets take $150k of that, hire Brewster as the lead coordinator of the Pecan Street Project, and let him do what he said he wanted to do as Mayor.  There's precedent for it, we did it with Daryl Slusher.

It is disappointing that the initial word from his campaign is that he's staying in, but I think he may reconsider as pressure from the media and some of his own supporters builds up.  He has no chance to win and he can save the city a lot of money by conceding.

oh, and I'll add Beverly Griffith to your list, who actually bowed out of the runoff in Brewster's first race for Council back in 2002.  


[ Parent ]
Give McCracken time to sort thngs out (3.67 / 3)
Even if he was 99% sure he'd drop out, he needed to put up a brave face on election night to preserve the 1% option. Today he's probably crunching numbers, checking with supporters to see if they're still on board, going over possible campaign strategies, and figuring out whether there's any chance at all to win the runoff.

That's not selfishness. That's due diligence, which he owes to his supporters. When he's done analyzing and reads the writing on the wall, I expect he'll drop out.

Didn't Ronney Reynolds take a couple of days to drop out, too?


[ Parent ]
A few differences (0.00 / 0)
Reynolds is a little bit of a different case. In the first place, Watson outraised Reynolds like a big dog and had money in the bank for the runoff. McCracken's fundraising may slow some, but he is still a good fundraiser and would not have to go into debt for a runoff.

Second, Reynolds was not a progressive. The Austin Chronicle did not pause for a moment to suggest a joint endorsement. The gay/lesbian community did not jointly endorse Reynolds. Reynolds was liked by the FIRE downtown community and focused a lot of time on sports and parks, but that was about it. He was probably Republican. Ronnie had no more ground to gain in an Austin runoff.

There are those who do not like Brewster, and but he is a Democrat and a progressive. His greatest consistency has been on the social issues as they relate to council. My guess is that taking distant second in a progressive community is harder to handle than the idea that there are not enough conservatives to get you across the finish line.

And yes, Ronnie did take a few days to drop out.


[ Parent ]
From the Chronicle... (3.00 / 1)
http://www.austinchronicle.com...


A quick glance through the precinct returns show some surprises here and there, plus a quick conclusion: Brewster McCracken would do well to concede on a positive note rather than waste any more time and money on an election he can't win.

Let's hope Brewster heeds that advice, and rises above the sour grapes approach seen in this article:


"Brewster ran a campaign of ideas, and I do think that part of what you saw tonight was the result of what happens when you run a campaign of ideas in local politics - you get kicked in the teeth and suffer the consequences."

That may be the stupidest thing I've ever heard.

http://www.austinchronicle.com...


sigh (2.00 / 1)
Brewster didn't lose because he "ran a campaign of ideas". He lost because he didn't run a campaign that could win, conceded bases to both Leffingwell and Strayhorn, and built a coalition that was unsustainable electorally.  

Please read the Community Guidelines and How to Rate Comments.

[ Parent ]
yeah... (0.00 / 0)
it's hard to imagine Brewster's advisors or managers ever getting work in this town again[*] after the malpractice they committed in this campaign.  Makes me almost feel sorry for him.  

Well, not really.

btw, ideas didn't seem to hurt Riley too much...

[*] Not that any of them were actually from this town.  Perhaps that's explains their strategy?


[ Parent ]
He's a good guy (0.00 / 0)
Brewster is a good guy.  

[ Parent ]
Likely (0.00 / 0)
I expect that we'll have an announcement from Brewster before the end of the day Monday.

[ Parent ]
EVER! (0.00 / 0)
Really, Kedron?

Have you ever watched Fox News? Heard Rush Limbaugh? Listened to Warren Chisum?

On a scale of 1-to-10 on the Stupid-o-meter, it is a 4 and can be marked down to a 2 given the emotion of having one's candidate kicked in the teeth. (see McAuliffe, Terry 2008 for really stupid things said after a campaign is over)


[ Parent ]
Twitter Feed was Useful (0.00 / 0)
At one point, BOR tweets contained results of 42 more precincts than what Time Warner had posted on Channel 6 for a good length of time. Might add more actual vote reports to go along with number of precincts reporting and candidate percentages. Great job by all concerned. Please do it again.

Curious where Strayhorn voters will go (0.00 / 0)
Okay, I've had a casual interest in the Austin mayoral race. Gotta understand that we were working hard to get Julian Castro elected, which we did. I can't believe I actually pegged this one so closely. I said 55% and he hit 56%. Starting to give you a run for the money, KT.

Now for my comment and question. In the two past run-offs for mayor in San Antonio the leader failed to win the run-off because the third place voters banded with the second place voters. In 1997 Bill Thornton voters moved to Howard Peak and beat Kay Turner. In 2005 Carrol Schubert voters moved to Phil Hardberger and beat Julian Castro. Granted Turner had only 34% and Castro had 42% so this may not be the same.

Not knowing the characteristics of any of the candidates what's the speculation on where Strayhorn (Grandma Many Names) voters are going to end up?


They're staying home (0.00 / 0)
Strayhorn was running on a general anti-incumbent platform.
She was also running as a fiscal conservative alternative to Democratic deficit spending, and on whatever personal loyalty she built from her years in public service. I don't see how any of that transfers to either Leffingwell or McCracken.

If there is a runoff (and my guess is that there won't be), Leffingwell will be working from a 5-3 advantage among the likely electorate, the easy fundraising that comes with being an odds-on favorite, and a much better organized campaign. Not to mention demoralization by the McCracken folks who don't want to sink another month of work into a losing effort. Just getting his already-loyal voters to return to the polls will be a challenge for McCracken.

Will all that going against him, I'll be surprised if McCracken tops 35%.  


[ Parent ]
Hmmm (0.00 / 0)
Based on your comments it appears Strayhorn voters might have a problem finding who to support. However, I don't think your assertion that they won't vote is quite accurate. They may choose a "lesser of two evils" candidate but staying away will probably be an option for just a few.

It also seems McCracken will have an uphill battle to get to the runoff. That probably means the runoff campaign is going to get nasty before it gets better.

This definitely doesn't look like San Antonio's mayoral runoffs so I can see Leffingwell take this one easily and bet your 35% will probably hold true. Then again, I could be eating my words on that.


[ Parent ]
They won't all stay home, (0.00 / 0)
but there's no reason to expect the remainder to break hard for either Lee or Brewster. Older Strayhorn voters might be more comfortable with Lee, while anti-incumbent activists might be madder at Lee, who is perceived as having more to do with current policy than Brewster, but overall I think it's a wash.

By the way, KT wins the e-day turnout projection game. Travis County Elections was projecting significantly more e-day than EV, I was predicting significantly more EV than e-day, KT's models were based on a 48 EV vs 52 e-day split, and it wound up being almost exactly 50-50.  


[ Parent ]
You were right - McCracken pulled out (0.00 / 0)
Looks like the speculation is all for naught. He pulled out as you suggested. As I read through your comments more it made more sense to me for him to pull out.

Regarding projections I started to go with a 60/40 split here in Bexar County but deferred to the master modeler, KT, and went with his 48/52 split. Bexar County must be so much more different than Travis because we did a 62/38 split instead. Wish I would have stuck with my original projection. It is VERY evident we are just a different breed of folks here in Bexar County.


[ Parent ]
Connect With BOR
Your source for Texas politics.

On Facebook: BOR
On Twitter: @BOR
On the Go: Mobile App

Is Rick Perry Gay?
Download the book, and decide for yourself!

Read Glen Maxey's tell-all about his quest to uncover the truth about Rick Perry.


Now available in paperback!



The Perry Compendium
Know the truth about Rick Perry's record of failure.

--On The Issues: Rick Perry's positions on the issues that matter.
--In Our Archives: A growing list of everything we've written about Rick Perry.
--On Perry's Trail: Regular coverage of campaign stops, quotes, and coverage.
--Everything Else: Lists, links, and archives from across Texas.

Read the Perry Compendium.

Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


Shared On Facebook

Advertisement

Best of Texas Left
- (Complete Directory)
- B & B
- Bay Area Houston
- Blue Bloggin
- Bluedaze
- Brains and Eggs
- Capitol Annex
- Collin County Democrats
- Collin County Observer
- Community Forum
- Dog Canyon
- Dos Centavos
- Easter Lemming Liberal
- Eye on Williamson County
- Feet to the Fire
- Grading Texas
- Greg's Opinion
- Grits for Breakfast
- Half Empty
- Houtopia
- In the Pink Texas
- Kiss My Big Blue Butt
- Letters from Texas
- McBlogger
- Mean Rachel
- Musings
- North Texas Liberal
- Off the Kuff
- Panhandle Truth Squad
- Para Justicia y Libertad!
- Pink Dome
- San Antonio Mayor
- South Texas Chisme
- StoudDemBlog
- Texas Clover Leaf
- Texas Kaos
- The Caucus Blog
- There..Already
- Three Wise Men
Best of Texas Right
- Blogs of War
- BlogHouston
- Boots and Sabers
- Lone Star Times
- Publius TX
- Rick Perry vs the World
- Safety for Dummies
- Slightly Rough
- Urban Grounds
Other Texas Reads
- Burka Blog
- D Magazine
- DOT Show
- Statesman Elections
- Strong Political Analysis
- Texas Monthly
- Texas Observer
- The Texas Blue
- Quorum Report Daily Buzz
Around Austin
- Austin Bloggers
- Austin Chronicle
- Austin Contrarian
- Austin Metblogs
- Austin on Two Wheels
- Austin Real Estate Blog
- Austin Statesman
- Austin Texas Bike Shit Stuff
- Austin Towers
- Austinist
- Capital MetroBlog
- Daily Texan
- Do512
- Downtown Austin Blog
- East Austinite
- Elise Hu
-
Flash Mob Austin
- Keep Austin Blue
- M1EK
- Travis County Democrats
- University Democrats
TX Progressive Orgs
- ACLU Legislative Blog
- Atticus Circle
- Criminal Justice Coalition
- Equality Texas
- NOW Texas
- PFAW Texas
- Public Citizen
- SEIU Texas
- Tejano Insider
- Texas AFT
- Texas HDCC
- Texas Watch
- TFN
- TSTA
- TSEU
- Texas Young Democrats
- United Ways of Texas
TX Elections/Returns
- TX Returns 1992-present
- TX Media/Candidate List

- Bexar County
- Collin County
- Dallas county
- Denton County
- El Paso County
- Fort Bend County
- Harris County
- Jefferson County
- Tarrant County
- Travis County

- CNN 1998 Returns
- CNN 2000 Returns
- CNN 2002 Returns
- CNN 2004 Returns
- CNN 2006 Returns
- CNN 2008 Returns
Traffic Ratings
- Alexa Rating
- Quantcast Ratings
-
Syndication

Powered by: SoapBlox