Little Change in Expected Austin Turnout

golden eye (0.00 / 0)

prepare the spike.

i think we are going to have a fairly dramatic up-tick in over the weekend.

i don't think we beat 06 (unfortunately), but it may be close.

the combined average is a very small sample...but not insignificant.

we should start a pool.

Please refer to KT's signature.

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by: colin @ Sat May 02, 2009 at 04:18:26 AM UTC

Kudos (0.00 / 0)

Congrats on being cited by the MSM! I look to folks at BOR for political news before I look to my TV, so this seems just as it should be. Also, I think the projection sounds about right.

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by: Tory @ Sat May 02, 2009 at 05:43:12 AM UTC

The EV projections are solid (0.00 / 0)

and the EV total will come out in the 20-25K range. There's no reason to believe that the first vs. second week split has changed much since 2006 or 2008. What's different is election day. People have gotten used to voting early, and I'll be very surprised if election day tops 20K.

Who does low turnout help? My guess is that it helps Leffingwell and Riley. Casual voters who follow the Statesman's advice won't turn out to help McCracken, and minority voters won't turn out to help Cavasos.  

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by: LSadun @ Sat May 02, 2009 at 14:57:04 PM UTC

Jim Hightower said it best: (0.00 / 0)

If God intended for us to vote He would have given us candidates.

That's seldom been more true than in Austin municipal elections this year. Bill Spelman is the only candidate I'm truly excited about and he doesn't have an opponent. The Mayor's race is pitiful: I can't decide whether to vote for Strayhorn or skip it entirely.

What we need is a "none of the above" option, and if it wins we should have a do-over where nobody who ran before can be on the ballot.  

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by: Gritsforbreakfast @ Sat May 02, 2009 at 18:34:26 PM UTC

Hightower may see it differently... (0.00 / 0)

since he's supporting Leffingwell for Mayor.
http://www.austinleadership.co...

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by: BeatrixKiddo @ Sat May 02, 2009 at 18:53:30 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

I know how you feel Scott (3.00 / 1)

If there was a none of the above option, that would be useful this year as I've heard that from so many people, including Max over at AustinMayor.com.

Please read the Community Guidelines and How to Rate Comments.

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by: Karl-Thomas Musselman @ Sat May 02, 2009 at 20:21:41 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

kxan poll (0.00 / 0)

Based on the KXAN poll, I'd say Carole will come up the winner.  Her endorsement by Brian Rodgers and changeaustin.org will carry her to a win.  I read Max's article on http://austinmayor.com (disclaimer, it's my blog) and I wish he would commit to a candidate.  He likes Carole except for her environment record and isn't too thrilled about anyone.

http://blogslides.com/austin is a slideshow of Austin blogs, self running

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by: springnet @ Thu May 07, 2009 at 00:45:05 AM UTC

[ Parent ]