Thursday saw 2588 voters come to the polls for all jurisdictions Travis County. That is only 8 more votes than yesterday. That's actually less than predicted by the 2008 model but still more than predicted by the 2006 model. End result- it pushes the turnout projection to a tighter more stable estimate closer to 23,000.
Expected Total Early Vote for City of Austin by Latest Model Run (Thursday)
The easy math is to just go with a 50/50 split but again, I'll be conservative and use the 48/52 early to e-day split, and produce the following projected TOTAL votes by model as of Thursday's data.
2006 mayoral model: 51,369 total votes
2008 council model: 43,644 total votes
Combined Avg model: 47,746 total votes
