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Conventional wisdom is a tough nut to crack; once it sets in, people naturally reinforce it. Most will take the conventional wisdom, add a lemon twist to it, and call it their own - aligning robotically behind its truthiness and anointing themselves king of the castle. Others unintentionally reinforce it by strongly opposing it; yet, in the need to feel reasonable, they concede a few points of the conventional wisdom, giving credence to the safe thinking all the same.
The conventional wisdom du jour at Texas Monthly is that Craddick will be re-elected Speaker of the House. Oh no, wait, that was last month. Now it is that Texas Democrats can't win a statewide office.
Of course, this isn't really new conventional wisdom. It's not like we didn't see this coming. In mid-December 2008, all three political voices on the Texas Monthly website - Evan Smith (President & Editor in Chief), Paul Burka (Senior Executive Editor), and Eileen Smith (formerly of In the Pink) - rose in groupthink unison to decry the decisions by John Sharp and Bill White to enter the U.S. Senate race and, a full 23 months before the November 2010 elections, declare that Texas Democrats had screwed up again.
But that wasn't enough. So sure of his opinion, Evan Smith went forward and produced a brief piece in Newsweek explaining to the whole country reasons why Texas Democrats won't win in upcoming statewide elections. Backed by the strength of lazy statistics and sleek writing, conventional wisdom purveyed by the 20th century gatekeepers of Texas politics - Texas Monthly - went national.
And so, here we are, talking about a non-existent problem for a race that is still at least 8 months from starting and 22 months from finishing.
We can continue reporting on the electoral successes of Texas Democrats across the state; yet, moving from an 88-62 split to a 76-74 split in three election cycles is only "modest" progress for Texas Monthly.
We can write about how Rick Noriega raised over $1 million online through ActBlue - more than any other non-Presidential candidate this cycle - despite the fact that his campaign never took off like it should have; yet, his campaign will always be viewed for its failures, because having "no strong candidate at the top of the ticket" is automatically prescribed to any Democrat atop the ticket, strong or not.
We can write about how winning two-thirds of the Hispanic vote is a tremendous accomplishment for a political party; yet, Perry and Bush will be the ones lauded for winning one-third of the Hispanic vote, demonstrating how dramatically ignorant some can be when it comes to understanding the voting patterns of the Hispanic community.
We can write until we're blue in the fists. One day it will matter enough for Texas Democrats. As of today, we're not there yet.
We're not there until Texas Democrats, as a whole, reject the conventional wisdom of Texas Monthly -- and those that inform, repeat, and defend their positions -- and start to believe in a statewide candidate. We're not there until Democrats, and not Republicans, are given the benefit of the doubt by those of their own party. We're not there until Democratic leaders -- not to mention Democratic donors -- are given the time and patience to set up their moves - instead of having to hear, 22 months before Election Day, that it's already a lost cause.
Most importantly, we're not there until someone takes us there.
We know and believe that Texas Democrats can win statewide in 2010. Glenn Smith has already laid out the case to Evan; his numbers are logical and impeccable. But no amount of discussion can change the minds of some; and as we saw in the Speaker's race, even action will sometimes prevent the purveyors of groupthink from believing. When is Craddick supposed to run again for Speaker?
If you want to believe the conventional wisdom, you will only live it. You will fall into its trap, be captured by its comfort, and ultimately make the prophecy true. Or, you can stand up, step up, and do something about it.
It is humbling to have our words anticipated along with Glenn Smith and Matt Angle- two great voices of our party.
The reality is, we're all ready to do something about it in 2010. We're ready to make that $1 million that Noriega raised online look like child's play. We're ready to put all of our talents, all of our time, and all of our treasure into a Democrat running for Governor in 2010. We know it can happen, but more importantly, we believe it can happen.
We need you to run. We need to be ready to work in our own backyard. We need to fund our candidates for the first time in decades.
President Barack Obama has shown us that kingmaker politics has come to an end. Power can come from the top or bottom, and imagine a Texas where favor is curried from both ends equally.
The solutions are simple. We need true coordination statewide among Democratic campaigns. We need national support in our local, state, and federal races. We need to stop exporting our Texas talent and dollars. As long as we allow our best trained and active volunteers to campaign in Louisiana, New Mexico, and Colorado first, we will never win the big races. The same goes for the dollars spent in supporting candidates across the country. Texas has exported so much for the good of our country, and now it is time for us to be selfish.
Nobody said it would be easy to win in 2010 or beyond, but nothing worth doing ever is. |