| Get Texas Election Results via Twitter Tuesday. Sign up now here. This is going to have to be an abbreviated set of predictions, but here they go: Federal Races - Presidential: Obama 358 (51.4%), McCain 180 (48%)
- TX-Sen: Cornyn 54, Noriega 46
- TX-10: McCaul 51, Doherty 49
- TX-7: Culberson 52, Skelly 48
- TX-22: Olson 49.5, Lampson 49
State Senate Races - Chris Bell & Wendy Davis both win
State House Races - Democrats Net 5 Seats, Finish 76-74 D Advantage
Lean Democrat (Democrats Wins All 3 Challenge Races)
- HD 17: Donnie Dippel (protection seat)
- HD 32: Juan Garcia (protection seat)
- HD 97: Dan Barrett (protection seat)
- HD 52: Diana Maldonado (challenge race)
- HD 96: Chris Turner (challenge race)
- HD 102: Carol Kent (challenge race)
- HD 149: Hubert Vo (protection seat)
Toss-Up (Democrats win 2 of 5)
- HD 55: Sam Murphey (challenge race)
- HD 78: Joe Moody (challenge race)
- HD 101: Robert Miklos (challenge race)
- HD 129: Sherrie Matula (challenge race)
- HD 144: Joel Redmond (challenge race)
My thoughts on the State House are as follows: - Maldonado & Turner have run excellent races. They should be our best pick-ups.
- Carol Kent has run a terrific race, Rep. Goolsby is floundering, and the massive turnout of Obama voters in Dallas County will put her over the top
- If we lose any "hold" seat, it will be the Dippel race.
- Even if we lose Dippel, winning 2-3 of the "toss-up" races could pull it off.
- Moody & Miklos could win if there is a strong Obama tide; otherwise, they aren't likely.
- Redmond is going to outright win, w/ the Harris County efforts putting him over the top.
- Murphey has run a silent, quiet ground game that has put him within close striking range.
- Matula has run the most aggressive field program in that district in many, many years -- if there is a big Obama wave in Harris County, she could combine her hard work with Obama coattails for a narrow, narrow win.
Best of luck to all Texas Democrats today. I really hope I'm right. |
