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CD-7 Skelly Inches Closer to Defeating Culberson


by: Matt Glazer

Mon Oct 27, 2008 at 10:40 AM CDT


A new Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (GQRR) Poll confirms what people on the ground have been whispering. John Culberson is at risk of losing his job.

The new GQRP poll has Mike Skelly within 5 points of Culberson, and his message of change, energy independence, and ending business as usual in Washington is resonating with the district.

The Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research poll has the race at 44% to 49% with a 4.9% margin of error.  With 9 days left, momentum is clearly on Skelly's side.

On the heels of a Houston Chronicle-Zogby poll showing Michael Skelly closing in on John Culberson in the race for the Texas 7th Congressional District, the Skelly Campaign today released a Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (GQRR) poll showing Skelly trailing Culberson by only 5 points, 44% - 49%, with 3% for the libertarian candidate and 4% undecided.

A Skelly victory would be a huge upset. In 2004, Culberson defeated John Martinez by 31 points. 2006 was only marginally better.  Two years ago, Culberson beat Jim Henley by 21 points.

The district is trending Democrat, but a 26 point swing in 4 years is astounding. The reason appears to be the rapid erosion of the Republican brand and base.

The GQRR poll shows that Skelly is winning decisively (46%--40%) among independents, a key indicator of his broad based support.  Additionally, the poll shows that with over half (56%) of the district citing the economy, jobs, and the financial crisis as their top concern in the upcoming election, Skelly maintains a 46%--42% advantage over Culberson among economically-conscious voters.
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This is great news! (0.00 / 0)
With the big turnout that we're seeing in Harris County, Skelly might just pull this off.  I sure hope he does.  Skelly rocks!

poll accuracy? (0.00 / 0)
I have to wonder if any of these polls showing Culberson ahead include people with only cell phones and no home phones. I think there are a lot of young professionals like myself who have moved into this District and only have cell phones.

Always a problem (0.00 / 0)
That's why the best poll is the one we see November 4.

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