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Poll Shows Chris Bell Ahead in SD-17


by: David Mauro

Wed Jun 11, 2008 at 05:01 PM CDT


Looks like another state senate seat is in play for Texas Democrats. 

Chris Bell, who is not even a declared candidate yet, is leading Republican Austin Furse by nearly 14 percentage points. The Opinion Analysts poll shows Bell at 40% and Furse at 26.5%.

Even more remarkable, the poll shows Bell's name ID at 74.3 percent. Not only is that way higher than incumbent state Sen. Kyle Janek's name ID (which sits at 47.7 percent) but it also tops (though not significantly) the name ID of John Cornyn who comes in at 73.2 percent. 

Janek's low numbers make it clear why his endorsement of Furse does not seem to be helping the young Houston money manager much.

Quorum Report has reported that Republicans such as former state Rep. Brad Wright have used these polling numbers to cast Furse as a weak general election candidate.

Bell has not made a final decision to enter the race (yet). But for those of us who saw him at last weekend's convention, he sure had the look of a candidate.

Meanwhile, the Austin Political Report has reported that Bell is "telling Houston lawmakers that he will run."

Count me in as one who hopes Chris Bell does jump into this race.

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Well he won't take it for granted (0.00 / 0)
But if he chooses to run, he's obviously got a good shot at it.

Great news (0.00 / 0)
He'd be a good candidate and a great senator.

keys for Bell (0.00 / 0)
Get on the ground right away. Furse is unknown and when voters start finding out about his passionate affair with Tom Delay and The Club for Growth, they might not be so keen to him.

Leverage your statewide contacts. This race is probably a more winnable race than the Jaworski race (not probably, is more winnable). Energize your statewide contacts to raise enough money to get on TV early.

Get good help.  This is a one-shot deal. You lose this one and the dream is dead. Keep Stanford in charge but dump the rest of the team from the Gov's race. Go fast and aggressive. Run like the world is ending.

Please refer to KT's signature.


To add to your list (0.00 / 0)
Determine how best to coordinate the campaign with the big three overlapping congressional campaigns--CD 22, CD 7, and CD 10.  There are about 160K overlapping votes in those races, and the Democratic candidates have out-raised the Republicans by over $550K.

[ Parent ]
just curious... (0.00 / 0)
could you expand on "dump the rest of the team from the Gov's race"? what part of his team do you mean?

[ Parent ]
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