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SD17: Scott Hochberg to Run for Janek's Seat?


by: David Mauro

Mon Apr 14, 2008 at 07:40 AM CDT


With Republican state Sen. Kyle Janek's retirement set for June 2, several Republicans along with one notable Democrat are considering the race.

Once Janek retires, Gov. Perry will have the option to either hold the election on November 4 (Election Day) or he can call an emergency and set it for another day.

Recent history has shown that "emergencies" tend to only be called in instances that are politically beneficial to Republicans.

Remember when the late Rep. Joe Moreno's seat was left vacant during special sessions in 2005? That was a 100% politically motivated decision that only served to disenfranchise thousands of Houstonians for months.

In this case, as R.G. Ratcliffe explains, the conventional wisdom goes that the Democratic candidate would benefit from the expected high turnout on November 4.

However, the twist here is the guy who appears to be our best candidate, Rep. Scott Hochberg, will only run if a special election is called since he does not want to risk his spot in the House.

Of course, there may very well be another Democrat besides Hochberg who is willing to run if the election is held on November 4. I just haven't heard any names. Anyone hear anything? There must be a couple good candidates willing to run for an open senate seat in a district that while tough is certainly winnable.

Perry's decision on when to hold the election will be an important one. While it may go against the conventional turnout wisdom, I for one would love to see Scott Hochberg have a shot at a senate seat sometime early this fall. I would take Hochberg's superb record in the House against the likes of the two Republicans (businesmanAustin Furse and former Harris County GOP Chair Gary Polland) who are considering the race. St. Rep. Charlie Howard (R-Sugar Land) is also considering the race but, like Hochberg, will only run if its a special election.

In case you weren't sure that running everywhere is a winning prescription for Democrats, Hochberg cites Michael Skelly's plans to run an aggressive race against Republican incumbent U.S. Rep. John Culberson as one of the reasons that SD17 can be won by a Democrat.

Hochberg is one of the best public education advocates in the state and we could certainly use him in the senate. At this point, however, we can only wait to see what the Governor's office does.

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Scott Hochberg twould make a great State Senator (5.00 / 1)
He's one of the smartest Representatives in the House.

Scott Hochberg is great (0.00 / 0)
 
Good luck to him.

[ Parent ]
Governor MoFo don't know much (0.00 / 0)
but he does know political chicanery, and he can read a calendar.

We need another candidate, because I'm strong with Hocberg here:  this election is going to be on November 4, and we can't risk Scott's seat in the House.


I hate to agree on this (0.00 / 0)
because I think Scott would be a shoe-in, in a special election OR in November, but Scott is just too much of a jewel, to take any gamble at all.   A legislator like Scott doesn't happen that often and we need to keep him, in Austin.  

Wherever he is, he'll continue to make us proud and very fortunate to have him.  


[ Parent ]
What is the partisan breakdown of the district? (0.00 / 0)
If we can hold it in Novemeber I say it's worth the risk.

[ Parent ]
Its a tough race (0.00 / 0)
I believe the best Democratic performance in 2006 was Bill Moody who received 46%.

Tough but certainly winnable.  


[ Parent ]
I meant the House seat (0.00 / 0)
If we can keep it I say go for the Senate seat.

[ Parent ]
HD 137 (Hochberg) 2006 results (0.00 / 0)
This seat is very safe this year.  Senator Hochberg has a nice ring to it, doesn't it?

----

HOUSE DISTRICT 137
2006 General Election
SSVR = Spanish surname voter registration 989
Hochberg - D 5,201 57.8 % 5,201 57.8 %
Spivey - R 3,792 42.2 % 3,792 42.2 %
State Representative 137

Janek - R 2,811 70.4 % 88,483 77.8 %
Kurtz - L 1,181 29.6 % 25,212 22.2 %
State Senator 17

Patrick - R 193 33.3 % 118,067 69.2 %
Kubosh - D 387 66.7 % 52,586 30.8 %
State Senator 7

Holcomb - R 4,482 70.6 % 2,549,257 76.0 %
Howard - L 1,865 29.4 % 803,856 24.0 %
Ct Crim Appeals, Place 8

Hervey - R 4,587 71.9 % 2,558,057 75.9 %
Parker - L 1,794 28.1 % 814,170 24.1 %
Ct Crim Appeals, Place 7

Keller - R 4,003 46.2 % 2,347,043 56.6 %
Molina - D 4,664 53.8 % 1,797,176 43.4 %
Ct Crim Appeals Presiding

Johnson - R 4,525 71.2 % 2,564,210 76.3 %
Cookingham - L 1,827 28.8 % 796,225 23.7 %
Supreme Court, Place 8

Hecht - R 4,581 70.9 % 2,561,260 75.9 %
Phillippi - L 1,880 29.1 % 811,974 24.1 %
Supreme Court, Place 6

Medina - R 4,619 71.4 % 2,559,324 75.5 %
Adkins - L 1,851 28.6 % 831,155 24.5 %
Supreme Court, Place 4

Willett - R 3,741 44.2 % 2,136,570 53.2 %
Moody - D 4,714 55.8 % 1,879,699 46.8 %
Supreme Court, Place 2

Jefferson - R 4,544 71.0 % 2,576,539 76.3 %
Oxford - L 1,857 29.0 % 799,988 23.7 %
Supreme Ct, Chief Justice

Jones - R 4,000 47.4 % 2,270,300 56.4 %
Henry - D 4,435 52.6 % 1,754,302 43.6 %
Railroad Commissioner 3

Staples - R 4,011 47.2 % 2,307,975 56.7 %
Gilbert - D 4,494 52.8 % 1,761,218 43.3 %
Agriculture Commissioner

Patterson - R 4,067 47.8 % 2,318,093 57.4 %
Hathcox - D 4,435 52.2 % 1,723,359 42.6 %
Land Commissioner

Combs - R 4,418 51.2 % 2,548,096 61.6 %
Head - D 4,208 48.8 % 1,586,618 38.4 %
Comptroller

Abbott - R 4,547 52.4 % 2,556,297 61.5 %
Van Os - D 4,135 47.6 % 1,600,365 38.5 %
Attorney General

Dewhurst - R 4,380 50.9 % 2,515,493 60.8 %
Alvarado - D 4,217 49.1 % 1,619,457 39.2 %
Lt. Governor

Bell - D 3,624 40.0 % 1,311,346 30.0 %
Perry - R 3,187 35.2 % 1,717,503 39.3 %
Strayhorn - I 1,132 12.5 % 797,963 18.2 %
Friedman - I 1,122 12.4 % 546,799 12.5 %
Governor

Culberson - R 631 52.6 % 99,318 60.6 %
Henley - D 568 47.4 % 64,514 39.4 %
U.S. Representative 7

Hutchison - R 4,452 51.3 % 2,662,572 63.1 %
Radnofsky - D 4,221 48.7 % 1,556,462 36.9 %
U.S. Senator

Voter Registration (VR) 28,175 10,906,696
Turnout (TO) and TO/VR 9,094 32.3 % 4,417,890 40.5 %
Spanish Surname VR and SSVR/VR 5,998 21.3 % 2,343,960 21.5 %


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