| Needless to say, Barbara Radnofsky has the full support and endorsement of every writer here at BOR. But I think the best reason that has been written as to why it is critical that each of take the run-off seriously and drag our friends out to vote for her was written here by Bride of Archeron.
The Democratic candidates for Judge and other county-wide offices in Dallas County may all be doomed this fall. It won't be their own fault, but that won't save them. Their fate is now in the hands of voters in Democratic Runoff on April 11. If the wrong person wins that election, then no Democrat is likely to win county-wide in Dallas.
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The problem for those lower on the ballot is if the Democratic candidate actually loses a lot of Democratic base votes, who either crossover in the first race listed, or just refuse to vote a straight party ticket, because they won't support that Democrat for Senator. Could this happen? Yes, it did happen six years ago -- with a candidate who is running again in this year's runoff.
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This had a terrible effect in local races. In Dallas County, the only Democratic candidate for Judge, Mary Ann Huey, lost by just 0.74%, while actually winning at the polls on election day by 23,000 votes. The Democratic candidate for Sheriff (an office the party went on to win just four years later) was just behind, again winning at the polls on election day by 5,000 votes. The difference was the drop-off in straight party voting because of Gene Kelly.
Democrats have been gaining ground in Dallas County. Encouraged by changing demographics, a win in 2002, and several in 2004, there are forty-seven local Democrats running county-wide this year. All of them will suffer a serious loss of the straight ticket voters that are vital to down-ballot races if Gene Kelly is once again the Democratic nominee for Senator. The effect is likely to be even worse this time than in 2000, because Kelly's name would be the very first one voters would see on the ballot. Instead of electing several more Judges and other local Democrats, the growth of the party would be set back by years.
The Dancer is Dead folks. And I'm sad that even in places where Barbara campaigned (like hometown Gillespie County) Gene Kelly won a stunning 70% of the vote because of clueless election day voters. (To her credit, BAR won 66% of the early voters there).
This is the very reason why the TDP should have bothered to at least try to encourage as many credible candidates to file for all statewide offices, even if it was never going to fund or coordinate with them in the end. When voters see joke Democrats at the top of the ticket or unknowns, it hurts ever great candidate down the ballot, be they John Courage's or Shane Sklar's or the Juan Garcia's and Ellen Cohen's or any county level candidate.
If Radnofsky loses the run-off and/or Maria Alvarado, a great woman but totally unqualified to go toe to toe experience-wise with Dewhurst, loses to Ben Z. Grant (at least a previously elected, tested, and credible candidate to average voters) Chris Bell's already challenging task to lead the ticket will become more and more difficult, hurting every campaign we care about down ballot.
This is what the TDP's "Run Somewhere, Just Not There" strategy has left us. We cannot afford it ever again. How future chairs will address this should be a voting issue for Democratic delegates in June for anyone running to be party chair. |