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HD-97 Runoff Election Results: Dan Barrett v. Mark Shelton


by: Karl-Thomas Musselman

Tue Dec 18, 2007 at 06:23 PM CST


  • 7:00 PM - DAN BARRETT (D) WINS EARLY VOTE.

  • 7:15 PM - There are about 95,600 registered voters in HD-97. That puts the Early Vote turnout at  3.9% of total voters.

  • 7:25 PM - Here are some things to think about. If the Early Vote makes up 1/3 of the total vote, Barrett could win as little as 47.4% of the Election Day vote and still win the election.  If the Early Vote makes up 1/2 of the total vote, Barrett could win as little as 44.9% of the Election Day vote and still win the election.

  • 8:15 PM - To save you from having to do the calculations below, from the 8 precincts reporting today, Barrett won them 52%-48% over Shelton.

  • 8:30 PM - The last update was a large chunk of data and I've run some numbers on it. If returns come in at the same rate they have been... we can project about 5,214 total votes to be cast on Electon Day meaning 8,937 total turnout. That makes the "win number" 4,468 votes of which Barrett would have to win only 45.6% or 625 at this point.

  • BOR CALLS ELECTION FOR DAN BARRETT

  • Yeah, at this point, Barrett could get just 6.2% of the vote in the remaining five boxes and win.

  • 8:55 - Barret wins Election Day vote by 69 votes and wins the election by 452 votes! He outperformed the Democratic performance in the district by 13 points.

  • 9:00 - IT'S OVER. DEMOCRAT DAN BARRETT WINS.  Republican Control of the Texas House is now down to 79-71 with Democrats having picked up 2 seats since 2006 elections (Kirk England switching parties and Barrett's win tonight). Matt will be following up here tonight with what this election means for Democrats in 2008. 

 

Results updating below. 


UPDATE AS OF: 9:00 PM 

NAME
PARTYEARLY VOTESPERCENTTOTAL VOTESPERCENT
     
Dan BarrettDEM2053
55.14%5365
52.20%
Mark M. SheltonREP1670
44.85%4913

47.80%

Totals 3723
---
10278

--- 


Precincts Reporting:  46 of 46  (100%)

source: Texas Secretary of State
source: Tarrant County Elections 

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How many precincts are in District 97? (0.00 / 0)
This is great news so far.  All that phone-banking and block-walking is paying off.  Go Dan!!

45 (0.00 / 0)
It's listed as 46 on the SOS site because they count all of the early vote as one precinct.  

Please read the Community Guidelines and How to Rate Comments.

[ Parent ]
Fingers crossed (0.00 / 0)
that those last few precincts aren't 100% GOP.

Great win for our side! (0.00 / 0)
Every Republican seat that we take shows how vulnerable the Republicans really are, even here in Texas!

Don't default to the bastards!

[ Parent ]
Congratulations to Dan (0.00 / 0)
and everyone who worked so hard in his campaign. This election will give all the Democrats in Tarrant County a big boost in confidence that we can elect Democrats to state and national office.

Congratulations to Representative Dan Barrett! (0.00 / 0)
Way to go Team Barrett!!!


I said he couldn't break 40% (0.00 / 0)
I stand, very hapily, corrected.

Mea wronga.  Those shenanigans really screwed Shelton's campaign up.  I never once heard anything issue-oriented coming out of his campaign after the robo-call story broke... it was just 1.5 months of damage control.

Congrats to team Barrett for a great GOTV effort.  Shelton was the most grassroots of all the GOP candidates and Barrett beat the pants off him.


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