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Last Poll Numbers


by: Karl-Thomas Musselman

Tue Mar 07, 2006 at 02:21 AM CST


I got in from the Gammage Rally and Sign distribution a few hours ago. About 45 people showed for an event with 24 hours notice, so not too shabby I must say.  About 350 signs went up to polling locations in Austin over 2 hours.

Apparently we also have a late batch of polling from SUSA. Margin of error about 4.5%.  Internals are available here.

Chris Bell (D)
12%  Favorable
11%  Unfavorable
15%  Neutral
62%  Unfamiliar

Bob Gammage (D)
8%  Favorable
11%  Unfavorable
20%  Neutral
62%  Unfamiliar

Nothing very revealing there other than they Dems are equal in Name ID.

Rick Perry (R)
44%  Favorable
37%  Unfavorable
15%  Neutral
4%  Unfamiliar

Carole Keeton Strayhorn (I)
40%  Favorable
25%  Unfavorable
18%  Neutral
17%  Unfamiliar

Kinky Friedman (I)
26%  Favorable
27%  Unfavorable
21%  Neutral
26%  Unfamiliar

Left in a comment on another thread, we have different number that indicate Bell/Gammage ratings from just Democrats.  If true, it appears more Democrats know of Gammage but remain neutral, while sligtly fewer (within MOE) know Bell but have a favorable opinion. Overall, I think winning the primary and the coverage that follows will do more for moving either candidate's numbers at this point than anything else.

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Last Poll Numbers | 2 comments
But it should be noted that (0.00 / 0)
Bell and Gammage are both pretty known in Harris County (as seen on the internals of the poll).

It's pretty nice to see that they're known in their "bases"

Name recognition by region

North Texas: 30% (Chris Bell), 37% (Bob Gammage)
West Texas: 20% (Bell), 36% (Gammage)
Harris County: 77% (Bell), 52% (Gammage)
East Texas: 34% (Bell), 36% (Gammage)

Considering the breakdown in regions (31% North, 8% West, 14% Harris, 46% East).. I'm guessing that a huge chunk of the state got counted as "East Texas", like Austin and San Antonio and the Valley, and all that.

The top 10 counties in number of votes, for the 2002 Governor's primary and the 2002 Senate runoff

Morales/Sanchez: Harris, Dallas, Bexar, Hidalgo, El Paso, Travis, Tarrant, Webb, Nueces, and Camerson.

Kirk/Morales: Dallas, Harris, Hidalgo, Tarrant, Travis, Nueces, Bexar, El Paso, Cameron, and Webb.

So yeah, i'm sure we have a general idea of "Where Democrats are in Texas"

So, which candidate will win more counties? Not like that means much.


They are all out working the polls, Karl! (0.00 / 0)
Besides all of it being said... repeated... restated... paraphrased... quoted... and reposted a number of times *whew*

One side or the other of the Gov race will be disappointed, but it seems likely that ALL of us will be relieved!

As one of those lonely Dems in Southern Montgomery County, it falls to me to increase the posts by 100% for this thread... I'd work the polls in my precinct but then I already voted!  (there are actually a couple more but it runs like 85%/15% around here)


[ Parent ]
Last Poll Numbers | 2 comments
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