30 Day Out Fundraising Reports Roundup: State House, Districts 51 – 100

0 Flares Filament.io 0 Flares ×

Per Texas law, candidates for state office must file fundraising reports every six months. Additionally, any candidate in a contested election must file an additional fundraising report that reflects their holdings thirty days before voting begins in that election. Candidates in contested primaries had to file reports by February 3 which reflected how much money they raised between January 1 and January 23 as well as how much cash they have remaining on hand. With in-person voting starting next week, these fundraising reports could provide helpful clues on who is favored to win their party's nomination.

This week, Burnt Orange Report will look at all statewide primaries and all legislative primaries that feature an incumbent or seats that could be considered competitive come November's general election.

In our fourth installment, we will continue to look at the contested primaries for the Texas House. This installment will look at the races in Districts 51 – 100 which are primarily centered in West Texas, El Paso, and Tarrant County. In this section, we look at the primary challenges to Republican Reps. Ralph Sheffield, J.D. Sheffield, Keffer, Crownover, Susan King, Darby, Stickland, and Patrick as well as Democratic Reps. Mary González, Naomi Gonzalez, Márquez, Pickett, and Burnam. All fundraising reports were pulled from the website of the Texas Ethics Commission.

Readers can always go back and review Burnt Orange Report's previous Fundraising Roundups:

Statewide Primaries

Texas State Senate Primaries

Texas State House, Districts 1 – 50 Primaries

Full analysis and race-by-race rundown of contested statewide primaries can be found after the jump.In the tables, “Raised since '13” represents the amount of money a candidate raised from January 1 to January 23. “EoY 2013 CoH” represents how much money a candidate retained in their bank account on December 31, 2013. “Current CoH” represents how much money a candidate had remaining in their bank account on January 23, 2014. “CoH” is shorthand for “Cash on Hand.”

HD-55 (R)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
R. Sheffield $13,250 $137,340 $92,843
M. White $9,370 $1,100 $7,081

Rep. Ralph Sheffield is seeking his fourth term in the Texas House and will be facing off against anti-abortion activist Molly White. Mrs. White has received endorsements from several movement conservatives including Michael Quinn Sullivan, Tim Lambert, and Cathie Adams. That support is translating to enough money to be relevant, but likely not enough to defeat Rep. Sheffield. In cash on hand, Rep. Sheffield leads Mrs. Adams thirteen to one. Prediction: Mrs. Adams will put up a respectable percentage in March, but Rep. Sheffield should be re-nominated by a healthy margin.

HD-59 (R)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
J.D. Sheffield $40,501 $105,989 $103,276
H. Ray $1,500 $500 $568
D. Pelton $5,792 $7,918 $12,327

The other Rep. Sheffield, freshman J.D., was an early target of a potential primary after supporting some of the amendments for the special session's anti-choice abortion bill. Rep. Sheffield has spent his time raising funds hand-over-fist and ended 2013 and the month of January with over $100,000 in his bank account. His challengers, veteran Howard Ray and former Erath Republican Party chair Danny Pelton, are far behind, but Mr. Pelton is raising enough money to be taken seriously. Rep. Sheffield challenged hyper-conservative incumbent Rep. Sid Miller in the 2010 Republican primary and lost, then tried again in 2012 and succeeded. The Republican primary voters in District 59 may see Rep. Sheffield as an accidental Representative. Prediction: The knives are out for Rep. Sheffield. He has the infrastructure to protect himself, but that may not be enough. The question is if Mr. Pelton can be viewed as a credible alternative. Likely, Rep. Sheffield will be shy of fifty percent and proceed to a runoff with Mr. Pelton.

HD-60 (R)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
J. Keffer $48,015 $318,472 $330,341
C. Crisp $15,215 $10,218 $30,215

Rep. Jim Keffer is pretty reasonable for a Republican in Austin. That has earned him a primary challenge from farmer Cullen Crisp. Crisp, after loaning himself $25,000, has over $30,000 to spend in the final month, a strong amount. However, Rep. Keffer has ten times that remaining in his own bank account. Prediction: Rep. Keffer last faced a primary challenger in 2002, twelve years ago. $330,341 should be enough to secure re-nomination but the question will be by what margin. 2014 should let Texans know if the conservative base still loves or now distrusts Rep. Keffer.

HD-64 (R)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
M. Crownover $7,600 $221,456 $203,095
R. King $3,832 $6,682 $5,262

Read King has built a coalition of supporters similar to that of Molly White in District 55. That similar coalition has resulted in a similar amount raised and in cash on hand. The difference is incumbent Myra Crownover is not distrusted by the Republican base and has twice as much in her bank account as Rep. Ralph Sheffield. Prediction: Rep. Crownover easily wins re-nomination by a very healthy margin.

HD-71 (R)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
S. King $2,580 $507,913 $495,112
I. Castro $3,605 $5,600 $7,705

Rep. Susan King, like Rep. JD Sheffield, supported several amendments to the special session's anti-choice HB2, guaranteeing her a primary challenger this year. Isaac Castro has had light fundraising and will likely be drowned out as Rep. King maintains just under half a million dollars. Prediction: The only way Rep. King loses is if the message of her moderation on the issue of abortion drowns everything else out in this race. Because she has a much larger megaphone, that scenario is unlikely. Expect a healthy re-nomination for Rep. King.

HD-72 (R)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
D. Darby $26,368 $523,033 $538,034
S. Thomason $945 $0 $448

Rep. Darby has had healthy fundraising and his primary opponent has had no fundraising. Prediction: Rep. Darby has nothing to worry about from Shannon Thomason and will be re-nominated.

HD-75 (D)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
M. González $52,880 $16,738 $38,013
R. Sepulveda $250 $0 $0

Rep. Mary González won a contested three-way primary for this open seat in 2012 without a runoff. With her win, she became the first openly LGBT candidate elected to the Texas legislature on their first term. It should come as no surprise someone filed to challenge her in the primary, but progressive supporters of Rep. González should feel confident of her re-nomination since Rey Sepulveda has no money in the bank. Prediction: Rep. González will win re-nomination by a very wide margin as she has been active in her community as well as within Democratic party politics, raising her profile across Texas.

HD-76 (D)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
N. Gonzalez $31,371 $7,023 $23,885
C. Blanco $13,090 $33,973 $29,324
N. Chavez $0 $60,744 $63,832

District 76 is likely the most confusing and complicated district primary facing Democrats across Texas. This primary finds incumbent Rep. Naomi Gonzalez being challenged by Cesar Blanco, a former chief of staff for Rep. Pete Gallego, and her predecessor, the out-spoken former Texas Rep. Norma Chavez. Likely encouraging her primary challengers to run, earlier this year Rep. Gonzalez was arrested in Austin for DWI and hitting another car as well as a cyclist. Further, she openly supported Republican Rep. Dee Margo over his Democratic opponent, former and future Texas Rep. Joe Moody in the 2012 general election. Both Rep. Gonzalez and Cesar Blanco are raising strong amounts while Ms. Chavez did not raise at all. Rather, Ms. Chavez loaned her campaign $90,000 which has resulted inner having the most cash on hand. Notably, Rep. Gonzalez has the least amount of cash left in her campaign account. Prediction: This one is real hard to predict. However, due to the amount of controversy surrounding both Rep. Gonzalez and former Rep. Chavez, it is possible Cesar Blanco beats both candidates on the first round, avoiding a runoff. If not, Blanco will likely proceed to the runoff with one of them, and be heavily favored. Which one, however, is too hard to say.

HD-77 (D)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
M. Márquez $22,528 $27,138 $18,797
L. Ness-Garcia $59,085 $1,482 $9,694

Rep. Márquez, like Rep. Gonzalez, backed Republican incumbent Dee Margo over Joe Moody in 2012, earning her a primary opponent as well. Her challenger, lawyer Lyda Ness-Garcia, has done very well in fundraising, raising twice that of Rep. Márquez in January. Concerning Rep. Márquez's chances of re-election is the surprisingly small amount of cash remaining in her bank account. $18,797 is not an intimidating sum and may encourage large donors to flock to Ms. Ness-Garcia in the final month to push her over the victory line. Predication: It's hard to bet against an incumbent that leads in fundraising, but Rep. Márquez's finances do not encourage confidence. Do not be surprised if District 77 has a new representative next year.

HD-79 (D)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
J. Pickett $16,625 $140,069 $151,357
C. Peartree $125 $0 $0

Rep. Pickett is one of two Democrats to get a primary challenger after voting for the special session's HB2. However, his challenger, Chuck Peartree, is not taking his candidacy seriously and has raised nothing. Predication: Rep. Pickett handily wins re-nomination. It will be interesting to see what percentage of District 79's Democratic primary voters cast protest votes for Mr. Peartree.

HD-83 (R)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
C. Perry $71,370 $115,475 $88,433
S. Massengale $17,700 $66,983 $78,428

Sophomore Rep. Perry of Lubbock is being challenged by local businessman Stephen Massengale. Massengale has raised well and has a formidable cash reserve. Further, he loaned his campaign $50,000 to make sure he would be competitive with Rep. Perry. Rep. Perry leads in fundraising, but he does not have a clear lead. Predication Like several East Texas districts, Rep. Perry is favored, but Mr. Massengale has accumulated enough resources that it would not be surprising if he won instead.

HD-90 (D)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
L. Burnam $17,895 $77,734 $71,248
R. Romero $26,200 $14,154 $38,599

Progressive Democrat Lon Burnam has always been under the threat of a primary challenge in District 90's Hispanic-majority House seat. In 2012, Rep. Burnam prevailed in the Democratic primary with a narrow fifty-two percent of the vote. Since 2012, the district's boundaries have been tweaked by re-adding the city of Como, an electoral stronghold of the incumbent Representative. This year, Rep. Burnam faces a challenge from small businessman Ramon Romero. Romero has raised enough funds so that Rep. Burnam should be sweating again. Romero out-raised the incumbent in January and trails by less than a two to one margin in cash on hand. Prediction: Rep. Burnam survived in 2012 and has experience winning close primaries. Progressive groups rallied to him in 2012 and if that coalition of activists hold, Rep. Burnam may truly win based on grassroots support. In terms of fundraising, however, Rep. Burnam holds no significant advantage.

HD-92 (R)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
J. Stickland $49,228 $219,459 $127,040
A. Cargile $37,104 $7,791 $5,386

Freshman Rep. Jonathan Stickland earned a reputation in Austin as being abrasive, unintelligent, and a bully. It seems this appeals to those who donate to political campaigns as Rep. Stickland holds a commanding lead in terms of cash on hand over his challenger, Andy Cargile. Granted, Rep. Stickland had to loan himself $125,000 to maintain his current cash on hand total of $127,040. However, it does not matter where the money came from; Stickland maintains a large advantage. Prediction: Andy Cargile is doing as well as can be expected in challenging Rep. Stickland, but Stickland has a commanding lead in terms of cash on hand. Financially, the TEA Party incumbent is favored, at this point.

HD-94 (R)

Candidate Raised Since '13 EoY 2013 CoH Current CoH
D. Patrick $13,372 $87,029 $74,032
T. Tinderholt $10,100 $7,223 $9,600

TEA Party activist Tony Tinderholt is matching Rep. Diane Patrick in cash raised in January, but trails badly in cash on hand. He did self-donate $10,798 to his own campaign, but it likely is not enough to overcome Rep. Patrick's war chest. Prediction: Rep. Patrick should win re-election. If Mr. Tinderholt had raised more, perhaps this raise would pop, but what he has is just not enough to make a competitive race against in the incumbent.

You can review all the candidates running for office in Texas at our Burnt Orange Report Candidate Trackers:

– Statewide Offices

– US Congress

– Texas Senate

– Texas House

– State Board of Education

You can follow me on Twitter at @trowaman.


About Author

Joseph Vogas

Joseph was raised in Friendswood, Texas in North Galveston County. He went on to graduate from the University of North Texas with a degree in Political Science. After working for multiple campaigns, Joseph was able to work in the 83rd legislature in Austin in 2013. While retired from professional campaign work, Joseph enjoys sharing his knowledge of campaign data how to win elections in naturally unfriendly turf with others. Joseph is an avid archer and enjoys all things geek including Star Wars and DC Comics.

Leave a Reply

2015 © Skytop Publishing All Rights Reserved. Do not republish without express written permission.

Site designed and developed by well + done DESIGN

0 Flares Twitter 0 Facebook 0 Filament.io 0 Flares ×