Ted Cruz will visit New Hampshire next Tuesday to give a keynote speech at a state party fundraiser, the latest in a series of visits to early primary states.
“Senator Ted Cruz is one of the most principled and exciting new leaders in the Republican Party. During his short time in the Senate he has already established himself as a leader in the fight to rein in President Obama's liberal agenda and return fiscal responsibility to Washington,” New Hampshire GOP Chair Jennifer Horn said in a statement that reveals how far away Republicans are from winning the Granite State. “We are excited to welcome Senator Cruz to New Hampshire and hear about his vision for the future of our country.”
In May, Cruz visited South Carolina and later this summer, Cruz will visit both Iowa and Florida. and Real Clear Politics reports that the freshman senator is “expected to add trips to other early voting states in the coming months.” We already know for certain that Ted Cruz is considering a 2016 run, and we know from recent polling that he's in the top six of GOP nomination contenders.
Read more below the jump.Let's imagine that Ted Cruz achieves his dream of being the first Canadian-born presidential nominee of an American political party in 2016. He'll immediately have to explain NRA-sponsored gun views and opposition to immigration reform, both of which highlight how far he is from mainstream American public opinion. And that's before the media sinks its teeth into Cruz's conspiracy theories – like how the United Nations wants us all to live in “hobbit homes“. Fat chance of winning in the general election against the likes (and likability) of a Hillary Clinton or Elizabeth Warren.
Now imagine that Cruz fails to make it out of the primary – much like Michele Bachmann in 2012, a Tea Party candidate who fizzles riding the steam of extremism. Bachmann returned to Congress, nearly lost her seat, and then announced she won't run again in 2014. The question of Ted Cruz's viability would be solved definitively by a Republican primary loss. His degree of political “hotness” would diminish greatly and he would be a much more vulnerable target for Texas Democrats two years later, in 2018. That's when Julian Castro is expected to throw his hat in the ring for a statewide election. Shudder, Cruz, shudder.
And what if all this primary-state traveling doesn't end up leading to a 2016 run? Well, the first six months of Cruz's term have shown very clearly what the next 64 months will look like – obstructionist, extreme, and bad for Texas.