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Map of Grady Yarbrough's Support by County in Democratic Primary Runoff


by: Karl-Thomas Musselman

Wed Aug 08, 2012 at 10:00 AM CDT


Last week the Texas Tribune posted maps of last Tuesday's primary runoff results by county for both the Republican and Democratic US Senate runoffs. In the Democratic runoff, Sadler won a majority in nearly 90% of counties holding elections, but earned only 63% of the vote against Yarbrough. To get a sense of where the 37% of Democrats who voted for Yarbrough were disbursed I've used the Tribune's data to create a new map expressing Yarbrough's percent of the vote. Heavier purple indicates more support.

There's a clear Yarbrough bump running diagonally across South and West Texas. Sadler soaked up votes from Central Texas and the Hill Country. The urban areas don't stand out in any sense really other than Travis County which voted for Sadler at the highest rate of Texas' most populous counties.

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Almost nothing stands out (0.00 / 0)
The darkest shading in the map comes from counties with almost no population. Sure, Yarbrough won Loving County with 73% of the vote, but that was only 8 votes to 3. Those West Texas counties look big on a map, but by population they're just a statistical blip. The larger West Texas counties (like El Paso) went solidly for Sadler, just like the rest of the state. The biggest county that Yarbrough won was on the coast, in Matagorda, and even there he got fewer than 1,000 votes.

Bottom line:  Travis didn't like Yarbrough at all. Yarbrough did a little better than average in the Valley, where he got 40-45% in the larger counties. The rest of the state was pretty uniform. Urban, rural, White, Hispanic, Black, North, South, East, West -- it didn't matter. Votes split somewhere between 3:2 and 2:1 for Sadler, plus noise. And as with all statistics, the noise was most dramatic in the smallest samples.    


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