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Wed Feb 29, 2012 at 05:51 PM CST
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(It's worth clicking through to the memo and taking a look. - promoted by Katherine Haenschen)
Democratic consultants Jeff Crosby and Roger Garza have circulated a memo challenging Republican assertions that the new interim state house map results in 100 likely GOP seats.
The memo contends that there are 72 seats where a Democratic candidate can be competitive, including 63 of what it terms 'Tier 1' and 'Tier 2' seats.
Crosby and Garza explain that their analysis is based on the 2008 presidential race, an average of 2008 Supreme Court races, and the 2010 governor's race. The memo said that the "Republican average" being touted by the Republican Party of Texas was "undefined" and, Crosby and Garza argue, likely "inflated" by using races in which "Republicans routed several poorly funded, little known Democrats," noting that well-funded Democrats in suburban districts in 2008 often ran ahead of Barack Obama.
The memo, including a breakdown of districts, can be found here. |
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