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Bill White Says He Will Not Run for U.S. Senate in 2012


by: David Mauro

Tue Nov 16, 2010 at 09:27 AM CST


Two weeks after his loss to Gov. Rick Perry, the former Houston Mayor said he will not run for the U.S. Senate in 2012. Prior to entering the gubernatorial race last year, White had sought the senate seat many had expected Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison to vacate. White additionally said he had no plans to run for office in 2014 either and was evaluating future business plans.

The announcement can hardly be described as surprising, though the timing of it may be earlier than many had expected. Former Texas Comptroller John Sharp has said he plans to run for the Senate in 2012 (although his website currently offers advice on how to find "the best male enhancement pills").

The Republican side will likely be crowded, as Railroad Commissioners Elizabeth Ames Jones and Michael Williams along with former Secretary of State Roger Williams and State Sen. Florence Shapiro were all planning on running in what they thought would be a special election. Whether they all ultimately run is unknown, but it seems unlikely.

Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst could be the Republican frontrunner, but his decision will not come until after the upcoming legislative session. Depending on the political climate, Democrats could see a legislator, or perhaps someone we have not even heard of yet, jump in after the legislature adjourns in May.

Update: As Robert points out in the comments, Hutchison has become well known for saying one thing and doing another when it comes to her future in the Senate. While I still expect her not to run again, Robert is right that given her history it is far from a sure thing. However, if she does choose to run again, Hutchison could find herself as a target for a challenge from the right in the Republican Primary.

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Forget the incumbent? (0.00 / 0)
I see no reason to believe Kay Bailey will go quietly.
I also see no reason to support John Sharp.  

Challenge (0.00 / 0)
I think that it is a given that she will be challenged should she seek another term. If Joe Strauss isn't conservative enough to be Speaker then Hutchison is not conservative enough to be a senator.  The question is who would challenge her and take a more extreme, Tea Party approach to challenging her.  I don't think Roger Williams has it in him, nor the other declared candidates either really.  

Dallas Mayor Tom Leppert, although I've never considered extreme, has been blatantly partisan here of late.  He lavished Rick Perry and Sarah Palin with praise weeks ago at an event in Dallas.  The DMN even wrote an editorial telling Leppert to stop being so blatantly partisan.  

I don't know, it'll be interesting to watch Kay waffle in her decision.  Should she run we'll see another terrible primary campaign because she's good at doing that, and so I would expect that given the political climate we now have that an extreme challenger from the Right would probably beat her. Who can challenge the extreme Right better than Rick Perry though?  No one comes to mind.  Might that leave Perry to consider a run against Hutchison again but for the U.S. Senate versus President?  Hmmm.  

Todd

"You must be the change you wish to see in the world." - Mahatma Gandhi


[ Parent ]
the challenger isn't important (0.00 / 0)
unless they're the worst politician in Texas history.  Kay is gone.  There's no way she ever wins another state wide election in the future.

[ Parent ]
Didn't Bill White also say he wasn't going to run for Governor in 2010? (4.00 / 4)
I'll believe it when I see it.

Makes sense (3.00 / 1)
If he had lost by a much closer margin, say 5%, it might be reasonable for him to run.  But coming off of a huge 13% loss, I don't think it would have any chance of going anywhere.  He's damaged goods and it would be hard to convince anyone that that 13% gap for our best efforts this year could be made up in 2 years.  Even in 2006 and 2008, good Democratic years, our Senate candidates didn't go anywhere.

The only real hope for a close statewide election that we might win is if the GOP self implodes and the Tea Party replaces Hutchison with an incompetent extremist who strongly repels even moderate conservatives.

Unless they give us that opportunity, we as Texas Democrats need to step back and lower our aims.  Work on taking back the House seats we lost this last election.  Looking for salvation at the top of the ticket hasn't worked, or even come close to working for us.

"I love America more than any other country in this world, and, exactly for this reason, I insist on the right to criticize her perpetually."- James A. Baldwin


I have to agree (0.00 / 0)
I'm a big Bill White fan but 13% is hard to build off of. I do also have pretty big reservations about another John Sharp run. I'm not sure Sharp inspires voters in Texas any more than White.

Anyone have thoughts on who would make a better Senate candidate? Julian Castro?


[ Parent ]
Would Julian Castro Run? (0.00 / 0)
It would be ridiculously hard for a Democrat to win the Senate seat in 2012, though Julian Castro might just be the one to do it...but I think he's more cautious than that about his career.

"Let us tenderly and kindly cherish therefore, the means of knowledge. Let us dare to read, think, speak, and write."  -  John Adams

[ Parent ]
Probably won't run (1.00 / 1)
He probably couldn't win and would have to resign as Mayor to make such a run.

The best candidate would be a State Senator who isn't up in 2012 or Chet Edwards.


[ Parent ]
I believe... (1.00 / 1)
Chet will still be sitting on around a million dollars when the post general fec reports come out.  That would give him a nice head start against any other dems out there.

[ Parent ]
Chet Edwards (1.00 / 1)
I think Chet is the most logical choice to run in 2012, but it would depend on whether or not he wants to.  It's not easy running a statewide election.  One thing is for certain after seeing his ads against Flores this past cycle, he isn't afraid to get nasty and I like that.  

Only Chet and those closest to him know what he wants to do and I suspect it's too early for him to even look that far ahead.  

T

"You must be the change you wish to see in the world." - Mahatma Gandhi


[ Parent ]
ok but... (0.00 / 0)
...why would Chet still have $1 million in the bank that he didn't bother to spend keeping his seat? Unless of course, his campaign was making things up the last month of the campaign with regards to how competitive it was while simultaneously planning on banking money for a future race.


Please read the Community Guidelines and How to Rate Comments.

[ Parent ]
All State Senators are up in 2012 (3.00 / 1)
In the first election after a normal redistricting year all 31 Senate seats are up for election. They pull lots to determine which half have to run again in 2 years (2014) and which have their next election in 4 years (2016), resulting in the following classes of elections.

Senate Class A

2012 Presidential + US Senate (Hutchison)
2014 Gubernatorial + US Senate (Cornyn)
2018 Gubernatorial + US Senate (Hutchison)
--
2022 Gubernatorial

Senate Class B

2012 Presidential + US Senate (Hutchison)
2016 Presidential
2020 Presidential + US Senate (Cornyn)
--
2022 Gubernatorial

If you are a Democrat with statewide ambitions, you will much prefer to end up being in Class B. Why? Because you have 4 offices you could run for without having to resign your seat- two Gubernatorial elections and both US Senate seats. If you are a Class A Senator with higher ambitions, the only freebie election you get is the 2020 US Senate seat.

The trade-off is that Class B Senators have to run their races during Presidential years every single time which can increase the cost of running a campaign; it will depend on the district to determine if Presidential turnout makes any given district more or less competitive.


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[ Parent ]
Interesting theory (2.00 / 1)
But 2010 was a "Class B"-type year. There were plenty of sitting senators who could have run for statewide office without giving up their seats. Not one of them did.  

[ Parent ]
Chet Edwards is not a Democrat. (0.00 / 0)
Why in the heck would you think Chet Edwards would make a good Senator?!

[ Parent ]
Not true. (0.00 / 0)
Please explain why Chet Edwards is not a Democrat?  Because he doesn't have a record identical with Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi?  

I don't understand Democrats who are cheering the loss of moderate to conservative Democrats.  Do you really think Bill Flores is going to do anything to benefit Democrat-leaning people? Are you arguing that Bill Flore is more Democratic than Chet Edwards?  I'm not following your logic.  

Texas in general, but most certainly Texas veterans, lost a tremendous ally in Chet Edwards on November 2nd.  

Todd

P.S.- Chet Edwards was one of the first of the Texas Congressional delegation to endorse Barack Obama during the 2008 primaries and he was on the short list for Vice President.  Still not Democratic enough for you?

"You must be the change you wish to see in the world." - Mahatma Gandhi


[ Parent ]
Chet Edwards does not vote for values upon which the Democratic Party builds its Platform. (0.00 / 0)
Chet Edwards voted against health insurance reform - not because it didn't include a single-payer system, but because it made insurance companies actually insure people.  Not only did he vote against it, he campaigned in 2010 against the new law and against the Democratic Speaker of the House and against the Democratic President.  

I don't think Bill Flores is more Democratic than Chet Edwards.  I think their votes as Representatives will be very similar.  What good does it do to have a MOC who wears blue but doesn't vote blue?  We must weed out these guys in order to get the change and rebirth our country needs.  The money and human resources spent to re-elect Chet would have been better spent on electing a true Democratic candidate in another Texas Congressional race.

Congress should not be composed of competing fraternities, it should be an institution that serves the needs of all citizens, not just the wealthy and powerful.    


[ Parent ]
No (0.00 / 0)
...because the ultimate question will be "Who is Julian Castro?"

[ Parent ]
"if the GOP implodes"... (3.00 / 2)
That's why we need a nominee who can chew gum and walk at the same time.. just in case.

If the GOP implodes or a nutjob wins the R nomination(and that means someone more wingnuttier than their current crop, we can't get caught flat footed with our own nutjob as our nomineed.

R nutjobs beat D nutjobs at all times.

 


[ Parent ]
good point (1.00 / 1)
In the event that the GOP elects a true nutjob (not just one that masquerades as a nutjob but is actually pretty standard Republican) I think Bill White would be a good candidate.

But that's accepting that we can only win by default.  


[ Parent ]
Does that mean we shouldn't nominate Kinky Friedman? snark! (4.00 / 2)


As long as corporations are people and money is speech, then democracy is a farce.

[ Parent ]
Agreed. (0.00 / 0)
I imagine this will come to a head at filing time.  If a crazy who can win the GOP nomination is planning on filing, we should have one of our best in the wings ready to pounce.

But I wouldn't put a lot of hope on it at this point.

"I love America more than any other country in this world, and, exactly for this reason, I insist on the right to criticize her perpetually."- James A. Baldwin


[ Parent ]
One No on Chet Edwards (5.00 / 1)
Sorry, folks. The guy just spent an entire campaign running away from and spitting on his own party. He couldn't pull 40% in a district he's held for many cycles. Why should we nominate yet another candidate who's petrified of sounding like a Democrat?

I can't blame Mayor White on this one (0.00 / 0)
having watched Rick "do nothing" Perry gather up a gazillion dollars in the last two weeks and win the election.

I do think we need somebody to beat John Boxturtle when his term is up. I don't know who it might be. Maybe Dunnam?


John Sharp? (0.00 / 0)
Has there been any John Sharp sightings. His website is down and Facebook page is outdated. Anybody know what's going on?

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