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HD 138: Kendra Yarbrough Camerena (D) vs. Rep. Dwayne Bohac (R)


by: Phillip Martin, Progress Texas

Tue Sep 07, 2010 at 03:48 PM CDT


Ed. note: The following is one of twenty races we are featuring in the Texas Political Report. Annie's List provided research and analysis for this race.

Candidate Pages: Kendra Yarborugh Camerena website, on Facebook, on Twitter
Candidate Pages: Rep. Dwayne Bohac website, on Facebook

District Overview: The Numbers, The Issues, and the Candidates

The district encompasses Garden Oaks, Oak Forest, and parts of the Spring Branch and Spring Woods communities of west and northwest Houston. The district is almost evenly split between Anglo and Hispanic residents and has a 10% African-American population, but working class Anglo voters make up a majority of the expected turnout. A Republican district since redistrciting in 2001, independent voters split their tickets in 2008, when Democratic County Sheriff Adrian Garcia carried HD 138 with 52.8% of the vote while Obama received 43.9% of the vote.

Bohac's record on education, jobs and insurance and utility rates is on the table, and Bohac must also deal with the fact that he is under investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice, involving reports that he illegally procured voter data from an “inside-man” within the Harris County Voter Registrar’s office.  Ed Johnson, associate voter registrar at the Harris County Tax Assessor-Collectors Office, was also the paid director for Computer Data Systems (CDS), a company started in 2003 with Bohac at its helm. CDS sells voter data to Republican clients – the same data Ed Johnson managed in his government job. The story generated a lot of heat for Bohac when it broke last year, and he’s now under formal investigation. Expect Yarbrough Camarena to continue to make this ethics scandal an issue in the campaign as she presents a choice for new leadership in the district. 

Why Democrats Could Unseat Bohac This Year

Bohac is facing his first serious challenge in a district trending Democratic while defending his Craddick-era voting record and answering charges about an ethics scandal in a bad year for incumbents. He’s also running against a strong opponent with a professional team, who’s been working hard on the phones and block-walking for months. Yarbrough Camarena is no stranger to politics - her father having represented a large part of the district. Her background – a middle school teacher, born and raised in the district -  fits well with the values of her potential constituents and she’s raised substantial cash to make a real play for the seat. And it doesn't hurt any Democrat in Harris County to have Bill White running above you at the top of the ticket when you're both trying to buck the national trend to defeat a Republican incumbent.

June 30 Campaign Finance Report:

HD 138: Camerena vs. BohacContributions
Expenditures
Cash on Hand
Kendra Yarbrough Camerena (D)
$106,633$40,828$120,532
Rep. Dwayne Bohac (R)
$200,812$86,428
$228,453
Bohac's Advantage
$94,179 -$107,921

 

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Spring Branch Factor (0.00 / 0)
Spring Branch is rock solid for Bohac, no Democrat has a snowball's chance in hell to overcome that disadvantage. Bohac has been blockwalking for years, not months. He's a master of retail politics. Kendra loses maybe getting 40%.

Sorry -- facts disagree with you (2.00 / 2)
Hard-working Democrats can win that district -- that's why Adrian Garcia performed so well.

Now, a very great man once said that some people rob you with a fountain pen.

[ Parent ]
Rumor has it (1.00 / 1)
Polling was done. The numbers were ugly. Fancy mailers may not be enough to salvage this campaign.

[ Parent ]
it's funny (2.00 / 2)
2 years ago, you were on here lamenting why people weren't paying attention to HD 138. Now everyone is, and you're finding every opportunity to make up random reasons why Democrats are doomed there.

There is an excellent candidate in this race, running a top notch, professional campaign against an incumbent with serious ethical issues and a voting record out of step with the district.  The votes are there in the district for Democrats to win, as we've seen in the past, and the Camarena campaign, White campaign, coordinated campaign and others have been on the ground for months organizing and getting ready to turn them out.

There's facts, then there's random hearsay and suppositions that you're bandying about.  I'm going to go ahead and listen to the people on the ground.


[ Parent ]
"Top notch professional campaign"? (1.00 / 2)
As of today her campaign doesn't have any yard signs. That's fact. The people on the ground dropped the ball.

[ Parent ]
Pathetic numbers (0.00 / 0)
Kendra's effort was disjointed. The result was a pathetic 35.49%. Hard working?
Now a very great man, Geddy Lee, said you can twist perception, reality won't budge. 35.49%. Read it and weep.

[ Parent ]
Yard signs? (1.00 / 1)
Everyone knows yard signs don't vote. Voters vote, which means as a campaign, you focus your field efforts on talking to voters-- which she is doing..

The Fundamentals (0.00 / 0)
Yard signs are to campaigns as blocking and tackling are to football. Yellow and black Bohac signs are popping up all over district 138. If you're sitting behind a computer in Austin you wouldn't know. The schoolteacher is gonna get schooled...

[ Parent ]
Kendra, 2010's "Sherry Matula" (1.00 / 1)
Annie's List foolishly flushed thousands of dollars in Sherry Matula's race in 2008 Deja vu all over again 2010. A hopelessly Republican District, an entrenched incumbent, and a backlash against Democrats will combine for a thrashing of Annie's chosen candidate.

35.49% (0.00 / 0)
Weak candidate, wasted money. What were you people thinking??  

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