Election Night Open Thread: Comments, Releases, Tips

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KT and I will be updating results, so I don't expect we'll be posting anything else atop the page. Feel free to leave comments below.

Update by KT: So I'm back home and after a quick shower, I'm going to update everything in our tables one more time for tonight. I'll post a brief entry of interests and oddities for the night and then tomorrow we'll comb back through what this all means with more analysis.  

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About Author

Phillip Martin

Currently the Research and Policy Director for Progress Texas and the Texas Research Institute, Phillip Martin writes occasional long-form pieces for BOR that promote focused analysis and insight into Texas politics. Born and raised in Austin, Phillip started working in politics in 2003 and started writing on BOR in the summer of 2005. Phillip has worked for the Texas Democratic Trust, the Texas Legislative Study Group, and now the Progress Texas family. He is a lifelong Houston Astros fan, a loyal Longhorn, and loves swimming at Barton Springs Pool.

48 Comments

  1. I just returned from our (my) precinct caucus.
    The Democratic Election Judge had to stay since I had her Voter Roll.

    Her and I were the only ones there and she wasn't willing to be a County Convention Delegate so I will have two votes at our County Convention.

    After carrying all 5 of my county's votes to the last State Convention this feels like a step down.

    • I was the only one at my convention
      We had around 225 people 2 years ago. Today it was just me.  We had slots for 16 delegates.  It's just going to be me representing my neighborhood at our Senate district convention.

  2. Gee and I thought it was just my precinct that had such poor turnout
    I'm precinct chair, I brought my wife and one of our acquaintances showed up. In 2008 we had 200+ sign in and about 50 stay for the convention itself. Since we had 13 delegate slots and only 3 attendees that made it really easy to get us all elected. It was even easy to vote on the resolutions since I printed them and my wife had already read them I just gave them to the third member to read, we voted and passed all 16 in a few minutes.

  3. 1 of 2
    Me and my dad were the only two at our convention, now we're both delegates.

    2006, there were four of us.

    2008, 100 and something.

  4. Hutchison Concedes?
    It still looks like Perry could end up below 50%. If Hutchison concedes does that mean that Perry goes into a runoff with Medina?

    • Naw, Perry has won this one
      I called him at 53% and he's at 51 but I don't see him dropping below 50%. Rurals are coming in and that's Perry's strong area.

  5. Betty Brown
    Remember Betty Brown, famous for asking Asian-Americans to adopt names that are “Easier for Americans to deal with.” She's 10 precincts away from losing the primary to Lance Gooden, currently down by 107 votes about 1%, this one is going to come down to the last votes.  

  6. Losing alot of Democratic women in the House
    Olivo lost. Rios Ybarra is losing. Sandra Rodriguez losing for Kino's seat. All to men.  Nothing against men (I am one) but that's a big hit the the number of Democratic women in the House.

    Here's hoping Kendra Yarborough, Loretta Haldewang can make up some of that ground in November.

    Not related, but I'm really sad to see Tommy Merritt go.  I'll miss him.

  7. Tara Going DOWN!
    If State Rep. Tara Rios-Ybarra, the Democratic Darling of the Tort Lobbyists, loses tonight–as it appears she has done–despite all the businee lobby money, two factors may have played major roles in the outcome:

    1.Her adultery was an under-the-radar issue with a lot of voters. (it is probably a double standard but it is South Texas after all);

    2.Her opponents showing in Kleberg  County may have just been a little bit helped by the fact that the incumbent she beat two years ago, Juan M. Escobar, was strongly for him PLUS Escobar was running a winning race for Kleberg County Judge (against a long-time incumbent) at the same time.

  8. SBOE roundup
    In district 5, extremist Ken Mercer is trouncing a very well-funded pro-education Republican, Tim Tuggey. Rebecca Bell-Metereau, who won her primary with ease, will have an uphill fight against Mercer in the fall.

    In district 9, extremist Don McLeroy is trailing pro-education Republican Tom Ratliff 51-49. If that holds up, it's a big win for the good guys. (Whoever wins the GOP primary will be elected.)

    In district 10, the most moderate of the three Republicans (Rebecca Osborne) has lost, and there will be a runoff to see whether Cynthia Dunbar's hand-picked successor (Brian Russell) or another conservative (Marsha Farney) will be the GOP nominee. Democrat Judy Jennings should be favored to beat either one, but it will be a tough fight.

    In district 12, swing voter Tincy Miller seems to be losing to wild-card Republican George Clayton, who campaigned on his opposition to testing. Lord only knows what that means for the SBOE.

    In district 3, the other swing voter (Rick Agosto) is retiring, and his likely replacement looks good.

    In district 15, Bob Craig (sensible Republican) is trouncing his right-wing challenger.

    Bottom line: The current SBOE has 7 crazies, 2 swing voters and 6 moderates. The new SBOE will have anywhere from 7-10 moderates, depending on the district 9 GOP primary and the district 10 and district 5 general elections, anywhere from 4 to 7 crazies, and one wild card.

    • Update: McLeroy and Miller lost
      McLeroy is down by 1% with only 2% of the vote left to be counted. Barring an incredible last-minute surge, this one is over, and we're guaranteed to have a sane majority on the SBOE next year!

      Likewise, Miller lost 52-48. For more info on who the heck George Clayton is, see this (Thanks to TFN for the pointer)

      There will be an interesting GOP runoff in district 10, and in the fall all the action will be in districts 5 and 10. Rebecca Bell-Metereau and Judy Jennings will need all the help we can give.

      In the mean time, the SBOE is operating with four lame ducks (Cynthia Dunbar, Rick Agosto, McLeroy and Miller). It'll be interesting to see how they behave.

  9. My Precinct
    It had 50 delegate spots to the County level, there were 2 people there, and someone said they had moved the caucus to the TCDP headquarters. I can only imagine the outrage that would have resulted in 2 years ago. This time, par for the course.  

    • Wonder if this happened for 275 also?
      I showed up at Hyde Park Methodist church for Precinct 275 convention. It was me and two others. We had the convention but were pretty dumbfounded by the low turnout in a politically active neighborhood.  

  10. Low turn outs favor incumbents.
    There were people voting in the Republican primary: independent, and a few crossovers, to put Perry in a run off, or prevent it. The real campaigns start now.  

  11. HD-146
    Does anyone know what the outcome was between Borris Miles and Al Edwards? The latest I can find is that Edwards was edging Miles by 75 votes with 85 percent counted, but that was over an hour and a half ago.

  12. Back to the old precinct convention days
    Noticing all the comments I can only believe we're back to the old days when it was you and another person showing up for the precinct conventions. I moved to a new location and attended a new precinct convention. It was me and another person there for the convention. We just filled the paperwork out, passed the resolutions and left for watch parties.

    For all the work done during the summer after the 2008 debacle it doesn't look like anything really changed other than we have two new forms to fill out (or one new one, the alternate form is a waste of paper).

    • Flashback
      400+ attended my precinct convention in the March '08 Primary. Wow. Talk about a sea change. They were fiercely debating to become a delegate. I just sat there in amazement. (And these were Clinton delegates.)

      March 2009.  Same precinct. 3 (three). There were 3 of us. Definitely back to the precinct convention days.

      Not sure, but I think maybe the argument for doing away with the 2/3 vote for the primary votes and 1/3 from the “caucuses,” is justified by this showing. Seems the hardcore party activists really are just a “few” in each precinct. I submitted a resolution ~ it passed with 3 votes 🙂 to lower the proportions for the two-step process…maybe 85% to 15% or 80% to 20%. We all sent it forward for further debate after a unanimous vote.

      After last night's showing, I do believe I heard Jim Mattox's strong voice speaking to me:

      “Now let me tell you, folks. This system we've got is an expensive system. It's an unintelligible system. It is an acrimonious system across the board. It is subject to misconduct, it is subject to fraud, it is subject to manipulation. It's unfair, it's uncertain, it's inaccurate, and it's an embarrassment to our party.”

      […]

      “We believe ALL voters should count equally”, said Scott Cobb, one of the organizers of ChangeTheCaucus.org, who attended the hearings held by the Advisory Committee in Harlingen, El Paso, Arlington, Austin, Houston, San Antonio and Nacogdoches.

      Jim Mattox Testifying Against the Texas Two-Step at Austin Hearing on November 14, 2008 (1/2) from Scott Cobb on Vimeo.

      • Clarification
        Currently the proportional system for designating presidential delegates is around 67% for the primary votes and 33% or thereabouts for the caucus-goer votes as I understand it to be.

        • Any more amendments?
          LOL, I was enjoying reading your amendments. I really wish there was an edit feature to allow you to correct your comments.

          I'm going to follow this through to state to see what might have changed. Last night there was a lot of confusion for some of the first timers in 2008. They showed up this time, expecting someone to guide them through and when they found out they were the guides some were even more confused.

          I know there was tons of training material but when you don't know about it and just show up the process can be daunting.

          • Just that one
            resolution. Are they amendments? But now I'm thinking the proportional voting needs to go away completely in the presidential years. I should have re-watched that video of Jim Mattox. The process is difficult enough in the non-presidential years (last night). And we certainly don't need to have precinct conventions figuring percentages. Writing down those long voter identification numbers on the forms should be the extent of the math. I hope we can get all of this fixed. Our system must have discouraged some of those 2008 voters from returning this year to participate. Or they preferred to stay home and watch American Idol.

  13. convention turn out
    I'm the outgoing precinct chair and we had 9 at the convention last night, 500+ in 2008.

    I won't say I'm disappointed though. If a newcomer were to show up last night we probably wouldn't see them again because there is really no compelling reason to attend a precinct convention.

    2 years ago there was a compelling reason to attend.

    Non-political junkies have busy lives, too: work, kids, church activities, etc.

    They'll be there in November, if we do our job right.

    • Robert Ryland on

      Yes
      Yes, I think so.

      And we look well-positioned to pick up one or two SCt seats this year…especially if Rick Green wins the runoff for Pl 3.  

    • He always has been
      The race is different now, though.

      Facing an unknown rather than an incumbent takes away some of Weems' arguments, but it also probably evens out the cash advantage that Carillo held. And sad to say, running against a Republican Latino may have gotten Weems a few votes. Porter got the benefit of that dynamic.

      • Has to help Jeff
        Porter is a total unknown.  Carillo lost due to the most overt racism the GOP primary voters could show.  The GOP has lost their money advantage with Carillo's loss.

        Plus if I were Jeff I would make it a point with Latino voters.  Porter is the candidate that won only because his name was not “Hispanic” sounding.  And even Carillo knew it was coming.

        AAS 3/3/10

        All the election drama was down ballot

        Editorial Board

        For election night suspense, all the action was down the ballot and well below most voters' radar.

        The high-profile races didn't yield surprises, but there was a big upset in the Railroad Commission race in which an unknown, underfunded candidate who barely campaigned knocked off incumbent Victor Carrillo. Carrillo, a former Taylor County judge, lawyer and geologist, expressed a fear earlier this week that his Latino surname made him vulnerable, and his premonition proved right.

        It was a premonition rooted in history. In 2001, Gov. Rick Perry named Xavier Rodriguez, now a federal judge, to the Texas Supreme Court. He was defeated in the 2002 GOP primary by little-known challenger Stephen Wayne Smith, who spent $9,500, compared to the more than $550,000 spent by Rodriguez. In that case, the name factor made GOP leaders nervous, but they acknowledged the power of the name factor.

        David Porter pulled off the upset of Carrillo despite a minimal investment of time, money and expertise in the primary.

        You think Carillo would think about switching parties now.  The R tent is not very accommodating to Latinos.

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