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June 07, 2005

San Antonio Run-off

By Karl-Thomas Musselman

Results from the San Antonio Runoff will be coming in tonight. Though I won't likly be able to get to the computer until 9 pm, there will be some people following the news.

RedState will be liveblogging so that may be your best bet. For a short primer on what is going on, look to Latinos for Texas post from the Express News.

It's to be a close race tonight (though I hope Castro pulls it out). Kuff points to a mySA.com column that brings up some interesting points that could help Castro overcome his 5 point deficit in the last round of polling.

It would help if there were a City Council runoff on Schubert's turf. There isn't.

It would help if there were no runoffs in Castro's backyard. There are two.

It would help if Castro had a weak grassroots organization. He doesn't.

It would help if Hardberger and Schubert were not political opposites. They are.

It would help if Hardberger could count on a heavy turnout of Schubert supporters. He can't.

The candidate who probably can count on a heavy turnout is Castro.

The last time there were runoffs in Districts 6 and 7, more people voted in Round 2 than in Round 1.

That's one reason I give Castro a slight edge in the runoff. There are others.

The Jeffersonian says otherwise though... We shall see who is right soon enough.

Posted by Karl-Thomas Musselman at June 7, 2005 05:38 PM | TrackBack

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