May 08, 2005
More from San Antonio
By Byron LaMasters
Good coverage last night from San Antonio Election 2005 and The Jeffersonian (great predictions by the way!). The Jeffersonian also has some good coverage of the San Antonio city council elections. Also, there is more at The Red State.
Anyone have a prediction for the Castro / Hardberger run-off?
Posted by Byron LaMasters at May 8, 2005 01:06 PM
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Castro will not be able to grow his numbers past his base supporters. I think he may have peaked with 42%. He should be able to get a few points but no more than 45%.
Hardberger will have a broader appeal to Northside voters but will have to push hard on GOTV to get them to come out. I think this will probably get ugly within the first week of the runoff campaign.
Anyone have a prediction for the Castro / Hardberger run-off?
No one who voted for Schubert will vote for Castro. The key will be base turnout and how many of the former Schubert supporters will bother to turn out for Hardberger. The runoff is Hardberger's to lose.
Castro wins 53-47 in a close one...