January 30, 2005
A Three Four-Way Race?
By Byron LaMasters
Wow. This is an upset. The executive committee of state party chairs endorsed Donnie Fowler today, via MyDD. The executive committee is the twelve member ASDC executive committee, not the entire ASDC.
People will debate the significance of this. I think it's obviously a disappointment for Howard Dean, as the frontrunner, but also a setback for Martin Frost as he missed an opportunity to clearly establish himself as the "anti-Dean" candidate in the race. Then again, this could all be overblown. The Fowler endorsement was only of a majority of the 12 member executive committee, and some of Fowler's voters are due to Michigan connections that he established as Fowler managed Kerry's 2004 Michigan campaign. Endorsements should be coming fast and furious over the next week, so the next few days ought to give us an indication as to whether this means anything.
Posted by Byron LaMasters at January 30, 2005 10:11 PM
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That and the fact that apparently it was Dean v. Fowler in the final vote and a margin of one vote. The next few days (after all the Iraq election news) I'm sure will be key.
Or would this make it three way race for the second place? Don't forget about Rosenberg.
Yeah... Frost, Rosenberg and Fowler are kind of bunched up there... one of them will likely emerge this week as the "anti-Dean" candidate. A lot of it will likely depend on what labor does this week...
Also, I'm sure ASDC is probably going to break for Dean or Fowler because of the proposed amendment to the DNC membership Fowler is backing (and Dean is supportive of).
This could be sort of a trial-balloon, I think. If Fowler can't drum up more support, then ASDC will, I think, break for Dean.
Good point, because the Exec. decision is more like a committee in congress sending something to the full house or body to vote on. So potentially, the full body could vote down the Fowler recommendation and then a new one could be made from the floor, and before you know it, you have some Joe-mentum going on there for Leeland!!!!
And even with Labor, it could end up beign that they just split and logjam. And even then, is it labor delegate making this decision or the parent labor body. Because somehow if it was an outside AFL-CIO thing, I'm not sure how much pull that would have with these more 'freethinking' members.
