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July 02, 2004

I'll see your berry-berry and raise you a John Kerry

By Jim Dallas

Newsweek has an enlightening article on behavioral economics, specifically dwelling on neurological investigations into the mechanics of rational decision-making:

Much of Glimcher's work is with monkeys...Monkeys, obviously, don't save for their retirements, and you couldn't expect them to grasp the rules of the ultimatum game. But they do have a rudimentary concept of economic choice, and researchers have discovered a medium of exchange—Berry Berry fruit drink—that can usefully stand in for money in a monkey's mental life. To illustrate how monkeys make economic decisions, Glimcher's former colleague Michael Platt, now at Duke, has investigated how they value status within their troop. Male monkeys have a distinct dominance hierarchy, and Platt has found they will give up a considerable quantity of fruit juice for the chance just to look at a picture of a higher-ranking individual. This is consistent with field observations, Platt says, which have found that social primates spend a lot of time just keeping track of the highest-ranking troop member. It isn't known exactly why monkeys do this, but the finding might help explain the behavior of human beings who pay $1,000 just to sit in a hotel ballroom with the president.

Economics is a pretty abstract science that is good at guessing what people will do in the aggregate over the long-haul (when rational decision-making tends to rise above the signal-to-noise ratio of daily life). The problem is, according to the behavioral scientists interviewed, that much of what is often dismissed as "noise" actually has a logic to it -- and understanding this will be a necessary part of enlightening people of their own self-interest.

This got me thinking about the applicability of this research to political science. Especially in the shadow of "rational choice" scholarship in poli-sci, economic theory increasingly finds itself applied to analysis of political decision-making, among government officials as well as among ordinary citizens.

I'd imagine that careful attention to this sort of research could help to explain why people don't vote. It might also suggest strategies for encouraging civic participation, reducing mistrust of government, and building more social cohesion.

Very important stuff indeed.

Posted by Jim Dallas at July 2, 2004 03:22 AM | TrackBack

Comments

What about the altruistic explanation? Some people make political contributions not to "rub shoulders with the swells," but rather because they believe they can make a difference (and campaigns cost money).

Not that there is a single explanation to describe all individual's behavior, but with the capability for rationale thought (at least much higher than monkeys - well, maybe not for Republicans) humans may have a more disparate rationale for making donations.

Posted by: WhoMe? at July 2, 2004 08:14 AM

The #1 deterrent to voting -- and I've heard this time and again, even though they don't do it this way ANYMORE, is that registered voters are the people selected for jury pools. That's not to say that it's the #1 reason people don't vote, but it is the #1 reason I've heard for people consciously choosing NOT to vote. Until we clear up the mistaken perception regarding the linkage between the two, it will still be a barrier.

As far as donation-motivation, a lot of people perceive (rightly or not) political contributions to be a form of "investment" (especially on the other side of the aisle). Of course, for us it's an investment too, but an investment in things like healthier communities, not something we expect a net empirical ROI on.

Posted by: Jeff at July 2, 2004 09:33 AM

Jeff, that observation explains why people don't register to vote, but it doesn't explain the low turnout even amongst registered voters (51% in the last election).

The main reason I've heard for not voting is the winner-take-all electoral college system in Texas. Abolishing the electoral college, which would require a constitutional amendment, isn't even necessary to fix this.

Moving to a proportional method of choosing electors would fix the problem and greatly increase turnout in "safe" states like Texas.

Solving voter apathy, in comparison, is incredibly difficult.

Posted by: chrisken at July 2, 2004 07:54 PM

Most of the research on campaign donating conludes that there are two principle motivations for donating:

(1) A lesser rationale, namely enthusiasms for a party, issue, or politician that also motivates other forms of participation like voting;

(2) Rent-seeking, namely the pursuit of economic or similar advantage from the government for your preferred industry, group, firm, or class.

Everything else is error term (lol).

Posted by: Keith G at July 3, 2004 08:41 AM
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